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Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Adams Traded to Raiders for 2022 1st and 2nd Rd Picks

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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1261 » by th87 » Thu Mar 17, 2022 4:48 am

JimmyTheKid wrote:
Ron Swanson wrote:
JimmyTheKid wrote:
Naming specific players was always dumb as we have no idea where the Packers ranked particular prospects in that draft. I personally have never claimed "we'd have another Super Bowl if player A was chosen instead of Love" as that is such a ridiculous jump to make.

It was always about the timeline combined with the fact that we needed help elsewhere to attempt to get over the hump.


I love this argument. Every time someone asks for receipts on which player from the 2020 draft they think would have helped us over the hump and changed the outcome of the last two seasons, the default answer goes to "you can't pick a specific guy cuz that's not how this works", while then subtly implying in the very next paragraph that basically "anyone other than Jordan Love" would fit that criteria. Vague, circular logic 101, and can always claim "I wasn't wrong". Because of course, it's impossible for some people to look objectively and admit that the draft pick wouldn't have changed anything about the past two playoff choke jobs.

For the record, I also never bought into the "Rodgers was motivated by the Love pick" crap or that this had anything to do with Jordan Love/drafting a QB at all, and everything to do about money. But man......you sure did:

Post#588 » by JimmyTheKid » Wed Jul 28, 2021 8:10 pm

Matches Malone wrote:
This may be just hot air coming out my mouth right now, but I still circle back to the Love pick.


There is no doubt that was, and still is, the tipping point. And rightfully so. Aaron was upfront with the organization about wanting to play "well into his 40's" and literally the next draft, timelines be damned (also completely ignored), they trade up for a QB without giving him the courtesy of "hey Aaron, this is what we're doing, you're still our guy..." (even if that sentiment would have been complete nonsense)


Seriously, some of you guys couldn't do a 180 fast enough after gloating and lecturing people about how this wasn't about money, but rather "respect", or some dumb nonsense. I mean, I was always more than willing to "take an L" if/when the Love situation gets resolved, because that's just the cost of potential succession planning. Just make sure you keep up that same energy when the facts get in the way.


Yes, using a 1st round pick on literally any other position than the most cemented position on the team could have helped the Packers get over the hump. There is no possible way to know if it would have seeing as we don't know the player or position. But different players on the field would have yielded different looking box scores, different plays ran, and yes, potentially different outcomes. Who f**ing knows. Thats not being "vague" thats just the way it is. Because everything changes, game to game, at least a little, with different personnel. But, again, the point, for the thousandth time, is the decision to draft a 1st round QB after Rodgers, as opposed to Favre, was straightforward about his timeline, was a terrible one. Getting a 2nd for Love won't change that.

And if there is a "gotcha" moment in the rest of that post, I'm struggling to see it. You cite one of my comments from July that I've been very, very consistent about.


Are people seriously arguing that a player who wouldn't play at all might help the team more than a first rounder who would?
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Rodgers Returns; Adams Tagged 

Post#1262 » by th87 » Thu Mar 17, 2022 5:12 am

M-C-G wrote:
th87 wrote:
M-C-G wrote:
So succession planning at the QB position is important, especially once your QB get up there in age. I concur.


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Not in the way you think. You most likely will need to find a franchise QB via a high pick, or a trade of assets.

How many other times have we seen a lower pick QB go the Rodgers route of sitting and growing into a franchise QB? This is a rarity.

The better move after Rodgers retires is to tank and if you can draft a franchise QB, do it, and if not, build a monster defense and trade for your QB down the road.


For like 100 years in professional football, QBs were drafted and given 3 years to develop. It was literally how you got a franchise QB.

If I look at the QBs across the league last season, how many starting QBs were not top 10 picks? Seems like a lot;
Rodgers, Mahomes, Brady, Jimmy G, Lamar, Mahomes, Carr, Dak, Hurts, Cousins, Wilson...I guess I am not buying the 'you need to tank' to get a franchise QB. I am certainly not against it, but I much prefer to draft a guy with a lot of natural talent and try to coach him up.


