mysticbb wrote:The Rebel wrote:Also anybody who thinks Love is signing an extension before the trade or even soon after are fooling yourselves, with the way the CBA is written players get less money from an extension than if they let their deal expire and sign a whole new contract with the same team. All the top players will be free agents whether they want to leave their current team or not.
And that is a main issue here for the teams, because they will be reluctant to giving up a lot of assets, if it will not be clear that Love would stay after next season (meaning, that there is a high probability that Love will sign the 5yr max with them in the next summer). Based on the rumors, it looks like the Lakers, Knicks, Bulls and Warriors are the only teams, for which it would make sense to give up assets in order to get Love now. Also, Love might want to see a team being able to put a winning team together, with all the necessary surroundings, and so far only the Warriors and the Bulls could provide that with a high degree of probability.
Which offers might be reasonable for the Timberwolves to take? I don't think that it would be wise to take someone like Lee back with his two years left and essentially providing less than Love overall. The issue seems to be that Lee needs to be in order to make that work salary-wise, or they find a third team interested in adding Lee to their roster. The Timberwolves also have Martin, Budinger, Brewer and Muhammad for the wing already, thus I have a hard time seeing them interested in Barnes in such a deal, unless they could move one of those wings. I see them being interested in Draymond Green, though. Thompson, obviously as well.
For the Bulls, there might be the chance to upgrade a current pick by sending the 16th or 19th and the future Kings pick to the Kings for their pick in this season, if they are not moving up in the draft lottery. In that way the Bulls can offer the Kings pick 2014, the remaining 16/19 pick, and another future pick additionally to the rights to Mirotic. If Mirotic would be interested in joining the Timberwolves (and with Rubio there might be the right guy to connect to Mirotic), that could be very interesting for the Timberwolves. Bulls would need to use Boozer's contract, and can only send out $3m to compensate. But there might be a catch here, because ultimately the Bulls can arrange a deal in that fashion, that part of that can go through on or even before the draft day, while another part of a deal could be set up to happen after the July moratorium. In that way, the Bulls may be able to send overall $6m (not that I'm especially confident about it, but they said that they would re-invest the money they saved via Deng trade, which amounts to about $20m this season).
Example:
Love for Boozer+Mirotic+picks+$3m on or before draft day
Amundson+Brewer+James (all unguaranteed contracts)+$3m for Budinger or Brewer or Barea
Ultimately that could mean Love for an expiring Boozer, plus Mirotic, plus 3 unguaranteed contracts, plus 3 first rounders, plus $6m to compensate for part of Boozer's salary for Love+ either one of the mentioned contracts.
I could see Love & Budinger for Lee, Thompson, and a 1st round pick this year and a future 1st being a good start. Meaning I think that the Warriors would have to move Barnes to a 3rd team for the 2014 1st round pick. The Bulls could put together a good package, and having a front court of Noah and Love with a healthy Rose could be interesting depending on Rose's health, but that is a big if right now, leaving a potential disaster for them, and with no extension the Bulls could be dealing with the same things as the Lakers just went through with the injuries and their big trade asset walking for nothing.
Also a lot has to do with which way the Wolves want to go, do they want to go the Pacers way, or do they want to just blow up the team and start over?
If they want to totally start over I could see both the Celtics and the Suns putting the best packages together as they have so many picks to use, plus the Suns I would imagine would find a way to keep their backcourt giving them a solid playoff team with the chance to develop into more. The Celtics have a lack of talent right now, which would make it hard for them to hold onto Love.
The Lakers and Knicks have very limited assets, meaning I do not see them in the race.
One other team I find interesting is the Rockets, they could team Love with Harden and Howard and have a great team on paper, but of course the defense would be lacking. They have all their 1sts and some 2nd rounders to throw in, if they can find some suitable assets by trading Asik or Lin and include parsons, than I could see them pulling off the deal, and if the chemistry works I do not see anyway that Love could walk away from that team in a year.