OT: Buy or Sell: Jets will be 8-8 or better this season
Posted: Mon Jul 29, 2013 4:42 am
What will be my Jets record this upcoming season? 

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Nostrand Ave wrote:What will be my Jets record this upcoming season?
moocow007 wrote:Unless ive missed some offseason moves:
1. WR - They have no proven top line receiver healthy (not that Santonio Holmes would be expected to be a huge plus with the under performing and propensity to be disruptive with not knowing how to keep his big mouth shut). Braylon Edwards, the return, isn't exactly re-assuring since he barely produced a drop last season. Stephen Hill needs to prove that he can stay healthy and catch passes or that great size and elite speed won't mean much of anything.
Their receiving core isn't the greatest, but Clyde Gates and Stephen Hill have shown great improvement in training camp. They won some games with Chaz Schilens as their #3. I see their WR core only getting better from last year, and Braylon can add to that.
2. RB - Their projected no.1 guy in the backfield is talented but has been injury plagued and has never been a no.1 option. Their no. 2 guy may not even be aroundepending what happens with his legal situation. Their top returning back just got dumped onto the not in condition to play football list immediately at the start of camp.
McKnight was actually in football shape, and passed the conditioning test the day after he failed. I doubt he'd be able to do that if he actually wasn't conditioned. Anyway, Shaun Greene was absolute trash here last year, with his failure to produce a run more than 3 yards half the time, so getting guys like Ivory and Goodson, which chances are, they'll play some games, is a nice upgrade. They'll have Bilal Powell again who had a solid year last year, so basically the running backs improved to.
3. QB - You know Rex Ryan is going to start Mark Sanchez over Smith or anyone else. And I have about as much confidence in Sanchez as an NFL starting QB as I do in Eddy Curry being able to become a productive basketball player again. Geno Smith strikes me as the type that will need some time to adjust to the pressure of playing in NY so I don't have that much more confidence in him being able to lead the Jets to anything if he somehow wins the QB competition.
Well, Geno is already adapting well and is getting lots of praise from Marty. He's been learning the plays and posting solid #s in training camp while making some great throws. Even if Sanchez doesn't do well, last year was him at his absolute worst. There's no where to go from that but up.
4. CB - Antonio Cromartie as the 2nd CB...fine and great. As the no.1 CB (especially with the overall questionnable state of their secondary)? Yeah I don't know about that. Especially when the projected no.2 CB has yet to sign and has a history of being injured. And the depth at the position includes a draft flub in Wilson.
Wilson may have been a "draft flub", but he's still one of the better nickle cornerbacks in the league. The Jets go from Cromartie and Wilson out of position (which still got their defense 2nd in passing yards) to Cromartie, Milliner and NFL ready CB that can be #2, and Kyle Wilson back in his normal position. Clear upgrade IMO
5. TE - Do they even have a TE? Kellen Winslow Jr has a big name (thanks to his All Everything dad) but what exactly has he shown on the field that he could be even a semi force for pellet throwing Mark Sanchez? Sanchez needs a pass catching TE to be remotelty successful.
Kellen Winslow JR is a great TE, and was a steal pickup for the Jets. He made the Pro Bowl in 07, and he has a great work ethic. He already had a great minicamp with the team and things look good for the TE position. They go from Cumberland and scrubs to Kellen Winslow JR and Cumberland, another clear upgrade.
And there's still issues with the O Line and the secondary.
They had a top 10 O-line that is improving with new draft picks, and were 2nd in passing yards allowed. Those positions don't have "issues".
That D Line and OLB will have to show that they can be the 2nd coming of the big green machine (ie. The NY Sack Exchange) for this team to have any shot at anything.
My prediction is in the 5-11 range...though would be much happier with 4-12 or 3-13.
Knick Swisher wrote:Let's see. Sanchez is still qb. D has taken a hit. No te (at least not a good one). No real playmakers. Lame duck head coach.
All this AND they have to play the pats and a much improved dolphins team twice (bills wont be easy for them either). I haven't look at their schedule yet so I'll say 6-10.
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Knick Swisher wrote:Let's see. Sanchez is still qb. D has taken a hit. No te (at least not a good one). No real playmakers. Lame duck head coach.
All this AND they have to play the pats and a much improved dolphins team twice (bills wont be easy for them either). I haven't look at their schedule yet so I'll say 6-10.
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moocow007 wrote:Unless ive missed some offseason moves:
1. WR - They have no proven top line receiver healthy (not that Santonio Holmes would be expected to be a huge plus with the under performing and propensity to be disruptive with not knowing how to keep his big mouth shut). Braylon Edwards, the return, isn't exactly re-assuring since he barely produced a drop last season. Stephen Hill needs to prove that he can stay healthy and catch passes or that great size and elite speed won't mean much of anything.
2. RB - Their projected no.1 guy in the backfield is talented but has been injury plagued and has never been a no.1 option. Their no. 2 guy may not even be aroundepending what happens with his legal situation. Their top returning back just got dumped onto the not in condition to play football list immediately at the start of camp.