Oh. I was under the impression we wanted a really good QB. Hurts doesn't belong on this list. The Raiders will never win with Carr, and Jimmy G is about to play for his third team.

Mahomes *was* a top 10 pick. You look at the top QBs in the NFL - Allen, Herbert, Mahomes, Burrow, Rodgers, Stafford, Ryan, Brady, and maybe Murray; only Rodgers and Brady were drafted outside the top 10. And Rodgers was a top pick candidate (Love most certainly wasn't). And that leaves Brady who was like a 1 in a million shot.

So in conclusion, if you want a passable mediocre QB who might get you a winning season from time to time, go with the draft low, and develop for years approach.

If you want to win big (and I assume we do), tank for a franchise QB, and get the pick and development right.
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Rodgers Returns; Adams Tagged 

Post#1263 » by RRyder823 » Thu Mar 17, 2022 6:52 am

th87 wrote:
M-C-G wrote:
th87 wrote:
Not in the way you think. You most likely will need to find a franchise QB via a high pick, or a trade of assets.

How many other times have we seen a lower pick QB go the Rodgers route of sitting and growing into a franchise QB? This is a rarity.

The better move after Rodgers retires is to tank and if you can draft a franchise QB, do it, and if not, build a monster defense and trade for your QB down the road.


For like 100 years in professional football, QBs were drafted and given 3 years to develop. It was literally how you got a franchise QB.

If I look at the QBs across the league last season, how many starting QBs were not top 10 picks? Seems like a lot;
Rodgers, Mahomes, Brady, Jimmy G, Lamar, Mahomes, Carr, Dak, Hurts, Cousins, Wilson...I guess I am not buying the 'you need to tank' to get a franchise QB. I am certainly not against it, but I much prefer to draft a guy with a lot of natural talent and try to coach him up.


Oh. I was under the impression we wanted a really good QB. Hurts doesn't belong on this list. The Raiders will never win with Carr, and Jimmy G is about to play for his third team.

Mahomes *was* a top 10 pick. You look at the top QBs in the NFL - Allen, Herbert, Mahomes, Burrow, Rodgers, Stafford, Ryan, Brady, and maybe Murray; only Rodgers and Brady were drafted outside the top 10. And Rodgers was a top pick candidate (Love most certainly wasn't). And that leaves Brady who was like a 1 in a million shot.

So in conclusion, if you want a passable mediocre QB who might get you a winning season from time to time, go with the draft low, and develop for years approach.

If you want to win big (and I assume we do), tank for a franchise QB, and get the pick and development right.


I dunno. For a VERY long time the 4 best QBs, and by extension only true franchise guys, in the league were Manning, Brees, Rodgers and Brady. Only one of which was a top pick.

I get what your saying but this is worth noting. (Also they didn't tank for Mahomes)

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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1264 » by Swan Vox » Thu Mar 17, 2022 12:04 pm

Packers sign former Bears punter Pat O'Donnell.

Meh, still hope they draft RS’s guy from San Diego St.
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1265 » by LittleRooster » Thu Mar 17, 2022 12:28 pm

Swan Vox wrote:Packers sign former Bears punter Pat O'Donnell.

Meh, still hope they draft RS’s guy from San Diego St.

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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1266 » by MoMM » Thu Mar 17, 2022 12:44 pm

LittleRooster wrote:
Swan Vox wrote:Packers sign former Bears punter Pat O'Donnell.

Meh, still hope they draft RS’s guy from San Diego St.

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It seems a good starting point to improve our ST...
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1267 » by MickeyDavis » Thu Mar 17, 2022 12:48 pm

He's an upgrade if he can hold.
I'm against picketing but I don't know how to show it.
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1268 » by WRau1 » Thu Mar 17, 2022 1:12 pm

MickeyDavis wrote:He's an upgrade if he can hold.


