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Player Comps and Projections For Your Youth

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codydaze
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Player Comps and Projections For Your Youth 

Post#1 » by codydaze » Thu Dec 28, 2017 11:26 pm

Coming in peace here, I wasn't sure this would fit in any of the threads that exist so I thought I would share some player comparisons and projections I made for your young guys. I did this originally on the Kings board you can check out how I came to these conclusions with the data here (https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=29&t=1653119), but basically this relies heavily on Per36 numbers and advanced numbers to find similarities. I compared rookie season against rookie season, 2nd seasons against second season, etc. to find guys who had similar years as young players and then took that list and did a comparison of the cumulative stats up to that point in their career to find a most similar (currently) player, a projected ceiling as well as a floor. It's not perfect but I got some really interesting results for the Kings and I (unfortunately :wink: ) have some Lakers fan friends that asked to do the same thing for your guys. Let me know what you think. Also, just as a disclaimer, I only used players that showed up in the stats. So the Jason Kidd comp is not just me making a Kidd comp but it actually showed up in the data.

Lonzo Ball
Most Similar: Brian Shaw
Ceiling: Jason Kidd
Floor: Elfrid Payton

Brandon Ingram
Most Similar: Elston Turner
Ceiling: Joe Johnson
Floor: Harvey Grant

Kyle Kuzma
Most Similar: Shareef Abdur-Rahim
Ceiling: Adrian Dantley
Floor: Jay Vincent

Julius Randle
Most Similar: Charles Oakley
Ceiling: Clark Kellogg
Floor: Loy Vaught

Larry Nance Jr
Most Similar: Udonis Haslem
Ceiling: David Lee
Floor: Carl Herrera

Josh Hart
Most Similar: Keith Bogans
Ceiling: Andre Iguodala
Floor: Brandon Davies

Bogdan had some weird results for us and Josh Hart came back with some strange results as well. I think the rest of the comps line up decently, thoughts?
Ball so hard
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Re: Player Comps and Projections For Your Youth 

Post#2 » by Ball so hard » Fri Dec 29, 2017 9:29 pm

Not a bad idea. However, I would guess a majority of this board doesn't know who most of these former players are.
Kupchak9
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Re: Player Comps and Projections For Your Youth 

Post#3 » by Kupchak9 » Fri Dec 29, 2017 10:27 pm

Lonzo Ball
Floor: Ricky Rubio
Most Likely: Rajon Rondo
Ceiling: Jason Kidd

Brandon Ingram
Floor: Nic Batum
Most Likely: Joe Johnson
Ceiling: Paul George

Kyle Kuzma
Floor: Antawn Jamison
Most Likely: Rashard Lewis
Ceiling: Peja Stojakovic

If this core stays in tact, at worst in the playoff hunt. At best top 4 in the West. Likely 6th-8th seed.
Nobody else really matters

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