HotelVitale wrote:jbk1234 wrote:HotelVitale wrote:
You’re right on most of these beyond the last sentence. The basic obvious strategy isn’t to hope Simmons’ value increases but rather that the willingness/desire to trade for him increases. There will be teams that disappoint or aren’t coming out like they’re expecting to in a few months; maybe those teams need a talent upgrade then more than they think they do now, maybe someone sees that their plan isn’t working and they need playmaking and defense. Even if not and the Sixers don’t get any breaks, Simmons’ value couldn’t be lower than it is now, so nothing’s really lost. They can take whatever of these deals already exists that’s obviously selling low of BS.
For a number of reasons, I think Simmons value can get lower, and folks who say that it cannot suffer from a lack of imagination. That aside, the other teams get desperate gambit comes with some risk as well. If the goal is to get Fox from the Kings, or Dlo from the Wolves, it could work.
But a team like the Cavs could end up extending Sexton or trading him elsewhere which would essentially remove them as a potential trade partner. Teams can perform better than expected out of the gate and decide against breaking up their rosters. Also, there's the reality that a team like the Warriors could outbid the Sixers for a player like Beal.
This is all true and future's always unknown etc but I'm not sure I get your practical suggestion. The Sixers (understandably) don't like any of the offers on the table now and none of them is way better than the others, so I don't see how it's a better gamble to make a trade you don't like now instead of one in the future. The conclusion that the best offer now will likely be the best offer EVER doesn't make sense--at best it's a sort of panicked guess--and I doubt you would do the same thing with any of your personal valued possessions. If you're taking 50 cents on the dollar for your car, it's because you either a) have to sell it now or b) know you can't do any better. You're not going to take that offer the 3rd day on its ebay just to get it over with. And if many people are offering that 50 cents now and you know it's valuable, it's a good bet the offers will still be there in a month or two.
You can not like the offers on the table now but still have a couple you'd prefer over the others if you had to pull the trigger. Those offers may, or may not be there in the future.
The nightmare scenario is that Simmons reports, doesn't want to be there, plays uninspired ball, the fans get on him, team chemistry collapses, opposing teams routinely foul him in the fourth quarter, losses ensue, and Embiid ends up in Morey's office.
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