I was going to say, is he going to do anything besides a holder?
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1269 » by Ron Swanson » Thu Mar 17, 2022 1:16 pm

I get wanting a guy that can hold kicks as being a priority, but I'd also like my punter to be good at, you know........punting.
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1270 » by coolhandluke121 » Thu Mar 17, 2022 1:37 pm

M-C-G wrote:I thought Cobb looked spry…until he got hurt and then didn’t.




Yeah, I feel like people are sometimes too eager to imply that a guy past his prime is basically a corpse. If you're not asking the guy to do too much, it could work out beautifully. If he continues to have nagging injuries, then he's useless, but they barely paid him any more than his dead cap hit and it's the right gamble IMO. He can at least maybe be a trusted first down target who knows how to find gaps in the defense.

Amari Rodgers is the real issue, and that's why they need to roll the dice on Cobb's health. I defend Gute's overall body of work, but that was a really bad pick. I have absolutely no hope left for him. I think he's awful.

Will miss MVS, assuming he's gone. Never got the complaints about his drops. Yeah, he dropped some touchdowns, but most of those were only going to be touchdowns because he's so good at getting open deep in the first place. That doesn't cancel out all the deep touchdowns he scored, and he brought a certain gravity to the field that helped others get open even when he was just a decoy. IMO he's still better than a so-called deep threat with much better hands who barely even gets open.
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1271 » by coolhandluke121 » Thu Mar 17, 2022 1:45 pm

The FG unit issues were compounded by an uncharacteristically bad rate of turning drives into opponent territory into touchdowns. I think their red zone struggles were a bit of a fluke, and a performance more closely correlated to their overall talent on offense could make their FG struggles slightly less of an issue.

Having an even more top-heavy roster could make their coverage and blocking units even more of an issue though. I think part of their problem is that they're paying so many top-5 players at so many different positions that they can't even afford enough respectable NFL football players to field a decent special teams unit. You need a few difference-makers and nobody who's hurting you, as the old adage goes. The Packers have had to play too many liabilities in recent years, particularly on defense and special teams.
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1272 » by Treebeard » Thu Mar 17, 2022 2:39 pm

coolhandluke121 wrote:
M-C-G wrote:I thought Cobb looked spry…until he got hurt and then didn’t.




Yeah, I feel like people are sometimes too eager to imply that a guy past his prime is basically a corpse. If you're not asking the guy to do too much, it could work out beautifully. If he continues to have nagging injuries, then he's useless, but they barely paid him any more than his dead cap hit and it's the right gamble IMO. He can at least maybe be a trusted first down target who knows how to find gaps in the defense.

Amari Rodgers is the real issue, and that's why they need to roll the dice on Cobb's health. I defend Gute's overall body of work, but that was a really bad pick. I have absolutely no hope left for him. I think he's awful.

Will miss MVS, assuming he's gone. Never got the complaints about his drops. Yeah, he dropped some touchdowns, but most of those were only going to be touchdowns because he's so good at getting open deep in the first place. That doesn't cancel out all the deep touchdowns he scored, and he brought a certain gravity to the field that helped others get open even when he was just a decoy. IMO he's still better than a so-called deep threat with much better hands who barely even gets open.


My take is what we last saw of Cobb and Amari was two backend of the roster guys filling essentially the same role and under-performing even there. There's little speed and elusiveness in either guys game, at least by what I saw. Cobb once had both, but Father Time seems to have caught up with him. At least he has the craft to find the occasional and situational open spot on the field. If he's covered by a quick defender, then he's no help.

To me, and I think others have mentioned this too, Lazard is almost a TE/WR hybrid.

Davante has world class elusiveness and top end speed, but of course, that makes him a marked man.

Also obviously, at this date, there's no burner on the roster, if MVS is gone. Malik Taylor's still on the roster, but he's another JAG, with some speed. Given the tight cap, the need for speed probably can only be filled via the draft this year.
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1273 » by ReddRum » Thu Mar 17, 2022 2:46 pm

Rob Demovsky
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1h
The Packers gave new punter Pat O’Donnell a two-year, $4 million contract. It includes a $950,000 roster bonus and a total guarantee of $1.6 million.

