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The Lakers struggles come down to rebounding and forcing turnovers

Posted: Mon Dec 20, 2021 12:23 pm
by zimpy27
Image

Comparisons between 19-20 and 2021-22


Defense
Opponent FT/FGA is 18th this season and was 16th in 19-20
Opponent eFG% is 8th this season and was 7th in 19-20
Opponent TOV% is 3rd this season and was 11th in 19-20
Lakers DRB% is 7th this season and was 24th in 19-20

Offense
Lakers FT/FGA is 18th this season and was 16th in 19-20
Lakers eFG% is 9th this season and was 5th in 19-20
Lakers TOV% is 27th this season and was 23rd in 19-20
Lakers ORB% is 26th this season and was 4th in 19-20


Lakers appear to be impacting shots as well as ever but are slightly worse from the field. Lakers are getting less turnovers and are turning over the ball slightly more. This is getting them less possessions per game.

The real story appears to be rebounding. Their drop in DRB% and ORB% from 19-20 to 21-22 is staggering.

One aspect that might be contributing is the average height of the Lakers on the floor this season:
Player size : Lakers average player height is 23rd this season and was 4th in 19-20

Beyond the height aspect I think effort on boxing out has been critical here. Impact rebounding stats (RAPM-based stats) look at the impact of a player on rebounding differentials when they are on the court. It isn't just thinking about who gets the rebound but it also includes boxing out technique.

Howard and McGee were a big part of the rebounding impact in 2019-20. Caruso, Green were excellent impact rebounders for perimeter guys, KCP and Kuzma were decent.
Howard has been poor comparatively, Lakes lost a lot of the guys above and they really didn't bring in any impact rebounders in the offseason.

Westbrook is one of the worst impact rebounders in the league but by looking at box stats you might see him as a decent rebounder. Steven Adams and Capela are probably the best impact rebounders in the game and both helped to hide Westbrooks flaws on teams in the past. In reality, Westbrook picks off easy rebounds and doesn't box out well.

TLDR - I think main struggles are due to not thinking about rebounding when making offseason moves and perhaps naively assuming that Westbrook could help carry the rebounding burden with AD at the C. Generally rebounding is a team effort play and effort is something the Lakers can improve in the playoffs but I think they really should look to trade for an impact rebounder or two. Also, less forced turnovers of opponents is likely due to the loss of KCP and Caruso, that is not something that is likely to get back.

Re: The Lakers struggles come down to rebounding

Posted: Mon Dec 20, 2021 6:35 pm
by BEazy
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:banghead: :banghead: :banghead:

Re: The Lakers struggles come down to rebounding

Posted: Tue Dec 21, 2021 6:57 pm
by Pythagoras
ScHoolBoy B wrote:
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:banghead: :banghead: :banghead:


Deandre Jordan has no business being on this team.

Re: The Lakers struggles come down to rebounding and forcing turnovers

Posted: Tue Dec 21, 2021 9:49 pm
by sonnyhill
Tim Legler on First Take really emphasized how deficient the Lakers are on defense and how even with AD in the lineup the team cannot defend Phoenix nor Golden State.

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Re: The Lakers struggles come down to rebounding and forcing turnovers

Posted: Tue Dec 21, 2021 10:44 pm
by Pythagoras
sonnyhill wrote:Tim Legler on First Take really emphasized how deficient the Lakers are on defense and how even with AD in the lineup the team cannot defend Phoenix nor Golden State.

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Lazy ass ESPN take. The Lakers are 10th in DRTG this year. Their defense hasn’t been lockdown like the past two years, but it hasn’t been bad. The problem is the offense is a train wreck, despite making multiple moves this offseason to address their offensive woes.

Their are multiple reasons for this, and some of them have been correctly pointed out in the OP. Vogel has made the problem worse with some of his lineup decisions though, ie: starting DJ earlier in the season, starting Bradley, trying to force the fit of THT with Lebron and Westbrook.

The Lakers first pressing issue is to address the fact that they don’t have any bigger wings outside of Lebron. They need at least one more desperately, preferably someone who is not old, injury prone, and washed (Ariza).

