The Lakers: Bound for mediocrity for the next few seasons?
Posted: Mon Jul 28, 2014 6:24 pm
The Lakers are at the tail end of 20 year run where they won 5 championships while housing some of the greatest players of all time in Shaquille O’Neal and Kobe Bryant. Much has been said about ‘putting the right pieces around Kobe’ so this team can make a final run, but I think the resigning of Kobe to a mammoth like contract is more of a golden handshake and is the ‘Swan-Song’ as such for the Kobe/Shaq Laker Era.
Sometimes you need to let a flame burn out, rather than keep it alight and here are some factors that Mitch Kupchak will certainly be taking into consideration moving forward.
The players that will turn the Lakers into a championship team are locked up- for now
Many names are being touted as possible future Lakers, players who put up excellent statistics but have glaring gaps in their game. Carmelo, KLove and Eric Bledsoe. If the Lakers bide their time, they may have an opportunity to snag a serious game changer down the line like Anthony Davis, Kevin Durant, Paul George or Marc Gasol (the most underrated player in the league).
Kobe’s best days are behind him
Kobe might come back this season and still put up 25, 5 and 5, though that is looking less and less likely. Being Kobe, this guy will himself to on court success as long as he can physically do so, but his play will not be conducive to winning basketball. Those days are gone. His contract also eats up a large portion of the Lakers salary cap.
The team is profitable – Rings or not
In fact, with no Kobe and no winning basketball the Lakers were still, and by a massive margin, the most profitable team in the NBA. If Kobe plays another several seasons and the team scraps together a respectable record then the Lakers will have the opportunity to amass $600 million dollars in pre-tax / pre revenue-sharing profit, which is more than what most teams are worth.
The organization is in a time of uncertainty
Since the passing of Dr. Jerry Buss there has been no visible signs of a power struggle but there certainly are different visions. Several seasons of high return is likely to get all Buss children on the same page- The Lakers need to be relevant into the future.
The team has a lot of potential role players once the team is a contender again
I couldn’t think of any player on this team that has superstar potential. Nick Young, Ed Davis, Jordan Hill and Julius Randle will never be top 10 guys in the league but neither are they are bench fodder. With the trend amongst contracts going into the future, I doubt neither of these guys are going to command more then $5M per year going into the future. Having talent on the roster is going to put the Lakers in a favourable position in catching the ‘big fish’.
Mitch Kupchak is going to play it cool. He knows that he is not in an ideal position to build a contender and that he may not be until Kobe Bryant retires. In the mean time, as long as he can keep a competitive team on the floor, keep his flagship player healthy then the Lakers will be extremely profitable into the next few seasons. This will give him a chance to gage the free agent market and eventually the opportunity will come to land a franchise cornerstone and not just a name, with the Buss family blessing.
As a Laker fan, I would happily eat my hat if I am wrong but I foresee the lack of a big move, the massive Kobe extension and the slow but sure amassing of mediocre players as a deliberate move to keep the Lakers profitable into the next couple of seasons.
In three years time, Kobe’s contract would have ended, there would have been sufficient evaluation of Byron Scott as a coach and the Lakers will have little if any cap burden. This will be one of the leagues most stories franchises, with a pile of cash, pedigree and vacancy for ‘Alpha Dog’. Most importantly, it will sever the ties and truly signify the new era. Free agents are not going to be doubtful of being in Kobe’s shadow, they’ll be confident in knowing that they have the keys.
Sometimes you need to let a flame burn out, rather than keep it alight and here are some factors that Mitch Kupchak will certainly be taking into consideration moving forward.
The players that will turn the Lakers into a championship team are locked up- for now
Many names are being touted as possible future Lakers, players who put up excellent statistics but have glaring gaps in their game. Carmelo, KLove and Eric Bledsoe. If the Lakers bide their time, they may have an opportunity to snag a serious game changer down the line like Anthony Davis, Kevin Durant, Paul George or Marc Gasol (the most underrated player in the league).
Kobe’s best days are behind him
Kobe might come back this season and still put up 25, 5 and 5, though that is looking less and less likely. Being Kobe, this guy will himself to on court success as long as he can physically do so, but his play will not be conducive to winning basketball. Those days are gone. His contract also eats up a large portion of the Lakers salary cap.
The team is profitable – Rings or not
In fact, with no Kobe and no winning basketball the Lakers were still, and by a massive margin, the most profitable team in the NBA. If Kobe plays another several seasons and the team scraps together a respectable record then the Lakers will have the opportunity to amass $600 million dollars in pre-tax / pre revenue-sharing profit, which is more than what most teams are worth.
The organization is in a time of uncertainty
Since the passing of Dr. Jerry Buss there has been no visible signs of a power struggle but there certainly are different visions. Several seasons of high return is likely to get all Buss children on the same page- The Lakers need to be relevant into the future.
The team has a lot of potential role players once the team is a contender again
I couldn’t think of any player on this team that has superstar potential. Nick Young, Ed Davis, Jordan Hill and Julius Randle will never be top 10 guys in the league but neither are they are bench fodder. With the trend amongst contracts going into the future, I doubt neither of these guys are going to command more then $5M per year going into the future. Having talent on the roster is going to put the Lakers in a favourable position in catching the ‘big fish’.
Mitch Kupchak is going to play it cool. He knows that he is not in an ideal position to build a contender and that he may not be until Kobe Bryant retires. In the mean time, as long as he can keep a competitive team on the floor, keep his flagship player healthy then the Lakers will be extremely profitable into the next few seasons. This will give him a chance to gage the free agent market and eventually the opportunity will come to land a franchise cornerstone and not just a name, with the Buss family blessing.
As a Laker fan, I would happily eat my hat if I am wrong but I foresee the lack of a big move, the massive Kobe extension and the slow but sure amassing of mediocre players as a deliberate move to keep the Lakers profitable into the next couple of seasons.
In three years time, Kobe’s contract would have ended, there would have been sufficient evaluation of Byron Scott as a coach and the Lakers will have little if any cap burden. This will be one of the leagues most stories franchises, with a pile of cash, pedigree and vacancy for ‘Alpha Dog’. Most importantly, it will sever the ties and truly signify the new era. Free agents are not going to be doubtful of being in Kobe’s shadow, they’ll be confident in knowing that they have the keys.