Lamar Odom and the TD Blues
Posted: Sat Jan 26, 2008 12:22 pm
Okay so I hear a lot of people bagging on Lamar for his inconsistency, but over the course of the last three seasons, I have noticed a sort of rhythm in Lamar Odom basketball - a nearing Trade Deadline and a sharp dip in his production. I believe there's a definite correlation there.
To preface: This is not an excuse for Lamar's poor play nor is it a call to arms. It is merely looking at a trend that I have noticed in his on-court demeanor that is also reflected by the stats.
Also: the Trade Deadline changes slightly every year, this year it's February 22nd, usually it's around this point. Since February is only 28 days (except this year - remember it's leap year people) I'm just calling his stats from the month 'Before' the TD.
(I'm only doing this because I would have to go through all the old gamelogs and make the averages myself, and in the end the TD's effect could easily remain the entire month.)
Now let's take a look at the numbers:
This is the season where it all started. By now Caron Butler was long gone, Brian Grant never existed and Lamar was what was left of the Shaq trade.
The Lakers had chosen Lamar Odom, so it was time to produce...when either he couldn't live up to that sort of pressure or whatever way you can try to rationalize it, this was the time when people started calling for Lamar's head.
But the Lakers held on to him and he bounced back after the TD and played well in the playoffs. I think people had higher hopes for Lamar after his impressive showing against Marion in the post-season, but tragically the loss of his son completely changed Lamar's world.
Obviously that caused him to refocus his life on family over basketball. He didn't touch a basketball that whole summer and came into camp skinny and out of sync.
This actually ended up being his 2nd worst month of the season, statistically. Though he started off the season looking like an all-star, things didn't pan out going down with injury and only playing 10 games combined in December and January.
He never returned to his all-star numbers, but he did bounce back in March.
Yes, his poor play could have been due to recovering from injuries, however I'd argue that seeing as how he's performed great while hurt that same season in the playoffs...that Lamar's greatest challenge will always be mental.
Then we have this season:
So far we've only played 10 games, and we don't even have his February numbers, but he's already down from 15.4 PPG and 48.9%. Now of course a great factor in this season is Bynum's going down with injury, but that does not explain for Lamar's disappointing performance and overall inability to step up.
The point is: Every year Lamar sucks around this time of year. I believe that it's because of his fragile nature that is taxed greatly by the added pressure of being in trade rumors.
Don't you find it interesting that Lamar's name hasn't been nearly as active in trade rumors this season?
Sure it could be because of his diminishing role because of the emergence of Bynum, but wouldn't that make him more tradable? I just find it difficult to believe they were looking to trade him in years past when he actually was our number 2 option.
I think the Lakers are trying to learn from past mistakes.
As Lamar has admitted after another off-season of trade speculation, the rumors hurt his feelings. He takes it personal, so therefore the Lakers are doing what they can to keep him out of the New York Post, try as Peter Vescey may.
Fact is, we're probably never going to trade him, and if history has shown us anything he's bounced back from these low points and performed well in the playoffs - and that's when it counts.
Despite all of our best instincts...Lamar may just surprise us yet. That maniacal son of a bitch.
So, who believes?!.....Anyone?
To preface: This is not an excuse for Lamar's poor play nor is it a call to arms. It is merely looking at a trend that I have noticed in his on-court demeanor that is also reflected by the stats.
Also: the Trade Deadline changes slightly every year, this year it's February 22nd, usually it's around this point. Since February is only 28 days (except this year - remember it's leap year people) I'm just calling his stats from the month 'Before' the TD.
(I'm only doing this because I would have to go through all the old gamelogs and make the averages myself, and in the end the TD's effect could easily remain the entire month.)
Now let's take a look at the numbers:
Code: Select all
2005-2006
---------------------------BEFORE TRADE DEADLINE----------------------------
Jan - 15 Games 39:17 Min 13.4 PPG 9.5 RPG 3.7 Ast 47.0 FG% 3.6 TOs
Feb - 11 Games 39:47 Min 13.0 PPG 9.0 RPG 3.1 Ast 41.5 FG% 1.6 TOs
---------------------------AFTER TRADE DEADLINE------------------------------
Mar - 17 Games 43:12 Min 17.2 PPG 8.4 RPG 5.8 Ast 52.8 FG% 2.8 TOs
This is the season where it all started. By now Caron Butler was long gone, Brian Grant never existed and Lamar was what was left of the Shaq trade.
The Lakers had chosen Lamar Odom, so it was time to produce...when either he couldn't live up to that sort of pressure or whatever way you can try to rationalize it, this was the time when people started calling for Lamar's head.
But the Lakers held on to him and he bounced back after the TD and played well in the playoffs. I think people had higher hopes for Lamar after his impressive showing against Marion in the post-season, but tragically the loss of his son completely changed Lamar's world.
Obviously that caused him to refocus his life on family over basketball. He didn't touch a basketball that whole summer and came into camp skinny and out of sync.
Code: Select all
2006-2007
--------------------------BEFORE TRADE DEADLINE----------------------------
Feb - 12 Games 40:17 Min 13.9 PPG 10.7 RPG 4.1 Ast 41.5 FG% 3.2 TOs
---------------------------AFTER TRADE DEADLINE------------------------------
Mar - 9 Games 40:53 Min 16.0 PPG 12.8 RPG 5.8 Ast 50.0 FG% 2.6 TOs
This actually ended up being his 2nd worst month of the season, statistically. Though he started off the season looking like an all-star, things didn't pan out going down with injury and only playing 10 games combined in December and January.
He never returned to his all-star numbers, but he did bounce back in March.
Yes, his poor play could have been due to recovering from injuries, however I'd argue that seeing as how he's performed great while hurt that same season in the playoffs...that Lamar's greatest challenge will always be mental.
Then we have this season:
Code: Select all
2007-2008
--------------------------BEFORE TRADE DEADLINE----------------------------
Jan - 10 Games 38:00 Min 10.7 PPG 11.1 RPG 4.1 Ast 38.0 FG% 1.6 TOs
So far we've only played 10 games, and we don't even have his February numbers, but he's already down from 15.4 PPG and 48.9%. Now of course a great factor in this season is Bynum's going down with injury, but that does not explain for Lamar's disappointing performance and overall inability to step up.
The point is: Every year Lamar sucks around this time of year. I believe that it's because of his fragile nature that is taxed greatly by the added pressure of being in trade rumors.
Don't you find it interesting that Lamar's name hasn't been nearly as active in trade rumors this season?
Sure it could be because of his diminishing role because of the emergence of Bynum, but wouldn't that make him more tradable? I just find it difficult to believe they were looking to trade him in years past when he actually was our number 2 option.
I think the Lakers are trying to learn from past mistakes.
As Lamar has admitted after another off-season of trade speculation, the rumors hurt his feelings. He takes it personal, so therefore the Lakers are doing what they can to keep him out of the New York Post, try as Peter Vescey may.
Fact is, we're probably never going to trade him, and if history has shown us anything he's bounced back from these low points and performed well in the playoffs - and that's when it counts.
Despite all of our best instincts...Lamar may just surprise us yet. That maniacal son of a bitch.
So, who believes?!.....Anyone?