Scoot McGroot wrote:nate33 wrote:Sactowndog wrote:
How much value do you see Kuzma having? I don’t love Kuzma but would probably do this trade as long as 26 stays part of it. I might also give you Vezenkov to add to it.
I think he is worth one good first round pick in the teens (the low teens in this draft) or two first round picks in the 20's. People like to hate on Kuzma because of his so-so efficiency, but that's because he is the #1 priority of opposing defenses on a bad Wizards team. Kuzma is still a very versatile player who can do a lot of things pretty well. He can guard 2 through 5. He can be a secondary playmaker. He shoots 41% from corner 3's. He can create a bailout shot at the end of the clock. He'll rebound. He is the kind of player who helps in the playoffs because he can't be schemed off the floor like short guys, one-dimensional guys, or non-shooters.
I think a lot of these are “sometimes” or “occasionally”. If he could guard 2-5 with any talent and consistency, he’d be one of the best players in the league. Right? He’s a guy that can, most nights, pull something out of his hat for a stretch, but then he tends to get comfortable and tries to overdo it. He won’t pass guys open, but he’ll make the smart next swing pass into an assist opportunity. Etc. I agree, he’s a fine player to have for most teams, but he probably maxes out as your 4th or 5th best guy? If he’s more than that, I think your team is in trouble?
And in 3 years, as his contract declines, he will cost barely more than MLE money.
With max cap rises, the MLE could be $15.56m (depending on where it lands exactly this year) in the last year of Kuzma’s deal. He’s scheduled to make $19.43m, but only if he stays with the Wizards. If he’s traded elsewhere, his cap number could be as high as $25.35m with his trade kicker and bonus possibilities. Even if he doesn’t hit any bonuses, he’s still at $22.35m. I wouldn’t call him in the neighborhood of MLE, unless he stays with Washington, and they remain terrible, it would be about 25% more than the projected MLE at that point. But that can’t be a trade value selling point. It can only be a “Washington could keep him…” point.
So the thing here is that I wouldn’t see Kuzma as more than the fourth best guy in the Sac starting lineup (flipping between him and Ellis on any given night along with Monk jumping up as sixth man or starter at the 2) anyway.
Fox/Sabonis
Murray
Kuzma/Monk/Ellis
Is exactly how and what the order should be.
The difference is that he provides true PF size and length and much more consistent offense at a more efficient rate than Barnes thus improving that starting lineup overall.
In turn as was said the Wiz get off the e extra years of salary and open up their own cap more while trying to rebuild. They become a team that can absorb or later sign outright the pieces they need as youth develops.
Detroit is at a point where they have to go or get off the pot. They have been wallowing and stacking young assets for a while. Those young guys need that vet presence for a couple of years to give them that sense of pride in professionalism that will help them to take that step. And the idea that they should still be tanking in an Eastern conference that is getting very wide open is not a good one. They should be competing at this point to get to play in/lower playoff level. Not I. A continuing perpetual tank for draft picks that they aren’t properly developing. Barnes is exactly the kind of piece that fits for that purpose. He doesn’t cost a lot (they would still have cap to get a second vet player) and he is gone in two years at just the right time to give some cap relief.
I personally feel that it is a very fair and even trade all around but I can see sending a second or two from Sac to make it work for those that think the value is off. Not the POR second because that’s too potentially in the top seven of the round. But Sac seconds. Detroit can have them both or each team can get one. But Kuzma is ultimately not the value to pull a late lotto first directly because he is what he is and there is some potential head baggage that comes with him as well (can he back down to being a role playing starter again without a LeBron to corral him?).