pacers33granger wrote:Scoot did a great job on the Pacers, but I'm bored at work, so I'll put my two cents in as well.
Draft
Turner - best pick we've had since Paul George, hands down. Not much needs to be said about this.
Joe Young - a good pick for 43rd overall. Has shown some signs, but is definitely a work in progress.
Trades
Hibbert for (eventually) Rakeem Christmas and cap space - Roy just had to go. He was a cancer his last year in Indy, wasn't producing whatsoever, and there was no way we could play uptempo at all with him. It sucks that his value tanked so hard in only a few years, but Bird did well not having to take on another bad deal to get him out of town. Christmas has looked good in the D-League, but hasn't played at all in the NBA, so that part is somewhat incomplete.
Rudez for Budinger - horrible trade. Rudez was terrible at everything but shooting and we needed shooting. Bud was terrible at everything and paid more. He was reportedly a good soldier, but comments today indicate that he "didn't know his role on the team" which is just wrong. He was brought in to shoot threes and hopefully play solid defense. It's his own fault that he lost minutes to Solo Hill and I have no reason to believe Vogel didn't tell him exactly what his role was. I don't expect Bud to be in the league next year. He plays like a guy who doesn't understand basketball and was getting by on his athleticism.
Free Agency
Monta Ellis - lots of people dislike it, but he's been solid for us. Not scoring like he used to, but he's been active on defense and a vocal leader. The fit is off with Stuckey though. So solid, not great signing.
Rodney Stuckey - he's been a good vet, but again, the backcourt rotation is off and he's been injured all year. His contract is fair imo, but external factors have made the signing look meh.
Jordan Hill - he's been a nice placeholder. Doubt we bring him back. For the price though it was a good one year signing.
Lavoy Allen - resigned for a bit over 3 mil a year. Reportedly is a great locker room guy who works hard. He's not a starter, but is a solid 4th big, which at 3.5 mil is a great contract imo.
Ty Lawson - who knows how this will go, but it's a risk worth taking.
Other
Overall I think Bird did an excellent job this offseason. Outside of the Rudez for Bud swap (and declining Solo's option), his moves were all at least decent. In under a year we went from a team with almost exclusively vets and only one rookie deal on the roster (Solo Hill) to a relatively young but competitive team with several cheap guys who have shown varying degrees of promise. And that was done without trading any key guys and not having a top 10 pick.
The Pacers are a very good organization. The only real mistake I thought they made as an organization was not trading David West last summer after Lance left and George got hurt. They could have picked up a protected 1st from a contender IMO.
In a lot of ways the Pacers are a team in transition. 3 of the 5 starters from the back to back conference finals team are no longer on the team. I liked the idea of Monta in Indiana as I thought he and George Hill would be a great fit. Hill is a 3 and D type of PG and Monta could run the offense and make plays like Lance did. But as other's have mentioned with Monta, you really need to have a stretch 4 when playing with him at the 2 because of his shooting. I'm very surprised that he and Hill haven't panned out better because i really thought it was a good fit. I also agree with him and Stuckey being a little redundant.
But the good news for the Pacers when looking at the payroll and roster, it's set up perfectly for a transitioning team. Indiana completely changed their style of play and they don't currently have all the personal they need. Remember, Paul George is only 25 so it's more than ok if it takes another year or 2 to load the roster completely. They need a power forward who can play fast - Thad Young would actually be a great fit here but he's not much of a 3 point shooter.
Long term here is how I look at Indiana:
1) Point Guard - I like George Hill a lot of a player, but he's not a play maker and will be entering his age 30 season and the last year of his deal next year. I wouldn't be surprised if Indiana looks to upgrade that position over the next 12-15 months. Weather in free agency (Indianapolis native Jeff Teague) or via trade packaging Hill with another asset. Indiana does own all their future picks.
2) Shooting Guard - Long term I see Monta Ellis as the 6th man/instant offense/change of pace combo guard ala Jason Terry. CJ Miles is a nice player but likely another spot you would like to upgrade. He has a short term deal.
3) Small Forward - The guy you have is pretty good.
4) Power Forward - This is the biggest position of need. As mentioned above my thoughts are you want an athletic guy, preferably one that can shoot. Your pick is currently projected at #17 and if I were the GM I would call Brooklyn about Thad Young. Thad isn't the greatest shooter but he's athletic, in his prime, and signed to a reasonable deal for the next 3 years. If you move Monta to 6th man and start another shooter with Hill your spacing will be fine
5) Miles Turner looks like the Center of the future. But he's only 19 so it might be another year or 2 before he's ready to play starter minutes on a contending team. Indiana will have to make a difficult decision about Ian, who is having a nice season and likely looking at a big pay raise in free agency. Not sure you want to tie up you cap with him.
I'd look to enter next season with this lineup:
Hill/Miles/George/Young/Turner with Monta Ellis as the 6th man. Thad Young makes you better short term, fits in long term, and doesn't sacrifice much in terms of future assets or flexibility. Next summer focus on upgrading one, or both, back court spots and the following summer focus on the bench.
Even if they do the Young trade they are looking at $20 million in cap space. I'm sorry for the long post but sometimes you read about great front office work and get excited.
The biggest obstacle the Pacers face is getting a 2nd elite player to run with Paul George. I went to IU and love the State of Indiana, but free agents are running to go play in Indiana and while Turner is a nice prospect, all Indiana would have to offer in a trade in addition to him would be late 1st round picks. But on the flip side you have a 25 year old top 10 player, a terrific coach and GM, tremendous flexibility with your cap moving forward, all your draft picks. It could be a lot worse than the situation in Indiana.