Larry Legend 33 wrote:I will cede that Phoenix, Orlando, New York, Sacramento and Charlotte don't seem like logical trade partners, for the reasons you presented. But a bunch of these you're just searching & creating an excuse why it can't happen. You seem to not like it from a Knick's perspective and are thus against it for every other team.
Resistance wrote:-Cleveland will probably refrain from making another trade with Boston for a while.
-Philadelphia will probably refrain from making another trade with Boston for a while.
-Clippers have West working in the background, so it will be difficult for Ainge to win a deal with them.
These aren't serious arguments against the package I presented, they are made up excuses when there isn't a serious, basketball related reason not to trade. No team is boycotting deals with the C's because Ainge has won a few recently. Also saying this won't happen because West is a deal winner is silly.
Resistance wrote:-Memphis needs quite a bit of work and their FO could be at risk of being ousted.
-Atlanta has multiple first round picks and they need star power. Trading doesn't seem logical to me.
-Dallas has a coach that can get quite a bit out of middle tier players, but they need to find a star.
-Chicago has plans to start moving forward in fairly short order. Trading down in this draft works against that goal.
-MEM is in the first year of a tank, who knows where they're headed. This trade would give them their pick back in 2019, a high SAC pick, and two non-lottery firsts. They could value 4 picks over 1 if they aren't planning to compete next year anyway.
-Atlanta/Dallas are also in the first year of tanking, they are under no pressure to get results yet. Every team needs star power? I wasn't insinuating this package would fetch Ayton. I was suggesting they might not like what's at 5-8 and want to get 2 future lottery picks, and two non-lottery firsts.
-Chicago just started their tank. They might not be doing it next year, but that doesn't mean they can't defer a draft pick this year if they don't like what's available and have 2 future lottery picks & 2 additional firsts to consolidate into a star or reload later.
These aren't serious arguments against the package I presented, they are made up excuses when there isn't a serious, basketball related reason not to trade. No team is boycotting deals with the C's because Ainge has won a few recently. Also saying this won't happen because West is a deal winner is silly.
If LeBron stays with the Cavs, he will be looking for something more immediate in help such as a 2018 lottery pick (or flipped for productive vet) rather than a late 2018 first (Boston) and some future help. LeBron still has game, but his "window" isn't going to be open forever. If LeBron leaves, then Cleveland will be rebuilding and will use a 2018 lottery pick to get things started.
Cleveland had to do a followup trade at the trade deadline because the Irving - IT trade was less than satisfying. If a Cleveland fan is reading this, please share your thoughts on the possibility of Cleveland doing another trade with Boston in the near future.
Currently, the 2018 Detroit pick (#12) and the Clippers pick (#13) are outside the initial range that you inquired about which was 5 - 8, so I am unsure if the package you would offer would remain the same as for a top 8 pick or would be lessened as well.
When Doc Rivers was in charge of basketball operations, the impression that most have is that he didn't win most of the transactions made. Jerry West will be 80 in two months and his salary as an adviser is within the range of what a GM is paid. From my POV, combining the above makes me think that the Clippers aren't trading back for future picks unless they win the deal.
-MEM is in the first year of a tank, who knows where they're headed. This trade would give them their pick back in 2019, a high SAC pick, and two non-lottery firsts. They could value 4 picks over 1 if they aren't planning to compete next year anyway.
-Atlanta/Dallas are also in the first year of tanking, they are under no pressure to get results yet. Every team needs star power? I wasn't insinuating this package would fetch Ayton. I was suggesting they might not like what's at 5-8 and want to get 2 future lottery picks, and two non-lottery firsts.
-Chicago just started their tank. They might not be doing it next year, but that doesn't mean they can't defer a draft pick this year if they don't like what's available and have 2 future lottery picks & 2 additional firsts to consolidate into a star or reload later.
Atlanta should have three first round picks in this draft and a future Cleveland first. There were some preseason doubts in this section of RealGM about them having a strong enough fanbase to tolerate a tank season and some felt that they would patch the roster. To put their fanbase through a tough season and then trade back to the Boston first and future picks is going to be a tough sell to that fanbase.
Dallas is a wild card because Cuban wants a good team, yet wants to avoid too many bad seasons to achieve that. I don't follow them that much, so I will let the Dallas fans weigh in on whether the Mavericks would trade back.
The Bulls are already projected to have a 2018 pick in the area of #20 from New Orleans. Some of their fans have been proposing ways to improve the New Orleans pick while I don't remember much activity oriented towards moving back with their own pick.
Your proposal has a team trading from mid lottery (5 - 8) to the late 2018 Boston first and some future picks. A team that inadvertently (or intentionally) puts their own fanbase through a tough season is using up some of the goodwill/credibility that they have. From reading in team specific sections on RealGM, the teams with poor W/L records and the accompanying high lottery picks are going through some suffering in the current season, but are quite active in the draft discussion threads because that is something positive to look forward to. If a team trades back for the Boston pick and some other stuff, they better win the trade or their fanbase will be less than happy.
In recent years, Boston has been:
2011 - 12: 39 - 27 (strike shortened season)
2012 - 13: 41 - 40
2013 - 14: 25 - 57
2014 - 15: 40 - 42
2015 - 16: 48 - 34
2016 - 17: 53 - 29
2017 - 18: 49 - 23
The Celtics and their fans have only suffered through only one truly miserable season which was 25 - 57, yet has had multiple high draft picks due to a trade with the Nets. I realize that it is difficult to understand how miserable things are for fans when their team is experiencing multiple bad seasons to get the good lottery picks when the Celtics themselves didn't go through the same to get the good picks that they have had in recent years.