NY/POR/ORL/NOP

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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#21 » by JRoy » Mon Feb 5, 2024 3:41 pm

Skybox wrote:No way for ORL. I like Brogdon as a target but Isaac, playing as he is right now, is more valuable by himself than the return package. Multiple firsts? way off in value for ORL. I like Time Lord, but his injuries are more than a "bump" in his career. I realize Isaac is same story, but Isaac is better and, at least for now, looks healthy. ORL can't wait this long for Isaac and bail out just when he looks like a DPOY level impact. JV is a non-factor...I'd roll with WCJ and/or Goga first. Personally, I like Isaac at C...but I'd be looking for a Gafford or Claxton as a similar, more reliable fit. JV isn't any better than WCJ and similarly not a great fit next to Franz & Paolo.

I'd give ONE first along with expirings (Fultz or G. Harris + Okeke) for Brogdon. I realize it's a multi-team deal, but, from ORL perspective, it's off.


Injuries are more than bump in RWs career, but not JI?

Come on, man. They are very talented guys with huge injury risk. Any team would love to have either if healthy, which is rare.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#22 » by Skybox » Mon Feb 5, 2024 4:00 pm

JRoy wrote:
Skybox wrote:No way for ORL. I like Brogdon as a target but Isaac, playing as he is right now, is more valuable by himself than the return package. Multiple firsts? way off in value for ORL. I like Time Lord, but his injuries are more than a "bump" in his career. I realize Isaac is same story, but Isaac is better and, at least for now, looks healthy. ORL can't wait this long for Isaac and bail out just when he looks like a DPOY level impact. JV is a non-factor...I'd roll with WCJ and/or Goga first. Personally, I like Isaac at C...but I'd be looking for a Gafford or Claxton as a similar, more reliable fit. JV isn't any better than WCJ and similarly not a great fit next to Franz & Paolo.

I'd give ONE first along with expirings (Fultz or G. Harris + Okeke) for Brogdon. I realize it's a multi-team deal, but, from ORL perspective, it's off.


Injuries are more than bump in RWs career, but not JI?

Come on, man. They are very talented guys with huge injury risk. Any team would love to have either if healthy, which is rare.


I said just the opposite..."same story". My point is that ONE of them is ambulatory right now and he's already in house, so I'll stick with him (understanding how likely it is that it changes any minute).

I'd also say that Isaac at 100% is much more impactful than Time Lord at 100%...don't get me wrong - I'd like both...but not giving up present Isaac for present Time Lord.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#23 » by cgf » Mon Feb 5, 2024 4:06 pm

God would this be brutal for the Knicks.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#24 » by JRoy » Mon Feb 5, 2024 4:24 pm

Skybox wrote:
JRoy wrote:
Skybox wrote:No way for ORL. I like Brogdon as a target but Isaac, playing as he is right now, is more valuable by himself than the return package. Multiple firsts? way off in value for ORL. I like Time Lord, but his injuries are more than a "bump" in his career. I realize Isaac is same story, but Isaac is better and, at least for now, looks healthy. ORL can't wait this long for Isaac and bail out just when he looks like a DPOY level impact. JV is a non-factor...I'd roll with WCJ and/or Goga first. Personally, I like Isaac at C...but I'd be looking for a Gafford or Claxton as a similar, more reliable fit. JV isn't any better than WCJ and similarly not a great fit next to Franz & Paolo.

I'd give ONE first along with expirings (Fultz or G. Harris + Okeke) for Brogdon. I realize it's a multi-team deal, but, from ORL perspective, it's off.


Injuries are more than bump in RWs career, but not JI?

Come on, man. They are very talented guys with huge injury risk. Any team would love to have either if healthy, which is rare.


I said just the opposite..."same story". My point is that ONE of them is ambulatory right now and he's already in house, so I'll stick with him (understanding how likely it is that it changes any minute).

I'd also say that Isaac at 100% is much more impactful than Time Lord at 100%...don't get me wrong - I'd like both...but not giving up present Isaac for present Time Lord.