Re: The Lakers struggles come down to rebounding and forcing turnovers

Posted: Thu Dec 23, 2021 2:48 am
by zimpy27
Pythagoras wrote:
sonnyhill wrote:Tim Legler on First Take really emphasized how deficient the Lakers are on defense and how even with AD in the lineup the team cannot defend Phoenix nor Golden State.

Read on Twitter
?s=20


Lazy ass ESPN take. The Lakers are 10th in DRTG this year. Their defense hasn’t been lockdown like the past two years, but it hasn’t been bad. The problem is the offense is a train wreck, despite making multiple moves this offseason to address their offensive woes.

Their are multiple reasons for this, and some of them have been correctly pointed out in the OP. Vogel has made the problem worse with some of his lineup decisions though, ie: starting DJ earlier in the season, starting Bradley, trying to force the fit of THT with Lebron and Westbrook.

The Lakers first pressing issue is to address the fact that they don’t have any bigger wings outside of Lebron. They need at least one more desperately, preferably someone who is not old, injury prone, and washed (Ariza).


It's really just rebounding, Lakers are defending fine, they are really struggling to rebound the ball though. That has consequences for the defense as the opposing team gets more shots at goal, even with good defense you still lose.

Re: The Lakers struggles come down to rebounding and forcing turnovers

Posted: Thu Dec 23, 2021 3:37 am
by Pythagoras
zimpy27 wrote:
Pythagoras wrote:
sonnyhill wrote:Tim Legler on First Take really emphasized how deficient the Lakers are on defense and how even with AD in the lineup the team cannot defend Phoenix nor Golden State.

Read on Twitter
?s=20


Lazy ass ESPN take. The Lakers are 10th in DRTG this year. Their defense hasn’t been lockdown like the past two years, but it hasn’t been bad. The problem is the offense is a train wreck, despite making multiple moves this offseason to address their offensive woes.

Their are multiple reasons for this, and some of them have been correctly pointed out in the OP. Vogel has made the problem worse with some of his lineup decisions though, ie: starting DJ earlier in the season, starting Bradley, trying to force the fit of THT with Lebron and Westbrook.

The Lakers first pressing issue is to address the fact that they don’t have any bigger wings outside of Lebron. They need at least one more desperately, preferably someone who is not old, injury prone, and washed (Ariza).


It's really just rebounding, Lakers are defending fine, they are really struggling to rebound the ball though. That has consequences for the defense as the opposing team gets more shots at goal, even with good defense you still lose.


I don’t know if there are stats to back this up, but based on the eye test whenever I see DJ out there, his slow, lazy self doesn’t box out anybody.

Re: The Lakers struggles come down to rebounding and forcing turnovers

Posted: Thu Dec 23, 2021 3:47 am
by zimpy27
Pythagoras wrote:
zimpy27 wrote:
Pythagoras wrote:
Lazy ass ESPN take. The Lakers are 10th in DRTG this year. Their defense hasn’t been lockdown like the past two years, but it hasn’t been bad. The problem is the offense is a train wreck, despite making multiple moves this offseason to address their offensive woes.

Their are multiple reasons for this, and some of them have been correctly pointed out in the OP. Vogel has made the problem worse with some of his lineup decisions though, ie: starting DJ earlier in the season, starting Bradley, trying to force the fit of THT with Lebron and Westbrook.

The Lakers first pressing issue is to address the fact that they don’t have any bigger wings outside of Lebron. They need at least one more desperately, preferably someone who is not old, injury prone, and washed (Ariza).


It's really just rebounding, Lakers are defending fine, they are really struggling to rebound the ball though. That has consequences for the defense as the opposing team gets more shots at goal, even with good defense you still lose.


I don’t know if there are stats to back this up, but based on the eye test whenever I see DJ out there, his slow, lazy self doesn’t box out anybody.


He's not bad purely based on size but he has fallen off dramatically from being a top impact rebounder a couple seasons ago. He just doesn't have the athleticism anymore but he was good once.

Russ was never good.

Howard was amazing even with the Lakers in 20-21 but he's declined a bit and his effort is down for sure this season.

Re: The Lakers struggles come down to rebounding and forcing turnovers

Posted: Fri Dec 24, 2021 2:32 am
by MAMBAEMD
The main problem is in rebounding and TOs.
Our offense is also dysfunctional during long stretches of some games.

Defensively we're not too bad. Legler is a moron.