Post#186 » by Kerb Hohl » Sat Sep 28, 2019 11:45 pm
It is truly the weirdest thing to me when coaches in 2019 where teams are using probabilities run something (all the 2 pointers)...
And fan response is: “how stupid. I’ve watched football before and never seen this therefore this is really dumb. Jeff Fisher would never do this.”
All of the 2 pointers made sense. The first one is “out there” but you ALWAYS go for 2 first if you’re down 15 and score.
The reason that Marty said was true. You want to know if you miss the 2 how to play the rest of the game. You need 1 2 point conversion to tie, why does the order matter? The added bonus is that if you hit the first one to make it a 7 point game and you score another touchdown, you can go for the win if you want to.
As for the one when it was 24-9, this one can be debated but you’re assuming some more scoring and you can also “make up” your missed point on your next score since you have to anyways. If you think you can hit 2s at 50%, then do it. If the Badgers kick a FG then you were smart to make it 27-11.
These coaches aren’t just drunk on the sideline making **** up. Most of them in the Doug Pederson era have listened to the statistics/probability group.
