Simple version: Pick 3 teams that look too low, and 3 that look to high.
Advanced version: Follow above, but also make a stab at every single line (Over, Under, Too close to call)
I am a Genius! (this isn't being saved, right?) version: Follow above, and give an exact win total prediction for every single team using the following code:
Golden State San Antonio Cleveland LA Clippers Boston Toronto Utah Portland OKC Detroit Atlanta Memphis Indiana Washington Houston Minnesota Charlotte Dallas Milwaukee Chicago NYK Miami Orlando New Orleans Denver Sacramento Philly Phoenix Lakers Brooklyn
(You might want to check that your win totals sum to 1230) Entries so far
For those interested in putting in predictions for all teams, I will be making a spreadsheet of all contestants and at the end of the season we can see who was the most accurate and hand out appropriate credit and bragging rights! Those of us doing the team reviews already have a set of predictions for instance.
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 9:28 pm
by basketballwacko2
Maybe it's my "Homerish" side coming out but I think the Pacers will be more like 49 wins.
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 9:35 pm
by jayjaysee
Not even 500 for Dallas begging me to take the over. And looks like Vegas wants people to bet the under for Philly and over for Brooklyn? I think the money would have been split a lot more evenly if both were at 23-25 wins. 20 and 27 just screams trap, but that is a bad idea for the book in a full season wager imo.
But..
Over; GS, SA, Toronto Under; Portland, Minnesota, Philly
Golden State 68 San Antonio 59 Cleveland 58 LA Clippers 55 Boston 50 Toronto 51 Utah 47 Portland 43 OKC 44 Detroit 46 Atlanta 42 Memphis 45 Indiana 46 Washington 42 Houston 40 Minnesota 36 Charlotte 40 Dallas 41 Milwaukee 41 Chicago 43 NYK 38 Miami 30 Orlando 32 New Orleans 35 Denver 34 Sacramento 35 Philly 22 Phoenix 24 Lakers 22 Brooklyn 21
Shrug.
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 9:38 pm
by KqWIN
I'll take at the simple version first, then I'll make even more of a fool of myself with the full version later.
Over: Houston, Miami, Charlotte
Under: Memphis, Indiana, Philadelphia
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 9:45 pm
by HartfordWhalers
Simple version: Pick 3 teams that look too low, and 3 that look to high.
Dallas, Charlotte and Clippers/Chicago are my 3 that I think Vegas is too low on. (Take out Chicago to get me to 3) Cleveland, New York/Milwaukee/Minnesota are the 3 I think too high. (I like em all, but take out Minnesota)
Advanced version: Follow above, but also make a stab at every single line (Over, Under, Too close to call)
Can figure out off below
I am a Genius! (this isn't being saved, right?) version: Follow above, and give an exact win total prediction for every single team.
Golden State 67 San Antonio 53 Cleveland 51 LA Clippers 58 Boston 50 Toronto 47 Utah 49 Portland 44 OKC 45 Detroit 44 Atlanta 40 Memphis 46 Indiana 41 Washington 41 Houston 43 Minnesota 37 Charlotte 46 Dallas 47 Milwaukee 35 Chicago 43 NYK 34 Miami 35 Orlando 38 New Orleans 36 Denver 35 Sacramento 30 Philly 24 Phoenix 26 Lakers 26 Brooklyn 19
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 10:03 pm
by moocow007
Wait so the Knicks improved by 4.5 games (see other thread).
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 10:08 pm
by Texas Chuck
For my plate of crow:
Texas Chuck wrote:Overs: Utah, Charlotte, Milwaukee Unders: Dallas, San Antonio, Detroit
I'm surprised some have the Warriors as an under. 61+ doesn't feel that unlikely
Guess I got Charlotte right and should have trusted my gut on GSW. But the rest of those I whiffed pretty good on.
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 10:15 pm
by bondom34
Edited to just give picks....also I didn't end up with the over for Houston at all.
Modified from the reviews a bit.
A few more unders for me are probably Orlando and Chicago.
Golden State 66 San Antonio 55 Cleveland 57 LA Clippers 54 Boston 50 Toronto 52 Utah 47 Portland 44 OKC 46 Detroit 45 Atlanta 45 Memphis 48 Indiana 45 Washington 39 Houston 41 Minnesota 36 Charlotte 46 Dallas 39 Milwaukee 40 Chicago 35 NYK 35 Miami 34 Orlando 33 New Orleans 37 Denver 35 Sacramento 33 Philly 25 Phoenix 32 Lakers 20 Brooklyn 18
[/quote]
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 10:22 pm
by dalton749
1 Golden State Warriors 66.5 under 64 2 San Antonio Spurs 56.5 under 54 3 Los Angeles Clippers 53.5 under 52 4 Utah Jazz 47.5 over 49 8 Portland Trail Blazers 46.5 under 42 6 Oklahoma City Thunder 45.5 under 45 7 Memphis Grizzlies 43.5 over 45 5 Houston Rockets 41.5 over 46 Minnesota Timberwolves 41.5 under 41 Dallas Mavericks 39.5 under 35 New Orleans Pelicans 36.5 under 34 Denver Nuggets 34.5 over 36 Sacramento Kings 32.5 over 34 Phoenix Suns 26.5 over 28 Los Angeles Lakers 24.5 under 22
1 Cleveland Cavaliers 56.5 under 55 3 Boston Celtics 51.5 under 50 2 Toronto Raptors 49.5 over 53 7 Detroit Pistons 45.5 under 44 6 Atlanta Hawks 43.5 over 44 4 Indiana Pacers 43.5 over 46 8 Washington Wizards 42.5 over 43 Charlotte Hornets 39.5 over 42 Milwaukee Bucks 39.5 under 37 Chicago Bulls 38.5 over 42 5 New York Knicks 38.5 over 45 Miami Heat 36.5 under 34 Orlando Magic 36.5 under 32 Philadelphia 76ers 27.5 under 19 Brooklyn Nets 20.5 under 17
Playoffs
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 10:45 pm
by Smitty731
Let's just say I was wrong the Heat. Very, very wrong.
