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RiotPunch wrote:Pretty happy with my ultra-early mock. 12 teamer vs. robots.

QB Aaron Rodgers GB BYE 4
RB Todd Gurley LA BYE 8
RB Eddie Lacy GB BYE 4
WR Kelvin Benjamin CAR BYE 7
WR Randall Cobb GB BYE 4
TE Gary Barnidge CLE BYE 13
FLX Jordan Matthews PHI BYE 4
DST New York Jets BYE 11
K Stephen Gostkowski NE BYE 9
Bench
RB Giovani Bernard CIN BYE 9
RB Isaiah Crowell CLE BYE 13
WR Willie Snead NO BYE 5
TE Eric Ebron DET BYE 10
QB Derek Carr OAK BYE 10
WR Vincent Jackson TB

PkrsBcksGphsMqt wrote:About time to get this thread started. I'm about to start my draft prep so who are some of your sleepers for this season?

HKPackFan wrote:

PkrsBcksGphsMqt wrote:About time to get this thread started. I'm about to start my draft prep so who are some of your sleepers for this season?

Jordy Nelson. Jared Cook.

PkrsBcksGphsMqt wrote:About time to get this thread started. I'm about to start my draft prep so who are some of your sleepers for this season?

bwgood77 wrote:

PkrsBcksGphsMqt wrote:About time to get this thread started. I'm about to start my draft prep so who are some of your sleepers for this season?

I don't know if he's a sleeper because I haven't looked at rankings but David Johnson for the Cards is probably worthy of a second or third round pick. I wouldn't be surprised if he was a top 3 fantasy rb this year.

PkrsBcksGphsMqt wrote:About time to get this thread started. I'm about to start my draft prep so who are some of your sleepers for this season?

The big play is a highly coveted outcome in fantasy football. In a league that continues to trend pass-happy, we often look to the receiver position for such slate-shifting performances. The goal of this piece is to get a better idea of which NFL offenses have consistently and prolifically pushed the ball deep downfield; and subsequently which players we suspect should have meaningful vertical roles for their respective offenses in 2016. There is natural variance in big-play production in the NFL, but let's attempt to identify some potential indicators for unearthing such production.

As my colleague Mike Clay has deduced, YAC (yards after the catch) and even yards per reception haven't proved particularly predictive or consistent for projecting yardage production. With a specific eye on big-play mavens at the position - given that average depth of target has proved somewhat predictive in projecting receiving performance - we've employed a study of relative air yards per target at the wide receiver position. Air yards are simply the yards traveled in the air from the point of release to the intended receiver.

To add some clarity to this concept of relative air yards - or "RELAY," to make it sound cooler - we've subtracted the average air yards traveled per target for receivers with at least 30 targets in 2015 from their team's average air yards per target to the position. For example, the Miami Dolphins' receivers averaged 10.4 air yards per target last season, while rookie DeVante Parker averaged 14.3 air yards per target, netting him a RELAY rate of 3.9 yards - the sixth-highest clip of the 2015 season. Below, you'll find the top 30 performers in RELAY from last season.

Top 30 2015 Wide Receiver RELAY Production
PLAYER TEAM REC RECYDS RECTD YD/REC AY/TAR TEAM AY/T RELAY
Malcom Floyd SD 30 561 3 18.7 19.6 10.9 8.7
Kenny Stills MIA 27 440 3 16.3 16.5 10.4 6.1
DeSean Jackson WSH 30 528 4 17.6 15.2 10.4 4.9
Brandon LaFell NE 37 515 0 13.9 13.8 9.5 4.3
James Jones GB 50 890 8 17.8 14.8 10.6 4.2
DeVante Parker MIA 26 494 3 19.0 14.3 10.4 3.9
Alshon Jeffery CHI 54 807 4 14.9 14.6 11.4 3.2
Allen Robinson JAC 80 1400 14 17.5 15.3 12.2 3.1
Sammy Watkins BUF 60 1047 9 17.5 16.8 13.7 3.1
Ted Ginn Jr. CAR 44 739 10 16.8 16.5 13.5 3.0
Kenny Britt LA 36 681 3 18.9 16.1 13.1 3.0
Emmanuel Sanders DEN 76 1135 6 14.9 14.1 11.3 2.9
Brandon Coleman NO 30 454 2 15.1 13.9 11.0 2.8
Travis Benjamin CLE 68 966 5 14.2 12.5 10.0 2.5

PkrsBcksGphsMqt wrote:About time to get this thread started. I'm about to start my draft prep so who are some of your sleepers for this season?

