Rudy Gay To The Clippers Inevitable - And Its Consequences
Posted: Mon Sep 19, 2016 5:47 pm
You've already seen these:
And already, the rumor mill has begun:
And I'm here to tell you: not only do I believe it's gonna happen, it's gonna be painful. In three ways:
1. If Clips get Rudy via trade, Griffin is gone. I can't see Paul or Jordan traded. The bench guys are here to stay. The draft picks will most likely go, but packaged with what. Doc ain't giving up his lucky charm son OR his only-small-forward-and-best-friend-in-the-whole-world Paul Pierce. Oh yeah: Doc doesn't want anybody taking away Pierce's sacred starting small forward spot, making for an awkward welcoming pitch.
2. If Clips get Rudy via buyout, someone's getting cut. Again, Doc ain't cutting Paul Pierce.
3. Once Rudy becomes a Clipper, they are in danger of missing the playoffs.
Teams who've had Rudy all missed the playoffs save for the lockout season. Have a look:
2006-07: Draft-day trade from Rockets to Grizzlies, 15th seed, missed playoffs
2007-08: Grizzlies, 14th seed, missed playoffs
2008-09: Grizzlies, 12th seed, missed playoffs
2009-10: Grizzlies, 10th seed, missed playoffs
2010-11: Grizzlies, suffered shoulder sublaxation (out for year), 8th seed, 2nd round exit to Thunder (without Rudy)
2011-12: Grizzlies, lockout season, 4th seed, active, 1st round exit to Clippers (with Rudy)
2012-13: Grizzlies, traded to Raptors mid-season, 5th seed, conference finals loss to Spurs (without Rudy)
2012-13: Raptors, traded from Grizzlies mid-season, 10th seed, missed playoffs
2013-14: Raptors, traded to Kings near mid-season, 3rd seed, 1st round exit to Nets (without Rudy)
2013-14: Kings, traded from Raptors near mid-season, 13th seed, missed playoffs
2014-15: Kings, 13th seed, missed playoffs
2015-16: Kings, 13th seed, missed playoffs
2016-17: Kings, 12th seed, missed playoffs
Every year Rudy spent with a team, that team missed the playoffs. Grizzlies were able to make the playoffs in the lockout season due to the lesser amount of games (66 versus 82), but it also featured the season where the Clippers ushered a 27-point miracle comeback to steal Game 1, and later the series. The moment teams traded Rudy to another team, their fortunes immediately changed. Both Memphis and Toronto were rewarded with conference finals debuts after trading Rudy: while Grizzlies visit was instant, it took the Raptors two years before they had their day.
Right now the Kings have him. The moment they trade Rudy, they will become a playoff contender. If the Kings send Rudy to the Clippers, the Clip's hopes of a western conference finals berth may be in jeopardy.
But they need a good small forward. Rudy is a 2010 and 2014 FIBA gold medalist.
Would you welcome Rudy to the Clippers, even at the risk of a cursed season?
And already, the rumor mill has begun:
And I'm here to tell you: not only do I believe it's gonna happen, it's gonna be painful. In three ways:
1. If Clips get Rudy via trade, Griffin is gone. I can't see Paul or Jordan traded. The bench guys are here to stay. The draft picks will most likely go, but packaged with what. Doc ain't giving up his lucky charm son OR his only-small-forward-and-best-friend-in-the-whole-world Paul Pierce. Oh yeah: Doc doesn't want anybody taking away Pierce's sacred starting small forward spot, making for an awkward welcoming pitch.
2. If Clips get Rudy via buyout, someone's getting cut. Again, Doc ain't cutting Paul Pierce.
3. Once Rudy becomes a Clipper, they are in danger of missing the playoffs.
Teams who've had Rudy all missed the playoffs save for the lockout season. Have a look:
2006-07: Draft-day trade from Rockets to Grizzlies, 15th seed, missed playoffs
2007-08: Grizzlies, 14th seed, missed playoffs
2008-09: Grizzlies, 12th seed, missed playoffs
2009-10: Grizzlies, 10th seed, missed playoffs
2010-11: Grizzlies, suffered shoulder sublaxation (out for year), 8th seed, 2nd round exit to Thunder (without Rudy)
2011-12: Grizzlies, lockout season, 4th seed, active, 1st round exit to Clippers (with Rudy)
2012-13: Grizzlies, traded to Raptors mid-season, 5th seed, conference finals loss to Spurs (without Rudy)
2012-13: Raptors, traded from Grizzlies mid-season, 10th seed, missed playoffs
2013-14: Raptors, traded to Kings near mid-season, 3rd seed, 1st round exit to Nets (without Rudy)
2013-14: Kings, traded from Raptors near mid-season, 13th seed, missed playoffs
2014-15: Kings, 13th seed, missed playoffs
2015-16: Kings, 13th seed, missed playoffs
2016-17: Kings, 12th seed, missed playoffs
Every year Rudy spent with a team, that team missed the playoffs. Grizzlies were able to make the playoffs in the lockout season due to the lesser amount of games (66 versus 82), but it also featured the season where the Clippers ushered a 27-point miracle comeback to steal Game 1, and later the series. The moment teams traded Rudy to another team, their fortunes immediately changed. Both Memphis and Toronto were rewarded with conference finals debuts after trading Rudy: while Grizzlies visit was instant, it took the Raptors two years before they had their day.
Right now the Kings have him. The moment they trade Rudy, they will become a playoff contender. If the Kings send Rudy to the Clippers, the Clip's hopes of a western conference finals berth may be in jeopardy.
But they need a good small forward. Rudy is a 2010 and 2014 FIBA gold medalist.
Would you welcome Rudy to the Clippers, even at the risk of a cursed season?