On/Off and BPM

[aaron_gray]

Min 100 minutes, which eliminates Caruso and Ennis but keeps Bogut.

On/Off Net Top 4

1. Randle +5.4
2. Hart +2.7
3. KCPrison +2.3
4. Clarkson +2.1

Bottom 4

11. Ingram -7.9
10. Nance -4.3
9. Brewer -2.6
8. Zo -2.3

Notes:

-On/Off has Randle as a net positive on both defense and offense, and other stats sort of back it up. He is third in offense on/off at +3.5, and is Per 36 averaging 20/10/3 assists a game. I was surprised because I thought he would turn it over way too much to be good on offense, but he draws oodles of fouls (.476 FTR, 1st on team) and shoots well (.594 TS, 3rd). His midrange percentages are actually down from past seasons, but he's compensated for it by making basically everything underneath the basket. Tbh, I feel like he still hasn't really corrected his mistakes in the half court (only going to his left, not developing his jumper more etc.) but maybe his fast break rampages and p/r make up for it.

-Ingram I just don't understand. This would make a lot more sense if his shooting splits looked like Zo's, but they don't and he doesn't even turn it over that much.

BPM Top 4
1. Nance +3.4
2. Brolo +0.3
3. Zo +0.2
4. KCP +0.1

Bottom 4
11. Brewer -2.6
10. Ingram -2.1
9. Hart -1.9
8. Clarkson -1.1

Notes:

-Hate him all you want but KCP is the only player to appear in the top 4 in both (Brewer and Ingram on the other hand are in the bottom 4 for both lmao). Our favorite inmate's rating is basically entirely driven by his defense, with a -1.9 Defensive On/Off (2nd on team behind Bogut) and a 0.5 DBPM (8th on team). He is averaging 1.8 steals per game right now (11th in the league!) and is quite often tasked with guarding the opponent's best wing/perimeter player by Luke.


Again, these stats aren't designed to be used without context/in isolation. For reference, Lebron has a -0.3 net On/Off and a 10.5 BPM, Gary Harris has a +16.4 On/Off and a 1.7 BPM and tank master Justin Holiday has a +13.6 On/Off and a -0.4 BPM.

Full stats:

Name/Offense OnOff/Defense OnOff/Net/BPM

King Kuz 7 6.8 0.3 -0.5
Brewer -0.4 2.2 -2.6 -2.6
Hart 4.7 2 2.7 -1.9
Ingram -7.1 0.8 -7.9 -2.1
Lonzo -1.9 0.5 -2.3 0.2
Nance -4.3 0 -4.3 3.4
Clarkson 1.3 -0.8 2.1 -1.1
Brolo -0.9 -0.9 0 0.3
Randle 3.5 -1.8 5.4 -0.6
KCP 0.3 -1.9 2.3 0.1
Bogut -5.4 -6.9 1.6 -0.1

-All stats sourced from basketball-reference.
-On/Off looks more at indirect impact of a player on the overall offense and defense of the team while BPM is more of a comprehensive box score efficiency stat.
-If you have the time, I would check out Tyler's on/off numbers. They look really weird. https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/e/ennisty01/on-off/2018

[aaron_gray]

I just want to add that Randle is really the only big on the team who plays the way he does. Bogut basically doesn't do anything on offense, Brook is a skilled but slow prodder, Nance gets more offensive rebounds but draws way less fouls and shoots more jumpers/floaters. None of them are as fearsome as Randle coming down hill on the break, nor will anyone else put a rebound back up against a forest of three defenders.

[Michael Lucky]

The margin for Randle over second is really glaring.