madmaxmedia wrote:I'm not satisfied with different aspects of our play, but I guess I think our play and health is simply a reflection of our age and roster composition.
Every year our 2 stars get another year older, and a little slower and a little creakier. They are still high level players, but when we traded for them I'd say we would have all agreed their first 3 years here would be our best shot at a title, vs. the 3 or 4 years after that. Guys over 30 just don't have the juice that younger studs do. Look at Jayson Tatum, he is a star who I feel has been around a long time, and he's only 24 for goodness sake. It's hard for Kawhi or PG now to keep up with guys like that, and guys like that are who you have to beat in multiple playoff rounds to win a title.
Unfortunately, that run-in with Joe Ingles not only doomed a really good run in Year 2, but ended any title hopes for Year 3 as well. And there go the 3 best years for this Clipper era.
Our FO has done a great job of pursuing favorable trades and acquisitions to try to round out the roster, but given our salary cap and draft pick limitations they're basically trying to squeeze water out of a rock. Many of our core rotation players were acquired for very little (Zubac, Powell, Mann) and others were former castoffs who found a home here (Batum, Jackson, Wall.) Beyond that, Boston and Diabate look like nice prospects. That's absolutely tremendous work around the edges! Maybe there are potential deals or signings we missed out on, but I'm not aware of any. The only bigger trade we read about recently was Mike Conley, and not sure how much better we get with another old vet.
I still enjoy watching this team play and will continue to root for them (and I just really like a lot of the players as people), but I don't consider them a high level title contender any more. It's not to say we can't make a Finals appearance or even win, but it will take luck and events beyond our control.
i'm in some agreement there about our window. our best shot so far was, well, shot down by joe ingles. we maybe coulda jerry rigged a run last year but imo lue did some incredibly wacky things by overplaying an exhausted reggie/decrepit morris and letting powell/covington hang out on the bench. i think probably most of us would admit that this or next year is gonna be the best we have and moving forward it's gonna be a decline in our ability field a peak level team - barring any major moves. IMO next year is kind of our last, best shot because that's when i would expect kawhi to be fully recovered from the ACL, and we're mostly getting older, with scant options for a young star to emerge.
i will say, though, the young guys we do have are constantly improving and impressing me (namely zubac/kennard/mann), so i mean if zubac somehow finds a 3 point shot or continues to increase his post game/defense/etc, or kennard studies up on how to be an alpha scorer (while maintaining his defense), or mann finds that ONE signature skill he can be a star at, the team still has a little bit of upward mobility. and that's not to mention MD or boston potentially becoming players. there are still some potential surprises left, i would think.
so yeah, i think we're still in really good shape, health permitting, and with a move or two to tweak things up. this team doesn't need all that much. the question is really just whether or not we will get that extra bump of fortunate health and roster improvement that we need. so agree with pretty much all you said, i think.