Ball so hard wrote:Pythagoras wrote:Ball so hard wrote:
It's interesting you mention confirmation bias then went on to highlight stats that are largely misleading. I know it's like beating a dead horse, but I'll nonetheless give it another try. The stats you and other Caruso proponents are using are limited. Your entire argument is based on stats from approximately a third of the season, a season in which he primarily played against scrubs; this is by definition confirmation bias. Stats without context is virtually meaningless.
Ah yes, the old he played good only against scrubs argument. You know I was pretty sure this argument was bunk, but nonetheless I just decided to pick a good guard in the West to check myself. Let’s do Lou Williams, since he torched us in the first game:
Here were Lou’s stats against us when Caruso wasn’t on the floor last year:
56.9 FG%, +4.3 in 25.9 mpg in 4 games
When Caruso was on the floor, Lou’s stats:
33.3 FG%, -0.3 in 9.7 mpg in 3 games
So you want to tell me why these stats don’t matter either? Or let’s try another way, outside of Danny Green, you tell which our current crop of guards deserves more pt than Caruso?
Again, you continue to post misleading stats. Do you know what a sample size is, or do you not care what a sample size is?
Causo played in 3 games against the Clipper last year as you correctly noted. He played 38, 5, and 1 minute, respectively. Caruso was matched up against Lou for a total of 3.17 min... let that sink in for a minute. A quick review of an analysis I did in another thread shows he was actually a net negative while defending Lou. Lou's fg% was also excellent while being guarded by Caruso. However, fg% is largely meaningless here given the extremely small sample size. Full disclosure: the analysis is based on individual stats and not team based stats. The stats you're using is based on the overall team performance...using this approach can be very tricky IMO and often reveal information that simply doesn't make much sense. For example, Korver was rated pretty well last year in terms of DRPM; he was rated well above some players who are clearly better on defense.
NBA.com is saying Caruso was on the floor for 28 min total last year when Lou Williams was on the floor. Where are you getting the 3.17 total minutes from? Additionally, show me his excellent fg% that he put up while guarded by Caruso? Cause the NBA.com numbers I gave show Lou’s numbers clearly dipped when Caruso stepped on the floor.