PMOTT3 and Chuck Texas Early Off-Season Review: Portland Trailblazers

Moderators: Texas Chuck, BullyKing, Andre Roberstan, loserX, Trader_Joe, Mamba4Goat, pacers33granger, MoneyTalks41890, HartfordWhalers

You grade the Blazers

A+
0
No votes
A
1
5%
A-
0
No votes
B+
2
10%
B
2
10%
B-
1
5%
C
4
19%
D
4
19%
F
7
33%
 
Total votes: 21

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Re: PMOTT3 and Chuck Texas Early Off-Season Review: Portland Trailblazers 

Post#61 » by bondom34 » Thu Aug 13, 2015 5:47 pm

Trader_Joe wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
Trader_Joe wrote:I would too, but he's simply not good enough to carry a team on his back to wins in the West. The rest of his starters are fringe starters. One player is not enough to say that team as more talent than the collection of talent most teams have. If this was Curry, Paul or RW at PG I would say otherwise but he's nowhere near their level. 25 wins is going to be tough for them to get in the West. The goal needs to be player development, evaluation, a top pick and opportunistic moves.

I'd be shocked if they're sub-30 honestly. That puts them worse than Denver and the Kings last year at under 25, and I just don't see it.

Might want to put some money on them. Last odds I saw had them 26.5.
Also Denver was trying to win until the second part of the year with win now pieces like Gallo, Chandler, Lawson, Faried and Sacramento was trying to win with DMC, Gay and Collison. I don't see Portland focusing on winning this year nor do I think they can. Gerald Henderson might be their second best player and I'm not sure Amino or Plumlee are starters on most teams or that Vonleh is ready.

I'd actually take that bet if I had a bookie :D. I think they have a better bench than the Kings did and barring injury are better than Denver because I think they just had guys quit, which I don't see PDX doing.
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Re: PMOTT3 and Chuck Texas Early Off-Season Review: Portland Trailblazers 

Post#62 » by Texas Chuck » Thu Aug 13, 2015 6:05 pm

Chinook wrote:
Chuck Texas wrote:This is the cap world we live in. You don't have to like it, but you probably do want to understand it.


It's a little patronizing of you to assert I don't know how max contracts affect what players are worth. But no, Lillard isn't worth twice as much as Jackson in any world, and having a cap doesn't change that in the slightest (if anything, it makes it worse, since you seem to think Damien would get more if there wasn't a cap). There simply isn't enough of a difference between them.

Is Reggie overpaid? Yes, egregiously. But Lillard on a Davis deal would be absurdly overpaid, new cap or not. That's a toxic deal, while Jackson's is just burdensome.



Sorry. I didn't mean it like that, but re-reading my post it does sound quite condescending and I do apologize. No need for that on my part.

But yeah Lillard is worth more than twice Jackson because top 20 players are worth more than double top 100 players. There just aren't enough star type players to go around so when you have one, they are extraordinarily valuable.

Davis would be worth way way more than Lillard or Jackson, but he can't get it because of the artificial ceiling. He and Lebron and Curry and Harden and Durant would be worth a lot more if there was no max salary because with very few exceptions you can't win a title without one of these players. Take Timmy Duncan. For nearly 2 decades his presence has meant the Spurs are contenders. He's been that great and that important to the team. Him on a max today would still be a good deal for the Spurs--during his prime it was a joke how underpaid he was.

So its why overpaying role players is so devastating to a team. Take my Mavs. Nearly half our cap goes to Parsons/Matthews. That's putrid cap management. No 2 ways around it.
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Re: PMOTT3 and Chuck Texas Early Off-Season Review: Portland Trailblazers 

Post#63 » by Chinook » Thu Aug 13, 2015 7:03 pm

Chuck Texas wrote:
Chinook wrote:
Chuck Texas wrote:This is the cap world we live in. You don't have to like it, but you probably do want to understand it.


It's a little patronizing of you to assert I don't know how max contracts affect what players are worth. But no, Lillard isn't worth twice as much as Jackson in any world, and having a cap doesn't change that in the slightest (if anything, it makes it worse, since you seem to think Damien would get more if there wasn't a cap). There simply isn't enough of a difference between them.

Is Reggie overpaid? Yes, egregiously. But Lillard on a Davis deal would be absurdly overpaid, new cap or not. That's a toxic deal, while Jackson's is just burdensome.



Sorry. I didn't mean it like that, but re-reading my post it does sound quite condescending and I do apologize. No need for that on my part.

But yeah Lillard is worth more than twice Jackson because top 20 players are worth more than double top 100 players. There just aren't enough star type players to go around so when you have one, they are extraordinarily valuable.

