One_and_Done wrote:Prospect Dong wrote:One_and_Done wrote:Bad for Portland, just because there were very good prospects at #11 that were gone by #16, regardless of whether Coward works out. Trading that for some maybes is dumb.
On draft day, every pick is a maybe. #16 is worse than #11. But #16 + almost any other future crack at the first round is better, IMO. This deal would be fine for Portland if the future pick was locked in at bottom 5, but it's actually got significant upside.
Alot of posters get overly focused on abstract 'value' of assets, and making sure a deal has good 'value'. What is the 'value' of Caruso and J.Dub? I don't know, and OKC doesn't care because they're not looking to trade them right now unless they're offered so much it's a joke. That kind of context matters too.
If Coward or say Carter look like studs, then this deal sucks, even if it returns two mid 1sts.
Sure, if recent NBA finals near-MVP Jalen Williams is on the board, you should absolutely draft him, even if someone is offering you all the lotto picks to trade down. It's very rare for current, successful NBA players to be in the draft, though. And you should definitely draft the prospects who are going to turn out to be good, but no one really knows who those guys are in advance. Probably, someone who went between 10 and 16 is going to be better than the guy the Blazers actually picked (maybe most of them: weird pick!). And, probably, there's going to be someone who went later than 16 who will have a better career than Coward. There's no reliable way for even great FOs to pick the future studs in advance. Hopefully, Coward's one. But, as a Griz fan, I would have preferred whoever was left at #16 (maybe still Coward) and another shot at a stud next year.