3. QB - You know Rex Ryan is going to start Mark Sanchez over Smith or anyone else. And I have about as much confidence in Sanchez as an NFL starting QB as I do in Eddy Curry being able to become a productive basketball player again. Geno Smith strikes me as the type that will need some time to adjust to the pressure of playing in NY so I don't have that much more confidence in him being able to lead the Jets to anything if he somehow wins the QB competition.
4. CB - Antonio Cromartie as the 2nd CB...fine and great. As the no.1 CB (especially with the overall questionnable state of their secondary)? Yeah I don't know about that. Especially when the projected no.2 CB has yet to sign and has a history of being injured. And the depth at the position includes a draft flub in Wilson.
5. TE - Do they even have a TE? Kellen Winslow Jr has a big name (thanks to his All Everything dad) but what exactly has he shown on the field that he could be even a semi force for pellet throwing Mark Sanchez? Sanchez needs a pass catching TE to be remotelty successful.
And there's still issues with the O Line and the secondary.
That D Line and OLB will have to show that they can be the 2nd coming of the big green machine (ie. The NY Sack Exchange) for this team to have any shot at anything.
My prediction is in the 5-11 range...though would be much happier with 4-12 or 3-13.
j4remi wrote:moocow007 wrote:Unless ive missed some offseason moves:
1. WR - They have no proven top line receiver healthy (not that Santonio Holmes would be expected to be a huge plus with the under performing and propensity to be disruptive with not knowing how to keep his big mouth shut). Braylon Edwards, the return, isn't exactly re-assuring since he barely produced a drop last season. Stephen Hill needs to prove that he can stay healthy and catch passes or that great size and elite speed won't mean much of anything.
2. RB - Their projected no.1 guy in the backfield is talented but has been injury plagued and has never been a no.1 option. Their no. 2 guy may not even be aroundepending what happens with his legal situation. Their top returning back just got dumped onto the not in condition to play football list immediately at the start of camp.
3. QB - You know Rex Ryan is going to start Mark Sanchez over Smith or anyone else. And I have about as much confidence in Sanchez as an NFL starting QB as I do in Eddy Curry being able to become a productive basketball player again. Geno Smith strikes me as the type that will need some time to adjust to the pressure of playing in NY so I don't have that much more confidence in him being able to lead the Jets to anything if he somehow wins the QB competition.
4. CB - Antonio Cromartie as the 2nd CB...fine and great. As the no.1 CB (especially with the overall questionnable state of their secondary)? Yeah I don't know about that. Especially when the projected no.2 CB has yet to sign and has a history of being injured. And the depth at the position includes a draft flub in Wilson.
5. TE - Do they even have a TE? Kellen Winslow Jr has a big name (thanks to his All Everything dad) but what exactly has he shown on the field that he could be even a semi force for pellet throwing Mark Sanchez? Sanchez needs a pass catching TE to be remotelty successful.
And there's still issues with the O Line and the secondary.
That D Line and OLB will have to show that they can be the 2nd coming of the big green machine (ie. The NY Sack Exchange) for this team to have any shot at anything.
My prediction is in the 5-11 range...though would be much happier with 4-12 or 3-13.
1. It's really bad and it's not even fair to the QB's that they're stuck with such a botched receiving corps.
2. Very big question mark but with surprising upside. This is the position that could sneak up on everyone.
3. I think Sanchez will get the start mainly to protect Smith from that awful WR corps. I think, depending on Sanchez performances, we could see Smith get the starts after the midway point of the season. Either way, I don't think either QB can turn this team around and both would need more help. If the RB's surprise though, these guys won't have to play such pivotal roles and will be more comfortable...if they're left to win games, one can't and the other isn't ready to yet.
4. Cro was EXCELLENT as the 1 CB last year. He deserves more credit than you're giving. Wilson held his own as the 2 and will slide back to a more comfortable role as the nickel back where he's really effective. Milner's health is gonna be the crucial part of this.
5. Cumberland was solid last year. Not great, but he proved that he can start and not be a net negative. Winslow needs to get through preseason before I trust him and that Aussie is apparently making huge strides this offseason. I don't expect the TE to be a glaring weakness, but I also don't have high hopes.
6. What O-Line issues? The O-Line put up good/great numbers last season. The only issue was depth but they clearly addressed that in this draft and free agency.
7. D-Line is gonna be a strength for this team. They'll have a health nose tackle for a change, and Ellis has huge upside. They've got enough edge rushing depth to push their leading sack man into an OLB spot(Coples), which is a boom or bust move but could solve a lot of our fears. Until Coples shows he can be as good at OLB as he was at DE, the LB situation isn't great but the 3 up front will be a handful. Wilkerson is gonna be a pro-bowler this season.
The interesting thing is that if the Jets defense reaches its potential then their record is gonna be better than anyone would think. They could very well find themselves in a chase for the last couple of playoff spots. The thing is, the defense has to be elite and that's a tall order when you're dealing with a TO prone QB and question marks at the skill positions. I think 5-11 is a good call, but I'm going 7-9 because the Jets always manage to do just enough not to get the draft position they would need for a big splash