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Blake's regression to the mean...

Posted: Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:33 pm
by Quake Griffin
What is it?

in terms of scoring.
I mean, if he continues to drop 35 point games from here until his career is out, then he's a top 5 scorer all time...


when he comes back to the mean.
where does his better scoring prowess land him?
25 ppg on 60% TS?

Re: Blake's regression to the mean...

Posted: Thu Feb 13, 2014 11:39 pm
by azncorruptedo17
hmmmmmmmm.....

Re: Blake's regression to the mean...

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 4:59 am
by mkwest
It will more than likely dip once everyone is healthy, but I could still see the season average hovering around the 23-25 range for the remainder of the season.

Come playoff time I want to see him average 28 & 15. ;)

Re: Blake's regression to the mean...

Posted: Fri Feb 14, 2014 10:25 pm
by og15
I think he can float in the 25-27 PPG range if the team allows him to get that many possessions with a TS% between 58 and 60. Minutes will also affect it.

Re: Blake's regression to the mean...

Posted: Wed Feb 19, 2014 6:25 am
by KyletheDingbat
I think he'll average 25+ over the next 6 or 7 years. A couple of those might hit over 27 or even 30. Probably 54% peaking at 57.

It's not unreasonable to think he'll go 30, 12, 4 on 56% one year.

Re: Blake's regression to the mean...

Posted: Wed Feb 19, 2014 3:02 pm
by yitur
KyletheDingbat wrote:I think he'll average 25+ over the next 6 or 7 years. A couple of those might hit over 27 or even 30. Probably 54% peaking at 57.

It's not unreasonable to think he'll go 30, 12, 4 on 56% one year.


Well the rebounds are unreasonable next to Deandre but he can peak around 28+ with 4 assists per game.