Davis would be worth way way more than Lillard or Jackson, but he can't get it because of the artificial ceiling. He and Lebron and Curry and Harden and Durant would be worth a lot more if there was no max salary because with very few exceptions you can't win a title without one of these players. Take Timmy Duncan. For nearly 2 decades his presence has meant the Spurs are contenders. He's been that great and that important to the team. Him on a max today would still be a good deal for the Spurs--during his prime it was a joke how underpaid he was.

So its why overpaying role players is so devastating to a team. Take my Mavs. Nearly half our cap goes to Parsons/Matthews. That's putrid cap management. No 2 ways around it.


It's cool. I know you're not like that usually. Just didn't want you to look at my post and go "Well, this guy dosesn't understand the cap."

I understand the idea of holding onto star players at nearly any cost. And I know that my experience as a Spurs fan completely skews my perception of what players are really worth. Tim's the obvious example, but you even have Danny Green not going taking less, but being adamant how happy he is just to be back. It's crazy.

But I also feel that Lillard is a FAR way away from any of those guys. He's closer to Jackson in my opinion than he is to Lebron, Durant or even Curry. I don't think Lillard is worth 30 percent of the cap; he's simply not that irreplaceable. I think at his contract, he's near the bottom of the list of stable starting PGs I'd want on my team (and I'm counting folks like Beverly as one of those). I think had he somehow left Portland this off-season instead of LMA, the Blazers would have still been a decent playoff team.

That Matthews contract really makes Dallas' cap management look awful, but I don't think it was too bad before, especially considering they were going to be able to get Mathews and their main target before Cuban got Clipped. What was much worse was letting their role-players walk to save money for a star. They would have been in the same place now, probably, but they wouldn't have looked so awkward during the summers.
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Re: PMOTT3 and Chuck Texas Early Off-Season Review: Portland Trailblazers 

Post#64 » by JasonStern » Fri Aug 14, 2015 1:04 am

Downtown wrote:Afflalo never really did fit and I don't know why. We all felt he was a great player to bring in at the trade deadline. That one will likely remain an enigma in Trailblazers history.


Afflalo fit in fine coming off of the bench, playing with a second unit that needed someone who could create his own offense. he was just a terrible fit in the "3 and D" Wesley Matthews role that was needed to play alongside the starters.


Chinook wrote:
Chuck Texas wrote:This is the cap world we live in. You don't have to like it, but you probably do want to understand it.


It's a little patronizing of you to assert I don't know how max contracts affect what players are worth. But no, Lillard isn't worth twice as much as Jackson in any world, and having a cap doesn't change that in the slightest (if anything, it makes it worse, since you seem to think Damien would get more if there wasn't a cap).


using that logic, Reggie Jackson isn't $12 million/season better than Jeremy Lin. and yet somehow I don't see a team starting 5 Jeremy Lins winning much.
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Re: PMOTT3 and Chuck Texas Early Off-Season Review: Portland Trailblazers 

Post#65 » by Chinook » Fri Aug 14, 2015 2:23 am

Not really. Lin isn't considered overpaid. People know he's good value on his deal, at least from a talent:salary ratio. But I understand that talent and salary do not scale directly. I question whether Lillard is on the other side of the bubble.
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Re: PMOTT3 and Chuck Texas Early Off-Season Review: Portland Trailblazers 

Post#66 » by rein08 » Fri Aug 14, 2015 6:29 am

Well, I personally believe Portland could still fight for the final playoff spot in the West (coz San Antonio, OKC, Houston, New Orleans, LAC, Memphis, and the champs Golden State are locked in those 7 spots). Utah and Minnesota are expected to fight for that spot as well. Dallas (only if their current mix of players mesh very well) is also a team to watch for. That makes it a 4-team race actually (Sorry Phoenix)
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Re: PMOTT3 and Chuck Texas Early Off-Season Review: Portland Trailblazers 

Post#67 » by JasonStern » Sat Aug 15, 2015 7:05 pm

rein08 wrote:Well, I personally believe Portland could still fight for the final playoff spot in the West (coz San Antonio, OKC, Houston, New Orleans, LAC, Memphis, and the champs Golden State are locked in those 7 spots). Utah and Minnesota are expected to fight for that spot as well. Dallas (only if their current mix of players mesh very well) is also a team to watch for. That makes it a 4-team race actually (Sorry Phoenix)


I'm a homer and I disagree. I see Portland as either the third or fourth worst team in the west this season. Lillard gives Portland an edge talent wise over Denver. the Lakers season depends on a 36 year old Kobe Bryant's health. and I honestly feel that Portland is more talented than Minnesota this year. I know people like to point at Wiggins and Towns, which I admit have a very reasonable probability of being better than any of the players currently on the Blazers' roster. but I still feel that Minnesota has a wealth of potential that will likely take a couple of seasons to develop, whereas Portland acquired a collection of "bad team starters" in Henderson, Aminu, Davis, and Plumlee. having a collection of these tier players helps win games now, although their floors and ceilings are pretty well set in at this point. regardless, it's going to be a long season.
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