djFan71 wrote:Texas Chuck wrote:djFan71 wrote:I also think DAL steals some value here as well. That's the best case Jure deal for them. I'd expect them to chip in more that comes BOS way (even just swaps). But it's been debated enough to not be worth rehashing.
Going to ignore your last line, so my feelings won't be hurt at all if you ignore this whole thing lol.
I think as opposed to ideal, I think its basically what it has to be? Not sure what other version there could even be? I don't see Dallas considering PJ Washington and I don't think using multiples of the Martin/Marshall/Christie sized deals is more appealing for the other teams?
That said I'm definitely open to a valuation that says Dallas owes value. The problem is a 1st round swap feels too far and I don't think Dallas considers it and Dallas has nothing else to offer. Oh a distant Philly 2nd but that's meaningless. Prosper in for Powell is maybe 12 cents more value already? Its bleak for Dallas on small assets.
And taking on that much future money isn't nothing in what Dallas contributes. IDK. I'd like Jrue, but I'll be honest the OP is about as far as I'm willing to go. Winning the lottery was obviously great for Dallas, but had they landed at 11 or 12, that becomes an asset easy to break down to juice deals like this. Without it Dallas just has nothing. Sad face.
Yeah, it's tough to figure out what to add pick wise due to your draft assets after the 1st 13 seconds of this year's draft.
I like Marshall quite a bit more than Klay, so I'd take Marshall/Martin over him for the BOS part and be happier. Caleb's extra year doesn't scare me there, and I like him as a player too - if nothing else for him not shooting 147% from 3 against BOS in the playoffs - and BOS save another $2-3M next year and the following vs Klay.
If you could work that out with Dallas, that works for the tax. Assuming BOS signs/drafts at #28 and $32, they'll be $43,978,441 over the luxury tax. On paper they can take back $29,197,909 for Jrue/Porzingis/Hauser combined and be under the tax. Martin/Marshall/Vanderbilt make a combined $30,165,473 so it's slightly over, but BOS can do other things. For example, trading #28 for #31 would save $1.5M. They can waive JD Davison (2 year experience vet min) and sign another 2-way guy from last year Drew Peterson instead (1 year experience vet min) to save about $300K. They could salary dump someone mid year (Tillman, Jordan Walsh) and backfill with a pro rated minimum player to save about $1M. They could buy another 2nd round pick to take the roster spot of Walsh or Tillman to begin with and save that $1M upfront too. There are options to shed that last small bit if they need to.
Some have suggested I gave LAL too sweet a deal including Vandy's multi year deal, so if you subbed Kleber or Vincent in then they each make slightly less so that would add to the savings ($11.57M for Vandy vs. $11.5M for Vincent and $11.0M for Kleber).
If BOS prefers keeping Hauser for shooting, which I think they would, they could probably configure it where it's Marshall or Martin getting dumped into SAC or some other team's MLE/TPE as well. Hauser makes $10.04M compared to $9.0M for Marshall and $9.59M for Martin, so it does create the need to open up more wiggle room. Alternatively they might just view Martin/Marshall as duplicative and just want to dump one anyway, independent of anything else and have more wiggle room below the tax. Or trade for a guy at a different position in follow up.
Also, while this relatively underwhelming combo of Klay/Vandy/Martin/Marshall/Kleber/Vincent, however you configure it, is designed to get BOS below the tax, they don't have to keep those specific players. There can be follow up deals. If BOS is really concerned with the downgrades on the court, they can attach picks to those guys for similarly salaries but better players. Even with the multi year money like Klay/Vandy, while not ideal, they're not some huge albatross contracts either. BOS got IND to take a multi year deal with Daniel Theis int he Brogdon trade, for example. They can still duck the tax but not make these huge downgrades on the court. Well, probably unrealistic to duck the tax and not downgrade at all, but they can use their picks to minimize that if they wish. Personally, I think better served waiting until Tatum is back to do that, in part because a 2026 pick from a downgraded roster would become the most valuable chip they have even if it's just a mid 1st from them scrapping into the play in.