The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest

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Re: 12h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#21 » by FixTheKnicks » Thu Jun 29, 2017 9:36 pm

RFA's

Otto Porter (Was)(23.5)
Mason Plumlee (Orl)(10)
JaMychal Green (Hou)(12)
Joe Ingles (Uta)(14)
Nerlens Noel (Dal)(15)
Tim Hardaway (Atl)(12.5)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Det)(12.5)
Andre Roberson (Okc)(12.5)
Kelly Olynyk (Bkn)(10)
Nikola Mirotic (NYK)(10)
Tony Snell (Cle)(8)

Free agent PG's:

Kyle Lowry (San)(22.5)
Jeff Teague (Tor)(20)
George Hill (Uta)(17.5)
Jrue Holiday (NO)(Max)
Derrick Rose (Min)(11)
Patty Mills (NYK)(12.5)
Darren Collison (Bkn)(12)

Others:

Gordon Hayward (Bos)(Max)
Blake Griffin (Okc)(Max)
Danilo Gallinari (Mia)(18.5)
Andre Iguodala (Phi)(13.5)
Paul Millsap (San)(24)
Dewayne Dedmon (San)(7)
Serge Ibaka (Tor)(18)
James Johnson (Tor)(10)
J.J. Redick (San)(13)
Taj Gibson (Dal)(10)
C.J. Miles (Uta)(10)
Patrick Patterson (Mem)(11)
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Re: 6h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#22 » by caliban » Thu Jun 29, 2017 10:42 pm

Alright, I'm going to bed over here in CET now and will lock the submissions when i wake up.
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Re: 6h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#23 » by HornetJail » Fri Jun 30, 2017 1:08 am

1) Guess how much said player will get per year
2) Guess which team said player will end up on (the match if RFA)
3) Get your submission in 24h before the start of free agency
4) Don't forget to have fun

Scoring:

3 point for guessing 1M within the result
2 point for guessing 2M within the result
1 point for guessing 3M within the result
2 point for guessing the right Team

The selected players, 30 in total:

RFA's

Otto Porter Washington - 20
Mason Plumlee Denver - 14
JaMychal Green Memphis 7
Joe Ingles Brooklyn 17
Nerlens Noel Dallas 20
Tim Hardaway Atlanta 12
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Detroit 19
Andre Roberson Atlanta 14
Kelly Olynyk Phoenix 8
Nikola Mirotic Chicago 13
Tony Snell Philly 13

Free agent PG's:

Kyle Lowry Minnesota 25
Jeff Teague Utah 17
George Hill San Antonio - 14
Jrue Holiday New Orleans - 19
Derrick Rose New York - 18
Patty Mills Toronto - 14
Darren Collison Charlotte - 8 (fingers crossed)

Others:

Gordon Hayward Utah - MAX
Blake Griffin OKC - MAX
Danilo Gallinari LA Clippers - 17
Andre Iguodala Philadelphia - 15
Paul Millsap Atlanta - MAX
Dewayne Dedmon Brooklyn - 11
Serge Ibaka Toronto - 23
James Johnson Dallas - 10
J.J. Redick Denver - 16
Taj Gibson Minnesota - 10
C.J. Miles Orlando - 9
Patrick Patterson Indiana - 9
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Re: 6h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#24 » by Texas Chuck » Fri Jun 30, 2017 2:19 am

The selected players, 30 in total:

RFA's

Otto Porter --- Washington --- Max
Mason Plumlee ---- Denver ---- $14M
JaMychal Green (Team)($) --- Memphis -- $12M
Joe Ingles (Team)($) -- Utah $12M
Nerlens Noel (Team)($) ---- Dallas --- $21M
Tim Hardaway (Team)($) ---- ATL $15M
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Team)($) ---- Detroit ---- Max
Andre Roberson (Team)($) --- OKC --- $11M
Kelly Olynyk (Team)($) ---- Boston ---- $12M
Nikola Mirotic (Team)($) ---- Europe
Tony Snell (Team)($) --- Bucks --- $11M

Free agent PG's:

Kyle Lowry (Team)($) --- TOR $25M
Jeff Teague (Team)($) --- Indiana -- $18M
George Hill (Team)($) --- Minnesota --- $20M
Jrue Holiday (Team)($) --- NOP --- Max
Derrick Rose (Team)($) --- Spurs --- $8M
Patty Mills (Team)($) --- Philadelphia --- $14M
Darren Collison (Team)($) --- New Orleans --- $8M

Others:

Gordon Hayward (Team)($) --- Utah --- Max
Blake Griffin (Team)($) --- Miami --- Max
Danilo Gallinari (Team)($) --- Boston --- $18M
Andre Iguodala (Team)($) --- Spurs --- $12M
Paul Millsap (Team)($) --- Denver --- $25M
Dewayne Dedmon (Team)($) --- Kings ---- $12M
Serge Ibaka (Team)($) --- Raptors --- $22M
James Johnson (Team)($) --- Kings ---- $12M
J.J. Redick (Team)($) ---- Philly ---- $18M
Taj Gibson (Team)($) ---- OKC --- $12M
C.J. Miles (Team)($) ---- Chicago ---- $12M
Patrick Patterson (Team)($) --- Brooklyn --- $14M


And this is one terrible entry.
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Re: 6h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#25 » by Lakers24gm » Fri Jun 30, 2017 3:01 am

RFA's

Otto Porter (Wizards)(Max)
Mason Plumlee (Nuggets)(11 mil)
JaMychal Green (Grizz)(11 mil)
Joe Ingles (Nets)(9 Mil)
Nerlens Noel (Dallas)(18 mil)
Tim Hardaway (Atlanta)(11 mil)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Detroit)(Max)
Andre Roberson (Thunder)(14 mil)
Kelly Olynyk (Suns)(12 mil)
Nikola Mirotic (Nets)(9 Mil)
Tony Snell (Bucks)(12 mil)