Agreed, JI is the better player.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#25 » by spree8 » Mon Feb 5, 2024 4:56 pm

jbk1234 wrote:
Mitchell Robinson is maybe worth a late 1st, and I'm not even sure about that. It's not just that he's injured now, he's often injured and he's not a 30mpg center. So while his contract looks like a bargain at first blush, you have to pay a good backup to eat significant minutes even for those stretches when he's healthy.



“Maybe a late 1st” for the leagues best offensive rebounder and one of the better rim protectors/defensive anchors, who’s on a team-friendly descending contract? He may miss time here n there, but cmon now.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#26 » by jbk1234 » Mon Feb 5, 2024 6:19 pm

spree8 wrote:
jbk1234 wrote:
Mitchell Robinson is maybe worth a late 1st, and I'm not even sure about that. It's not just that he's injured now, he's often injured and he's not a 30mpg center. So while his contract looks like a bargain at first blush, you have to pay a good backup to eat significant minutes even for those stretches when he's healthy.



“Maybe a late 1st” for the leagues best offensive rebounder and one of the better rim protectors/defensive anchors, who’s on a team-friendly descending contract? He may miss time here n there, but cmon now.


He doesn't miss some time. He misses a lot of time once you factor in missed games and minutes played per game. Also, part of the reason he's such a good offensive rebounder is because (like TT) that's essentially entire role on offense. If he's on the floor, you're basically playing 4 on 5 on offense. That impacts who you can play with him. Any smart front office is going to factor in all of this before you get to the part where the Knicks are trading him while he's injured and questionable for the playoffs.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#27 » by DeBlazerRiddem » Mon Feb 5, 2024 7:10 pm

This is obviously a dream come true for Portland and the GM that pulled it off would get a statue and a key to the city.

Back to reality, from Portland's POV, I can see breaking this into two potential trades.

1. Ayton to New York for Robinson+Fournier. The motivation from New York is obviously to salvage the season at center, while Portland is fine waiting for Robinson to rehab and then saving half the salary going forward. I think Portland comes away favorable in that exchange and would be taking advantage of a desperate New York so there is absolutely room for more value to go their way. If Walker is enough lets get it done but the bones of the deal look good enough to Portland's goals that there is additional wiggle room to get something done.

2. Brogdon to Orlando for a single FRP pick and filler. I don't think Isaac or RWIII should be involved, I think both teams just prefer what they currently have. How good that FRP has to be will depend on what other offers for Brogdon look like but I cant imagine many other offers beating that so even the DEN25 pick may play.

The Pelican part looks a bit problematic. I don't know why they would want to swap JV for Robinson, they are in the playoff race and JV is healthy. Maybe they are afraid of him walking or being too expensive next year but even then they aren't paying to swap the two at the moment. And Portland would be pretty stoked to have Robinson on our roster next year so also wouldn't want to do that without compensation. So I don't see a real good way to get NOP into this deal personally.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#28 » by nykballa2k4 » Mon Feb 5, 2024 7:27 pm

DeBlazerRiddem wrote:This is obviously a dream come true for Portland and the GM that pulled it off would get a statue and a key to the city.

Back to reality, from Portland's POV, I can see breaking this into two potential trades.

1. Ayton to New York for Robinson+Fournier. The motivation from New York is obviously to salvage the season at center, while Portland is fine waiting for Robinson to rehab and then saving half the salary going forward. I think Portland comes away favorable in that exchange and would be taking advantage of a desperate New York so there is absolutely room for more value to go their way. If Walker is enough lets get it done but the bones of the deal look good enough to Portland's goals that there is additional wiggle room to get something done.

2. Brogdon to Orlando for a single FRP pick and filler. I don't think Isaac or RWIII should be involved, I think both teams just prefer what they currently have. How good that FRP has to be will depend on what other offers for Brogdon look like but I cant imagine many other offers beating that so even the DEN25 pick may play.