Other than that, I think I did ok. I'll have to think on this year.
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 10:50 pm
by HartfordWhalers
moocow007 wrote:Wait so the Knicks improved by 4.5 games (see other thread).
I have the Knicks at 34 wins in my prediction. Vegas has them at 38.5. Two different predictions.
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 10:58 pm
by HartfordWhalers
dalton749 wrote:Golden State Warriors 66.5 under 64 San Antonio Spurs 56.5 under 54 Los Angeles Clippers 53.5 under 52 Utah Jazz 47.5 over 49 Portland Trail Blazers 46.5 under 42 Oklahoma City Thunder 45.5 under 44 Memphis Grizzlies 43.5 over 45 (tied 8th/9th) Houston Rockets 41.5 over 43 (tied 8th/9th) Minnesota Timberwolves 41.5 under 41 --------------------------- Dallas Mavericks 39.5 under 38 New Orleans Pelicans 36.5 over 38 Denver Nuggets 34.5 over 37 Sacramento Kings 32.5 over 35 Phoenix Suns 26.5 over 28 Los Angeles Lakers 24.5 under 22
Cleveland Cavaliers 56.5 under 55 Boston Celtics 51.5 under 50 Toronto Raptors 49.5 over 53 Detroit Pistons 45.5 over 47 Atlanta Hawks 43.5 over 44 Indiana Pacers 43.5 under 41 Washington Wizards 42.5 over 44 (tied 8th/9th) Charlotte Hornets 39.5 over 42 (tied 8th/9th) Milwaukee Bucks 39.5 over 43 ------------------------- Chicago Bulls 38.5 over 42 New York Knicks 38.5 over 44 Miami Heat 36.5 under 34 Orlando Magic 36.5 under 30 Philadelphia 76ers 27.5 under 22 Brooklyn Nets 20.5 under 17
Highlight me back if you change it, but I have your win totals adding up to 1240 (10 more than in a season).
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 10:59 pm
by HartfordWhalers
HartfordWhalers wrote:I am a Genius! (this isn't being saved, right?) version: Follow above, and give an exact win total prediction for every single team using the following code:
Golden State San Antonio Cleveland LA Clippers Boston Toronto Utah Portland OKC Detroit Atlanta Memphis Indiana Washington Houston Minnesota Charlotte Dallas Milwaukee Chicago NYK Miami Orlando New Orleans Denver Sacramento Philly Phoenix Lakers Brooklyn
(You might want to check that your win totals sum to 1230) Entries so far
Just noting the link above so everyone can see who predicts what, and the code so it is really easy for me to input your entries.
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Golden State 66 San Antonio 55 Cleveland 57 LA Clippers 54 Boston 52 Toronto 50 Utah 45 Portland 44 OKC 46 Detroit 43 Atlanta 44 Memphis 41 Indiana 47 Washington 38 Houston 40 Minnesota 40 Charlotte 41 Dallas 44 Milwaukee 40 Chicago 35 NYK 36 Miami 33 Orlando 35 New Orleans 37 Denver 35 Sacramento 38 Philly 26 Phoenix 27 Lakers 22 Brooklyn 19
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Tue Sep 20, 2016 11:59 pm
by dalton749
HartfordWhalers wrote: Highlight me back if you change it, but I have your win totals adding up to 1240 (10 more than in a season).
Fixed it. Thanks boss
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2016 12:40 am
by blind prophet
Happy to see the West 8-10 so close. Really hard to order those spots if you ask me, and They've got it barely at/above 500 at 41.5.
I still think 40 gets you in though.
Over Picks Chicago Bucks Kings? Need to see Collison suspension length first but as negative as I am don't peg any others over really.
Under Pelicans Heat Charlotte
Big Booooo pick
Anyone going under on Philly should have NBA man card revoked.
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2016 2:45 am
by brackdan70
Too High: Knicks (33), Warriors(61), Pistons (41) Too Low: Pacers(46), Celtics(55), Pelicans(39)
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2016 8:47 am
by caliban
Well this will be fun! and also a great end destination to the trades and transactions that took place this summer. Will definitely submit a full entry later on.
Re: Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest!
Posted: Wed Sep 21, 2016 9:45 am
by NBAMythbuster
There's always at least one line that's easy money. The last few years it was the Lakers. This year it's the 76ers. No way they reach 28 wins. Vegas has wildly missed the boat here. I also think the Nets are too low, and are a good bet for more just because of the incentives.
begging me to take the over. And looks like Vegas wants people to bet the under for Philly and over for Brooklyn? I think the money would have been split a lot more evenly if both were at 23-25 wins. 20 and 27 just screams trap, but that is a bad idea for the book in a full season wager imo.