:crazy:
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1274 » by Treebeard » Thu Mar 17, 2022 2:49 pm

IF I read the FA list correctly, Sullivan, King, Black, and maybe Rasoul are probably gone.(I believe they were still negotiating with Douglas). You can make the case that the others were replaceable, but that discussion has moved from theoretic to real - they need to be replaced.
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1275 » by ReddRum » Thu Mar 17, 2022 2:50 pm

Not sure if this was posted yet:

Rob Demovsky
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The Packers turned $5.888 million of Adrian Amos' $7 million base salary into a singing bonus and then added 4 void years.

Meanwhile, Cobb took a pay cut from $7.875 to $2.075 million. There may be incentives for Cobb to earn money back, though.
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The Packers restructured the contracts of WR Randall Cobb and S Adrian Amos, creating $10.155M in cap space to get them under the salary cap.
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1276 » by WeekapaugGroove » Thu Mar 17, 2022 2:58 pm

ReddRum wrote:Not sure if this was posted yet:

Rob Demovsky
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The Packers turned $5.888 million of Adrian Amos' $7 million base salary into a singing bonus and then added 4 void years.

Meanwhile, Cobb took a pay cut from $7.875 to $2.075 million. There may be incentives for Cobb to earn money back, though.
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The Packers restructured the contracts of WR Randall Cobb and S Adrian Amos, creating $10.155M in cap space to get them under the salary cap.
Good. I was a little concerned Amos might be a cap casualty. Happy he's going to stick around.



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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1277 » by Matches Malone » Thu Mar 17, 2022 3:02 pm

ReddRum wrote:Rob Demovsky
@RobDemovsky
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1h
The Packers gave new punter Pat O’Donnell a two-year, $4 million contract. It includes a $950,000 roster bonus and a total guarantee of $1.6 million.

:crazy:


That type of money signals he's probably the guy and not some camp body. There goes the Araiza dream... :nonono:
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1278 » by ReddRum » Thu Mar 17, 2022 3:07 pm

Lets face it, all of our WR's and TE's not named DaVante suck, and we have done nothing to address it so far. This is our biggest weakness in my opinion besides special teams. We need to get Tonyan back b/c he is a much better option than anything else out there. Is this possible with our current cap situation? Then we need to draft probably 2 WR's (praying for one in the first round) AND a TE early as well. This is the year to trade up. We are ALL IN so use those draft picks to move up in the draft or trade for players on their rookie contract that can help us win now. One idea I had is trading for DK Metcalf. We only get him for 1 year but its a super cheap contract. Not sure what it would take to pry him away? Maybe a 1st? That is of course only if Seattle is entering rebuild mode now with Wilson gone and they don't see Metcalf in their future plans...Also if DaVante won't agree DK would then be a good backup plan for a long term WR 1 that maybe can be had for less than DaVante wants... Probably just a pipe dream but just spitballing here...
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1279 » by Swan Vox » Thu Mar 17, 2022 3:11 pm

I guess I don’t understand this from a money prospective, but like MD said, maybe he’s a great holder? He winter-tested in Chicago, so I guess there’s that.
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Re: Packers 2022 Offseason Thread - Campbell Back - 5/50 

Post#1280 » by M-C-G » Thu Mar 17, 2022 4:00 pm

ReddRum wrote:? Then we need to draft probably 2 WR's (praying for one in the first round) AND a TE early as well. This is the year to trade up. We are ALL IN so use those draft picks to move up in the draft or trade for players on their rookie contract that can help us win now.


I understand where you are coming from, but realistically, you can't have the top paid player at half of your positions and have vets starting all over the place. There is a reality we are going to need draft picks from this years draft to start or play big roles at more than one or two positions. Namely, I wouldn't be shocked if we grab a WR, OT, TE, DT and hell, maybe even another WR and returner. Those need to come from somewhere, so I am not sure trading up is the answer.

As far as TE, I don't know what Austin Hooper is going to get, but he just became available and I think is 27, shouldn't cost too much and be adequate as a starter.

WR, I am still hoping for Will Fuller, somehow.

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