The Pelican part looks a bit problematic. I don't know why they would want to swap JV for Robinson, they are in the playoff race and JV is healthy. Maybe they are afraid of him walking or being too expensive next year but even then they aren't paying to swap the two at the moment. And Portland would be pretty stoked to have Robinson on our roster next year so also wouldn't want to do that without compensation. So I don't see a real good way to get NOP into this deal personally.

Your version make more sense and it a lot more realistic.
The NOP angle was more of them looking for a more athletic center. The was the rumor about a month back. They could move JV and assets for Gafford though.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#29 » by Norm2953 » Mon Feb 5, 2024 7:32 pm

DeBlazerRiddem wrote:This is obviously a dream come true for Portland and the GM that pulled it off would get a statue and a key to the city.

Back to reality, from Portland's POV, I can see breaking this into two potential trades.

1. Ayton to New York for Robinson+Fournier. The motivation from New York is obviously to salvage the season at center, while Portland is fine waiting for Robinson to rehab and then saving half the salary going forward. I think Portland comes away favorable in that exchange and would be taking advantage of a desperate New York so there is absolutely room for more value to go their way. If Walker is enough lets get it done but the bones of the deal look good enough to Portland's goals that there is additional wiggle room to get something done.

2. Brogdon to Orlando for a single FRP pick and filler. I don't think Isaac or RWIII should be involved, I think both teams just prefer what they currently have. How good that FRP has to be will depend on what other offers for Brogdon look like but I cant imagine many other offers beating that so even the DEN25 pick may play.

The Pelican part looks a bit problematic. I don't know why they would want to swap JV for Robinson, they are in the playoff race and JV is healthy. Maybe they are afraid of him walking or being too expensive next year but even then they aren't paying to swap the two at the moment. And Portland would be pretty stoked to have Robinson on our roster next year so also wouldn't want to do that without compensation. So I don't see a real good way to get NOP into this deal personally.


New York has been asking around for Reath but if I could get Robinson/Fournier for Ayton, I'd be onboard with
it. Send them a SRP if that helps get something done. The only problem for Portland is they would be going
into next season with both centers on the roster coming off of season ending injury, making Reath the only
center who will be ready for next season

I'm not sure Brogdon to Orlando gets done. Including JI/RW3 in the deal makes it less so. I'm fine just keeping
him and letting his expiring contract expire next off season if he's fine with it. He's more useful to Portland as
a mentor for Scoot
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#30 » by AaronB » Mon Feb 5, 2024 7:34 pm

JRoy wrote:
Skybox wrote:
JRoy wrote:
Injuries are more than bump in RWs career, but not JI?

Come on, man. They are very talented guys with huge injury risk. Any team would love to have either if healthy, which is rare.


I said just the opposite..."same story". My point is that ONE of them is ambulatory right now and he's already in house, so I'll stick with him (understanding how likely it is that it changes any minute).

I'd also say that Isaac at 100% is much more impactful than Time Lord at 100%...don't get me wrong - I'd like both...but not giving up present Isaac for present Time Lord.


Agreed, JI is the better player.


What you do not understand is how much of a better player. I don't blame you, if you don't watch him, it is not obvious.

Let me give you an example.

In a recent win on the road in Minn, Isaac was voted player of the game by the RealGM fans.

He played 20 minutes and scored 3 total points (8 rebs and 1 block).

3 points, 8 rebs and 1 block and it is hard to believe but he dominated the game.

Hard to describe if you are not watching the game.

If Isaac is healthy and playing 20+ minutes per game during the playoffs, the sky is the limit for the Magic.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#31 » by spree8 » Mon Feb 5, 2024 7:36 pm

jbk1234 wrote:
spree8 wrote:
jbk1234 wrote:
Mitchell Robinson is maybe worth a late 1st, and I'm not even sure about that. It's not just that he's injured now, he's often injured and he's not a 30mpg center. So while his contract looks like a bargain at first blush, you have to pay a good backup to eat significant minutes even for those stretches when he's healthy.