M-C-G wrote:Draft strategy question, I am in a keeper league where I have David Johnson for a 9th round pick. I have the 5th pick and normally would try to get one of the top WR, but think Brown and Beckham will be off the board. So eyeing up a RB like Bell or Gurley at 5 and then just hitting WR hard for the next 3 or 4 rounds and picking up a TE and then loading up my back up RB position with Lewis, Mathews, Gio, Woodhead type guys...thoughts?

Other option would be to go Gronk at 5, or roll the dice on Julio staying healthy or rolling with one of Julio (can't stay healthy), Hopkins (don't trust Brock, but he did good with trash last year), Dez (his QB can't stay healthy)

I really, really just want to trade down and try to get some quantity in round 2 and 3

PkrsBcksGphsMqt wrote:I can't decide how I feel about Bortles. Jaguars will be an interesting team this year.

ArodpwnsFavre wrote:

M-C-G wrote:Draft strategy question, I am in a keeper league where I have David Johnson for a 9th round pick. I have the 5th pick and normally would try to get one of the top WR, but think Brown and Beckham will be off the board. So eyeing up a RB like Bell or Gurley at 5 and then just hitting WR hard for the next 3 or 4 rounds and picking up a TE and then loading up my back up RB position with Lewis, Mathews, Gio, Woodhead type guys...thoughts?

Other option would be to go Gronk at 5, or roll the dice on Julio staying healthy or rolling with one of Julio (can't stay healthy), Hopkins (don't trust Brock, but he did good with trash last year), Dez (his QB can't stay healthy)

I really, really just want to trade down and try to get some quantity in round 2 and 3

Is the league a PPR? If so You can't go wrong with Bell (as long as you get his backup) or Gronk/Julio. If i had the choice between bell/julio/gronk I'd roll with Bell to have your RB's set for the season. Then go WR heavy. I read some recent mocks that have david Johnson as a top 5 RB. If you can have 2 top 5 RB's I say go for it!

ArodpwnsFavre wrote:

PkrsBcksGphsMqt wrote:I can't decide how I feel about Bortles. Jaguars will be an interesting team this year.

.

I rode bortles to a FF championship last year. The league I am in doesn't do negative points for turnovers so it was an easy gamble. They were always losing and passing... This year they may be better, so I don't foresee every game where he gets 250+ yards and 2 tds as the games will be closer.

weezybaby856 wrote:

RiotPunch wrote:Pretty happy with my ultra-early mock. 12 teamer vs. robots.

QB Aaron Rodgers GB BYE 4
RB Todd Gurley LA BYE 8
RB Eddie Lacy GB BYE 4
WR Kelvin Benjamin CAR BYE 7
WR Randall Cobb GB BYE 4
TE Gary Barnidge CLE BYE 13
FLX Jordan Matthews PHI BYE 4
DST New York Jets BYE 11
K Stephen Gostkowski NE BYE 9
Bench
RB Giovani Bernard CIN BYE 9
RB Isaiah Crowell CLE BYE 13
WR Willie Snead NO BYE 5
TE Eric Ebron DET BYE 10
QB Derek Carr OAK BYE 10
WR Vincent Jackson TB

Really like this team.. Was Gurley your 1st pick I'm assuming? What pick did you have?

wichmae wrote:If anyone has an opening in a league I would be interested. Prefer a money league with buy in and standard PPR non auction.