Post#57 » by wco81 » Sun Dec 18, 2016 10:57 pm
49ers GM candidates will come from one of the following:
1. Promote from within -- just as Baalke was promoted after the sudden departure of McCloughan, right before the draft, the easies thing for York is to promote someone already in the building, since he doesn't have to do much work. See the same logic for promoting Tomsula.
2. Someone willing to put up with Jed for the money and the exposure as a GM - probably a lot of guys who'd see this as a way to build a resume, even if the team doesn't win much. Higher pay and good experience to put on resume.
3. High-profile guy in demand by other teams - Will take a lot of money and power, especially assurance that they only report to the parents, maybe ability to bypass Jed, since Jed ran a successful HC out of town.
Not sure where Mike Shanahan would fit under these categories. Maybe desperate to get back into the game after being out for several years or maybe just want one last big payday. Only positive is if he would bring along Kyle as coach or OC and other experienced assistants who respect the Shanahans but wouldn't respect Jed or Trent.
Odds are that people in category 3 won't even look that much at the 49ers because of the Harbaugh history and what fans and media know all too well:
Yorks have no financial incentive to build a winner, they make tons of money as-is, because the SBL owners are trapped. So while they can get a big payday, they won't be able to point to their stint with the 49ers as a highly-successful one, which would lead to even more money, power and prestige.
The well-regarded candidates in category 2 would trend more towards category 3. That is, if they're well-regarded rising stars, they will be in demand by several teams so they wouldn't have to put up with Jed's nonsense.
So really, the easiest paths would be someone already in the building (#1) or someone in low demand or not that well-known (category 2). So basically, someone like Baalke when he was promoted to GM, not that well-known, clean slate.
And people already working in the 49ers FO probably would have been hired or vetted by Trent so they'd probably be no better than Trent.
Bottom line, barring some miracle, 49ers front office not likely to be a lot better even if Baalke is ousted.