“Maybe a late 1st” for the leagues best offensive rebounder and one of the better rim protectors/defensive anchors, who’s on a team-friendly descending contract? He may miss time here n there, but cmon now.


He doesn't miss some time. He misses a lot of time once you factor in missed games and minutes played per game. Also, part of the reason he's such a good offensive rebounder is because (like TT) that's essentially entire role on offense. If he's on the floor, you're basically playing 4 on 5 on offense. That impacts who you can play with him. Any smart front office is going to factor in all of this before you get to the part where the Knicks are trading him while he's injured and questionable for the playoffs.



Minutes played per game = misses time? I don’t follow you there. I don’t think he misses a lot of time tho.. guess we can agree to disagree.

His entire role on offense isn’t just offensive rebounding tho… I’m not sure how much you’ve actually watched him, but sounds like you’re forgetting screen setting, being a big lob threat especially in the p&r, rim running, put backs, etc. We don’t play 4 on 5 as a result of what he brings… defenses have to keep a body on him because of his size and the aforementioned threats. I’m not sure you’re seeing that. It’s not like he’s left open and just gets easy rebounds, the guy is actually fighting multiple players for them every time but with his motor, strength, length, and height he wins the battles.

Smart FO’s factor that in too in addition to his defense and rim protection (which seems like you’re really undervaluing).

Just doesn’t sound like your take is anywhere near accurate.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#32 » by jbk1234 » Mon Feb 5, 2024 8:01 pm

spree8 wrote:
jbk1234 wrote:
spree8 wrote:

“Maybe a late 1st” for the leagues best offensive rebounder and one of the better rim protectors/defensive anchors, who’s on a team-friendly descending contract? He may miss time here n there, but cmon now.


He doesn't miss some time. He misses a lot of time once you factor in missed games and minutes played per game. Also, part of the reason he's such a good offensive rebounder is because (like TT) that's essentially entire role on offense. If he's on the floor, you're basically playing 4 on 5 on offense. That impacts who you can play with him. Any smart front office is going to factor in all of this before you get to the part where the Knicks are trading him while he's injured and questionable for the playoffs.



Minutes played per game = misses time? I don’t follow you there. I don’t think he misses a lot of time tho.. guess we can agree to disagree.

His entire role on offense isn’t just offensive rebounding tho… I’m not sure how much you’ve actually watched him, but sounds like you’re forgetting screen setting, being a big lob threat especially in the p&r, rim running, put backs, etc. We don’t play 4 on 5 as a result of what he brings… defenses have to keep a body on him because of his size and the aforementioned threats. I’m not sure you’re seeing that. It’s not like he’s left open and just gets easy rebounds, the guy is actually fighting multiple players for them every time but with his motor, strength, length, and height he wins the battles.

Smart FO’s factor that in too in addition to his defense and rim protection (which seems like you’re really undervaluing).

Just doesn’t sound like your take is anywhere near accurate.


The mpg part isn't that complicated. If you have to fill more than 20 mpg with another center (not to mention the 20-30 games missed) then you better have a good backup center, and those guys aren't cheap. So you have to add the cost of that player to his contract because you're not getting by with a taxMLE player eating all those minutes.

In terms of offense, yes you have to keep a body on him, but you only have to do that within 5 feet of the basket.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#33 » by spree8 » Mon Feb 5, 2024 8:18 pm

jbk1234 wrote:
spree8 wrote:
jbk1234 wrote:
He doesn't miss some time. He misses a lot of time once you factor in missed games and minutes played per game. Also, part of the reason he's such a good offensive rebounder is because (like TT) that's essentially entire role on offense. If he's on the floor, you're basically playing 4 on 5 on offense. That impacts who you can play with him. Any smart front office is going to factor in all of this before you get to the part where the Knicks are trading him while he's injured and questionable for the playoffs.



Minutes played per game = misses time? I don’t follow you there. I don’t think he misses a lot of time tho.. guess we can agree to disagree.

