Arash Markazi, ESPN LA (12/2/11)Dwight Howard hasn't been traded yet but all indications are that the Orlando Magic center will be dealt at some point before the trade deadline and if his final destination ends up being anywhere other than Los Angeles, something went wrong. Somebody somewhere dropped the ball and this city and its future favorite son will suffer for it.
Howard belongs in Los Angeles. He's done everything but hop in a convertible and cruise down Sunset Blvd. singing Randy Newman's "I Love L.A." when hinting about his future plans and his refusal to sign a contract extension with the Magic.
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The Lakers and Clippers should make this real easy for Magic general manager Otis Smith, who knows he will lose Howard after this season. They should send him a copy of their rosters with the names of Bryant and Pau Gasol crossed out for the Lakers and Griffin crossed out for the Clippers and ask him to pick two or three players. Both teams should also be willing to throw in a couple of drafts picks as well to sweeten the deal.
For the Lakers, this could mean a package of Andrew Bynum and Lamar Odom and for the Clippers it could mean a package of Chris Kaman, Eric Gordon and DeAndre Jordan.
This may seem like steep price to anyone who doesn't understand the magnitude of this moment for both franchises, but either trade is well worth it.
With all due respect to the tandem of Bynum and Odom or trio of Kaman, Gordon and Jordan, neither group would change the landscape of the league and Los Angeles sports as much as Howard would. He is the single most dominant force the league has seen since Shaquille O'Neal in his prime. He is the kind of player you rebuild your team around and reshuffle your roster for if you have the chance to get him.
Dwight Howard in L.A.? It just might flyObviously, the Lakers have the inside track in the D12 sweepstakes if winning is truly what Dwight Howard wants in addition to the climate. The Magic are just handcuffed by bad contracts, which ironically enough, were acquired in vain to surround him with a winner in order to convince him to stay long-term. Even with the amnesty option, Orlando just doesn't have the resources to inspire hope for Howard.
The Nets will undoubtedly throw everything they have outside of Deron Williams in their trade proposal on the chance that they can convince both D-Will an D-How to sign long-term as the marquee players for their new arena. The Knicks can make a serious offer by offering either Amar'e Stoudemire or Carmelo Anthony in upgrading from either star player to the league's premier big man, but I think the Nets offer the more compelling package to Orlando since a deal with Brooks Lopez, two first-round picks, and unloading Turkoglu's contract--as well as amnestying Arenas--affords the team a viable chance at rebuilding immediately whereas a deal for what is sure to be a disgruntled star player coming from the Big Apple would still leave the Magic in the same blackhole situation they have been in but with a less affable and more discontent star player at its core.
While I can't really fault, Markazi's logic in including Gordon in his proposed package, it doesn't make sense to me for the Clippers to offer such a package given that Howard is unlikely to agree to an extend-and-trade for only a 1-year extension through 2013-14 rather than wait the 6 months to either exercise his opt-out clause to become an unrestricted free agent or sign an extension to his current deal for 3 more years through 2015-16 at higher raises after this upcoming season.
Why risk losing either Gordon or even the 2012 Minnesota pick--nevermind both--for a guy who can opt out after this upcoming season and can't sign the most advantageous extension (for him, anyway) until six months afterwards, especially for someone who reportedly isn't interested in us? It makes sense for the Nets to do it because they really don't have any other choice. The Lakers--being his presumed favorite--have minimal risk of him leaving, so they obviously have to pull the trigger. The Knicks have reason to pause given the aforementioned uncertainty, but the mentality over there is that they think everyone loves to play at Mecca and that they can and will convince anyone to sign long-term once they are on the roster especially given the advantage of Bird Rights. The Clippers don't have such a reputation.
Having said all that and acknowledging my fan-bias, the Clippers should have a decent shot at securing the NBA's reigning Superman even without including Gordon. The Minnesota pick is certainly more valuable right now than both the Nets' picks combined. Jordan is the more exciting center prospect with more upside than Lopez, however, DJ will be paid more than Lopez and likey overpaid at that since I believe he will not develop as well without his good buddy Blake Griffin. Plus, there is also the difficulty of having him sign off on an extend-and-trade given that he would be more limited in years and annual raises along with his actual preference of where to play. Kaman should be able to net something useful as a trade chip in a three-way possibility, especially after teams miss out on FA centers. The organization even has the option of amnestying Hiyadet Turkoglu's $34.2 million contract commitment should they still be in the hunt for CP3 afterwards, though I (and everyone else) have a hard time envisioning Sterling eating that much money especially since there is a player option for the third year of that contract.
Personally, I would rather add Chris Paul to our lineup assuming we will secure long-term commitments form both DJ & EJ, but the Clippers should be able to make a good pitch to Howard given the roster, player facilities, and climate if things fall through with the Lakers. I, like mkwest, hope that Olshey doesn't pay more than he has to in his pursuit of DH but that is unlikely given the reports of "doing whatever it takes" outside of trading Blake Griffin.