vincecarter4pres wrote:I have to agree with The King though, it’s not superstar valuation.
It’s two firsts outright and two swaps.
And maybe one prospect who isn’t much of one that you guys almost seem to want to give away (Green), or Eason or Whitmore, which besides the latter some Rockets fans now think is worth a top 30 player on his own because of a 10 game heater, seems pretty reasonable for an All Star level starter in his dead prime signed to one of the best contracts in the league.
Thompson is probably not on the table, I’d imagine.
Maybe the ‘27 swap isn’t relinquished.
I find it hard to believe many teams are giving up a player of Bridges caliber, again in his prime, again on one of the most team friendly contracts literally in sports outside rookie scale, whose team has absolutely no desire to trade none the less, let alone a superstar, or even a perennial All Star for that matter.
The valuation seems about exactly correct.
This isn’t Jerami Grant we’re talking about.
You tell me some actual specific names you think the 4(2+2) pick package with one of Green, Eason or Whitmore returns, I’m legitimately curious to hear this list.
I really don't think Bridges is too different from Jerami Grant as far as on-court impact goes. Bridges is simply not an all-star level guy, he is the definition of borderline all-star, similar to guys like FVV, Grant, and so on. Really great starters, guys you would like to have as your 3rd best players, not stars, not guys that you can ask or rely on to carry a team to the playoffs. Clearly, given all of their team's standings. -- Value wise, Grant is a little bit older, on a moderately larger/longer contract with a PO, and has had some injuries in his recent past, all that combined makes a difference on market value.
As far as the 2+2 package, the value is very hard to determine without knowing the specific franchise involved due to the nature of trading swaps, and any franchise set to benefit the most from the swaps would be in an unlikely position to be trading away key players - unlike the Nets.
For a team to get both the 2024 & 2026 Nets picks, and the rights to swap with the Nets picks VIA HOU in 2025 & 2027, they would have to trade us unprotected 2025 & 2027 picks to swap those with, because of the Stepien rules (Hou doesn't own its own picks in 2024 or 2026). So what value are those picks being sent to us?
For the Nets we know, unfortunately, it's not Houstons picks they will receive in the swaps, it's the Thunders, who currently have the 2nd best record in the league, with an extremely young core all under team control until at least 2027. So these swaps being canceled are worth potentially quite a bit, potentially the difference of 20+ selections. A first isn't just a first and a swap isn't just a swap. That's why teams confident in being perennially elite hand them out like candy, and bottom feeders don't.
Then, I wouldn't interchangeably swap around Jalen/Eason/Whitmore value-wise. I think Whitmore currently has a lot more value than Eason, who probably has more value than Jalen. The tools Cam is showing at 19 in this league are ridiculous. -- I'd assume Cam's market value would be something similar to a projected high lottery pick. Eason on the other hand, is more like a late-lotto/mid-first, and Green a mid-late first.
As far as targets, like you mentioned true star and superstar players aren't available until they are, and at that point it's a bidding war between teams they're willing to go to. In those situations, I feel like Houston will have a fair bid with our assets.
I feel confident we could get these 3rd tier guys who are available for the right price (Lauri/Murray/Grant) for less, but obviously, they all have varying values and contract situations.
Look, I try my best to not be a hack, and this is all way too nuanced for a non hacky message board discussion
That being said, I've mentioned before, I'd do Jalen + all BKN picks for Bridges + the Suns 2029 UNP 1st. I feel like that's a strong premium overpay price for Houston, too. If you swap in Eason for Green the picks change, and if you swap in Whitmore or Amen they change even more.