His entire role on offense isn’t just offensive rebounding tho… I’m not sure how much you’ve actually watched him, but sounds like you’re forgetting screen setting, being a big lob threat especially in the p&r, rim running, put backs, etc. We don’t play 4 on 5 as a result of what he brings… defenses have to keep a body on him because of his size and the aforementioned threats. I’m not sure you’re seeing that. It’s not like he’s left open and just gets easy rebounds, the guy is actually fighting multiple players for them every time but with his motor, strength, length, and height he wins the battles.

Smart FO’s factor that in too in addition to his defense and rim protection (which seems like you’re really undervaluing).

Just doesn’t sound like your take is anywhere near accurate.


The mpg part isn't that complicated. If you have to fill more than 20 mpg with another center (not to mention the 20-30 games missed) then you better have a good backup center, and those guys aren't cheap. So you have to add the cost of that player to his contract because you're not getting by with a taxMLE player eating all those minutes.

In terms of offense, yes you have to keep a body on him, but you only have to do that within 5 feet of the basket.



What? It is complicated because it doesn’t make any sense. He plays 29.3 mpg… that’s more than Myles, Capela, Wemby, Gafford, Poeltl, Horford, Zubac, Jonas, and same as Claxton and KP, and less than 1mpg than Chet and Allen. We also have the luxury of having iHart who’s very very good and deserves minutes.


And no, you don’t have to just keep a body on him within 5 ft of the basket. This sounds like you’re strictly looking at paper here, but the reality of it is if you run a high screen and roll from 25ft out and you don’t pick him up and he’s running to the rim he’s connecting on the lob which he often does, and if you let him set a screen for Brunson or someone else 25ft out and you don’t send help, well you’re giving up a wide open 3. Randle is an excellent passer too so if you don’t keep a body on Mitch who’s on the perimeter setting screens getting guys open, he tends to cut to the rim for an easy dump off and a dunk. He’s absolutely not someone you can just forget about. Mind you, he’s even shown ability to put the ball on the floor from 25ft out and take his man to the hole, yea it’s rare but the dude has skill. He’s just not a stiff.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#34 » by jbk1234 » Mon Feb 5, 2024 8:24 pm

spree8 wrote:
jbk1234 wrote:
spree8 wrote:

Minutes played per game = misses time? I don’t follow you there. I don’t think he misses a lot of time tho.. guess we can agree to disagree.

His entire role on offense isn’t just offensive rebounding tho… I’m not sure how much you’ve actually watched him, but sounds like you’re forgetting screen setting, being a big lob threat especially in the p&r, rim running, put backs, etc. We don’t play 4 on 5 as a result of what he brings… defenses have to keep a body on him because of his size and the aforementioned threats. I’m not sure you’re seeing that. It’s not like he’s left open and just gets easy rebounds, the guy is actually fighting multiple players for them every time but with his motor, strength, length, and height he wins the battles.

Smart FO’s factor that in too in addition to his defense and rim protection (which seems like you’re really undervaluing).

Just doesn’t sound like your take is anywhere near accurate.


The mpg part isn't that complicated. If you have to fill more than 20 mpg with another center (not to mention the 20-30 games missed) then you better have a good backup center, and those guys aren't cheap. So you have to add the cost of that player to his contract because you're not getting by with a taxMLE player eating all those minutes.

In terms of offense, yes you have to keep a body on him, but you only have to do that within 5 feet of the basket.



What? It is complicated because it doesn’t make any sense. He plays 29.3 mpg… that’s more than Myles, Capela, Wemby, Gafford, Poeltl, Horford, Zubac, Jonas, and same as Claxton and KP, and less than 1mpg than Chet and Allen. We also have the luxury of having iHart who’s very very good and deserves minutes.