Free agent PG's:

Kyle Lowry (Toronto)(Max)
Jeff Teague (Knicks)(14 mil)
George Hill (Wolves)(14 Mil)
Jrue Holiday (Pelicans)(Max)
Derrick Rose (Pacers)(16 Mil)
Patty Mills (Spurs)(8 Mil)
Darren Collison (Kings)(8 mil)

Others:

Gordon Hayward (Celtics)(Max)
Blake Griffin (Heat)(Max)
Danilo Gallinari (Nets)(14 Mil)
Andre Iguodala (Warriors)(14 mil)
Paul Millsap (Nuggets)(Max)
Dewayne Dedmon (Hawks)(5 Mil)
Serge Ibaka (Toronto)(20 mil)
James Johnson (Cavs)(MLE)
J.J. Redick (76ers)(16 mil)
Taj Gibson (OKC)(10 Mil)
C.J. Miles (Houston)(MLE)
Patrick Patterson (Magic)(9 Mil)
Dion Waiters (Heat)(12 Mil)
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Re: 6h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#26 » by HartfordWhalers » Fri Jun 30, 2017 4:09 am

I got mine in before the deadline.
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Re: 6h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#27 » by Texas Chuck » Fri Jun 30, 2017 4:25 am

Lakers24gm wrote:Darren Collison (Team)($)




Heads up in case you want to edit in a prediction still.
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Re: It's Game Time! - The 2017 Free Agency Contest 

Post#28 » by Texas Chuck » Fri Jun 30, 2017 4:27 am

HartfordWhalers wrote:Derrick Rose -- 6m Chi




If this happens you can find me on the Bulls board watching the world end....
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Re: 6h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#29 » by caliban » Fri Jun 30, 2017 5:44 am

Entries locked. I'll update the op later today.
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Re: 6h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#30 » by HartfordWhalers » Fri Jun 30, 2017 7:28 am

Texas Chuck wrote:
HartfordWhalers wrote:Derrick Rose -- 6m Chi




If this happens you can find me on the Bulls board watching the world end....


That was supposed to read ChA

caliban wrote:Entries locked. I'll update the op later today.


Any chance that can be corrected? If not, fine, I doubt he goes there either, but yeah, I wasn't expecting a return to Chicago. At leasr I don't think I was. :crazy:
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Re: 6h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#31 » by caliban » Fri Jun 30, 2017 8:01 am

HartfordWhalers wrote:Any chance that can be corrected?


Absolutely
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Re: 6h to go - The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#32 » by HartfordWhalers » Fri Jun 30, 2017 11:52 am

caliban wrote:
HartfordWhalers wrote:Any chance that can be corrected?


Absolutely


Okay corrected. I'm locking the topic, but when you have everything into your chart just pm me and I will unlock.
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Re: The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#33 » by caliban » Fri Jun 30, 2017 9:33 pm

Op is updated and ready for the twitter bombs. I'm on holiday/traveling and will update when I can.

Decimals are in there FYI

Let me know if I've fat fingered your entry.

If anyone has the five year max raises handy hit me up

Favourites according to the mean are Trader_Joe followed by SuperDario and JayJaySee

Happy so many of you joined in, both regular heavy hitters and brash newcommers.

Seat belts on and again, good luck everyone. We'll need it.
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Re: The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#34 » by Texas Chuck » Sat Jul 1, 2017 5:25 am

I got Tony Snell right at least....
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Re: The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#35 » by caliban » Sat Jul 1, 2017 6:41 am

Texas Chuck wrote:I got Tony Snell right at least....

I'd say you had a solid couple of hours in general to start things off.
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Re: The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#36 » by HartfordWhalers » Sun Jul 2, 2017 12:54 pm

I had Iguodala on the nose it looks like. And the right team for Redick, but my overpay of 18m was apparently not within the margin of error.

But some of my remaining guesses look like they are brutally bad.
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Re: The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#37 » by caliban » Mon Jul 3, 2017 10:00 am

HartfordWhalers wrote:I had Iguodala on the nose it looks like. And the right team for Redick, but my overpay of 18m was apparently not within the margin of error.

But some of my remaining guesses look like they are brutally bad.


Woke up to some bad new today. Been low on just about everyone. My put yourself in someone else's clothes skill are clearly lacking. Will make a full update tonight. JayJaySee in a comanding position.
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Re: The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#38 » by HartfordWhalers » Mon Jul 3, 2017 1:26 pm

caliban wrote:
HartfordWhalers wrote:I had Iguodala on the nose it looks like. And the right team for Redick, but my overpay of 18m was apparently not within the margin of error.

But some of my remaining guesses look like they are brutally bad.


Woke up to some bad new today. Been low on just about everyone. My put yourself in someone else's clothes skill are clearly lacking. Will make a full update tonight. JayJaySee in a comanding position.


I'm of the opinion that the Lowry and Ibaka deals were split similar to the Morris twins. If I was 3m high on one, and 3m low on another, it just means I got both together perfect and they split it wrong.
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Re: The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#39 » by caliban » Wed Jul 5, 2017 11:46 am

Patterson signed at 5+M below the mean. That's a good get.
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Re: The 2017 Free Agency Prediction Contest 

Post#40 » by GeorgeMarcus » Wed Jul 5, 2017 7:51 pm

caliban wrote:.


Just curious- it seems like the green in the OP spreadsheet indicates a correct guess. Is there any reason my 12.5 for Tony Snell did not count? I added a lot of .5's shortly after my initial post, so I'm not sure if that was taken into consideration or not.

Either way, thanks for all the work you've put into this!
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