Wizop wrote:davidfr94 wrote:Wizop wrote:
I'm always optimistic in the summer but I can't get over around 45. Best result could be to make the play-in, but lose and drop into the lottery.
It depends a lot on andrew's development imo. If he is as good as i think he is, we can make it over 45. If he struggles with efficiency, especially on his 3 ball, and turnovers, yeah it is going to be hard winning more than 45.
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I think it depends more on Mathurin than Nembhard. If Benn can be a 20 point scorer, Drew can be a passer and spent his energy on defense. Aaron will also need to be a scorer. But to get to your 50, I think requires a huge jump from Walker or Furphy and a solid surprise from the centers.
IMO,... we just 1 person to level up,... and maybe 1 or 2 others to contribute? I'm pretty sure that Benn can be a 20ppg guy. But, can he do it without bogging down the offense by trying to ISO his man? If he can play while making faster decisions, within the flow, without catching & holding the ball,... then I'd be happy with 17 or 18 PPG. He would draw a ton of attention, create gravity, but help the team get more efficient instead of less efficient. He's shown flashes of it. Now is his chance,... I believe he can do it.
The area that I think will make a bigger difference,... Benn's defense. He has been better, but off ball he still loses his man fairly often & allows the other team to bend our defense as a result,... but as Sam Vecenie said on his end of year Pacers podcast, his on-ball defense was mostly ok this year,...with stretches where it was actually good.
IF, Benn is more focused on D,... the on-ball pressure guy, fronting the defense, pressing the full court,... and free up to Drew to handle the next man up? it would give Drew that little bit of rest during each game so he could lead the offense, and probably make our defense tougher? Which would leave Aaron being Aaron,... and Pascal on the other wing? With that level of perimeter defense, any of the 5's should be able to adequately, or better, defend the rim.
If we get quality depth from Jarace this year,... as we should, or move on? Then this team, though different, should be just as deep, just as tough, and just as fun to watch as the previous versions.