And no, you don’t have to just keep a body on him within 5 ft of the basket. This sounds like you’re strictly looking at paper here, but the reality of it is if you run a high screen and roll from 25ft out and you don’t pick him up and he’s running to the rim he’s connecting on the lob which he often does, and if you let him set a screen for Brunson or someone else 25ft out and you don’t send help, well you’re giving up a wide open 3. Randle is an excellent passer too so if you don’t keep a body on Mitch who’s on the perimeter setting screens getting guys open, he tends to cut to the rim for an easy dump off and a dunk. He’s absolutely not someone you can just forget about. Mind you, he’s even shown ability to put the ball on the floor from 25ft out and take his man to the hole, yea it’s rare but the dude has skill. He’s just not a stiff.


His career average per game is just under 25 minutes. Thibs tried playing him 29 mpg this season, for the first time in his career, and he suffered a season-ending injury 21 games into the season.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#35 » by spree8 » Mon Feb 5, 2024 8:38 pm

jbk1234 wrote:
spree8 wrote:
jbk1234 wrote:
The mpg part isn't that complicated. If you have to fill more than 20 mpg with another center (not to mention the 20-30 games missed) then you better have a good backup center, and those guys aren't cheap. So you have to add the cost of that player to his contract because you're not getting by with a taxMLE player eating all those minutes.

In terms of offense, yes you have to keep a body on him, but you only have to do that within 5 feet of the basket.



What? It is complicated because it doesn’t make any sense. He plays 29.3 mpg… that’s more than Myles, Capela, Wemby, Gafford, Poeltl, Horford, Zubac, Jonas, and same as Claxton and KP, and less than 1mpg than Chet and Allen. We also have the luxury of having iHart who’s very very good and deserves minutes.


And no, you don’t have to just keep a body on him within 5 ft of the basket. This sounds like you’re strictly looking at paper here, but the reality of it is if you run a high screen and roll from 25ft out and you don’t pick him up and he’s running to the rim he’s connecting on the lob which he often does, and if you let him set a screen for Brunson or someone else 25ft out and you don’t send help, well you’re giving up a wide open 3. Randle is an excellent passer too so if you don’t keep a body on Mitch who’s on the perimeter setting screens getting guys open, he tends to cut to the rim for an easy dump off and a dunk. He’s absolutely not someone you can just forget about. Mind you, he’s even shown ability to put the ball on the floor from 25ft out and take his man to the hole, yea it’s rare but the dude has skill. He’s just not a stiff.


His career average per game is just under 25 minutes. Thibs tried playing him 29 mpg this season, for the first time in his career, and he suffered a season-ending injury 21 games into the season.



But he’s not out for the season (we were denied an injury exception after the league and independent doctors vetted the injury and reports are that he’ll be returning), and you’re assuming it’s related to playing 29 mpg, it’s not rooted in fact. According to him, he “took a wrong step” and got a stress injury.
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#36 » by Skybox » Mon Feb 5, 2024 8:49 pm

AaronB wrote:
JRoy wrote:
Skybox wrote:
I said just the opposite..."same story". My point is that ONE of them is ambulatory right now and he's already in house, so I'll stick with him (understanding how likely it is that it changes any minute).

I'd also say that Isaac at 100% is much more impactful than Time Lord at 100%...don't get me wrong - I'd like both...but not giving up present Isaac for present Time Lord.


Agreed, JI is the better player.


What you do not understand is how much of a better player. I don't blame you, if you don't watch him, it is not obvious.

Let me give you an example.

In a recent win on the road in Minn, Isaac was voted player of the game by the RealGM fans.

He played 20 minutes and scored 3 total points (8 rebs and 1 block).

3 points, 8 rebs and 1 block and it is hard to believe but he dominated the game.

Hard to describe if you are not watching the game.

If Isaac is healthy and playing 20+ minutes per game during the playoffs, the sky is the limit for the Magic.


Not sure who you're lecturing..."what you do not understand"?

JRoy gets it and said he gets it and I certainly do.
zzaj
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Re: NY/POR/ORL/NOP 

Post#37 » by zzaj » Tue Feb 6, 2024 12:17 am

Obviously too good for Portland. PDX would have what, 9 players under contract after this?

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