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Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 4:56 am
by Godaddycurse
So i've seen a few trade proposals lately involving Murray and to my surprise fans seem to still be attributing (lots of) positive value to him. Dude had an ACL tear and recovery will make him likely miss all of 2021-2022.

His remaining contract: 4 yr/140M

This means he is owed 140M for 3 years of production. This puts it an average of 46.6M per year of production. How can he be positive value for that cost (Without taking into account the potential risk that he may not even return the same player)?

FWIW i'm not suggesting Denver should pay to dump him. They should hold onto him and hope he comes back strong. Once his empty 21-22 salary is paid off then he MAY have value again (if he plays well)

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 6:04 am
by youngthegiant
Jamal's not getting traded coming off an acl injury so it doesn't matter what his trade value is.

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 7:50 am
by Cappy_Smurf
youngthegiant wrote:Jamal's not getting traded coming off an acl injury so it doesn't matter what his trade value is.


In other words, negative.

8-)

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 11:08 am
by Devilanche
Cappy_Smurf wrote:
youngthegiant wrote:Jamal's not getting traded coming off an acl injury so it doesn't matter what his trade value is.


In other words, negative.

8-)

Could just mean lower trade value

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 2:01 pm
by Godaddycurse
Devilanche wrote:
Cappy_Smurf wrote:
youngthegiant wrote:Jamal's not getting traded coming off an acl injury so it doesn't matter what his trade value is.


In other words, negative.

8-)

Could just mean lower trade value


There are very few players that can still be positive value while being paid equivalent of a supermax extension. Murray isn't one of them before his injury, and definitely isn't one after tearing his ACL.

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 2:16 pm
by pcbothwel
Murray could very quickly become a pretty bad contract.
He is a really bad defender and I dont see an ACL tear helping with that.
Offensively, he isnt "Great" at anything. He above average rebounding, passing/vision, and shooter. But he isnt a sniper, a floor general, he doesnt draw fouls.

If he slips back into the 55% TS range, he becomes a very average player being paid premium money at a premium position. Good player, but most certainly puts a ceiling on your team.

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 2:20 pm
by Soulyss
No one is going to take a 140 million dollar risk on that knee. Nuggets will either be screwed or get their player mostly back and be fine.

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 2:58 pm
by Devilanche
Godaddycurse wrote:
Devilanche wrote:
Cappy_Smurf wrote:
In other words, negative.

8-)

Could just mean lower trade value


There are very few players that can still be positive value while being paid equivalent of a supermax extension. Murray isn't one of them before his injury, and definitely isn't one after tearing his ACL.

Isn’t a supermax for those on their second extension ? Those wall/Westbrook/lillard type of contract extension . Murray’s extension was just a rookie scale max contract extension ?

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 3:15 pm
by Godaddycurse
Devilanche wrote:
Godaddycurse wrote:
Devilanche wrote:Could just mean lower trade value


There are very few players that can still be positive value while being paid equivalent of a supermax extension. Murray isn't one of them before his injury, and definitely isn't one after tearing his ACL.

Isn’t a supermax for those on their second extension ? Those wall/Westbrook/lillard type of contract extension . Murray’s extension was just a rookie scale max contract extension ?


Right but he is out all of next year, so he is due 130M for 3 years of production, which is about what a supermax pays

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 3:17 pm
by MoneyTalks41890
Sorry, we're talking an ACL here right? He'll be fine. I think some of the posts in this thread are not remembering what recovery looks like now from these injuries. They probably aren't trading him.

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 3:20 pm
by Scoot McGroot
Godaddycurse wrote:
Devilanche wrote:
Godaddycurse wrote:
There are very few players that can still be positive value while being paid equivalent of a supermax extension. Murray isn't one of them before his injury, and definitely isn't one after tearing his ACL.

Isn’t a supermax for those on their second extension ? Those wall/Westbrook/lillard type of contract extension . Murray’s extension was just a rookie scale max contract extension ?


Right but he is out all of next year, so he is due 130M for 3 years of production, which is about what a supermax pays


We don’t know that he’ll be out all of next year, though. :dontknow:

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 3:44 pm
by youngthegiant
Scoot McGroot wrote:
Godaddycurse wrote:
Devilanche wrote:Isn’t a supermax for those on their second extension ? Those wall/Westbrook/lillard type of contract extension . Murray’s extension was just a rookie scale max contract extension ?


Right but he is out all of next year, so he is due 130M for 3 years of production, which is about what a supermax pays


We don’t know that he’ll be out all of next year, though. :dontknow:
Even if he is this is a dumb way to look at it. His cap figure stays the same, Denver will never actually be paying him 40+ million a year on this contract.

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 4:09 pm
by BK_2020
Godaddycurse wrote:
Devilanche wrote:
Cappy_Smurf wrote:
In other words, negative.

8-)

Could just mean lower trade value


There are very few players that can still be positive value while being paid equivalent of a supermax extension. Murray isn't one of them before his injury, and definitely isn't one after tearing his ACL.

Yeah good thing Murray's on a 25% rookie max, not a 35% supermax.

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 6:44 pm
by jimmy keys
Godaddycurse wrote:
Devilanche wrote:
Godaddycurse wrote:
There are very few players that can still be positive value while being paid equivalent of a supermax extension. Murray isn't one of them before his injury, and definitely isn't one after tearing his ACL.

Isn’t a supermax for those on their second extension ? Those wall/Westbrook/lillard type of contract extension . Murray’s extension was just a rookie scale max contract extension ?


Right but he is out all of next year, so he is due 130M for 3 years of production, which is about what a supermax pays


My trade offer of Vanvleet + Boucher + 2023 FRP for Murray is still on the table. I think the Raptors might be the one team aside from Denver that would be willing to wait it out for a year and take the risk. Hometown (area) kid with star potential to pair with Anunoby, Trent & Siakam. Re-sign Lowry as a stop gap, take the best player available in the draft.

Lowry (Murray)
Trent Jr. (2021 FRP)
Anunoby
Siakam
Birch


For Denver I like the fit of Vanvleet & Boucher. Vanvleet isn't as talented as Murray, but a better defender and maybe a better fit in their starting lineup. I don't think Denver needs a third star with Jokic as the 1st option and Porter Jr. as the 2nd option. VV & Boucher give them more depth and versatility.

Vanvleet
Barton
Porter Jr.
Gordon - Boucher
Jokic

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 7:34 pm
by vxmike
jimmy keys wrote:
Godaddycurse wrote:
Devilanche wrote:Isn’t a supermax for those on their second extension ? Those wall/Westbrook/lillard type of contract extension . Murray’s extension was just a rookie scale max contract extension ?


Right but he is out all of next year, so he is due 130M for 3 years of production, which is about what a supermax pays


My trade offer of Vanvleet + Boucher + 2023 FRP for Murray is still on the table. I think the Raptors might be the one team aside from Denver that would be willing to wait it out for a year and take the risk. Hometown (area) kid with star potential to pair with Anunoby, Trent & Siakam. Re-sign Lowry as a stop gap, take the best player available in the draft.

Lowry (Murray)
Trent Jr. (2021 FRP)
Anunoby
Siakam
Birch


For Denver I like the fit of Vanvleet & Boucher. Vanvleet isn't as talented as Murray, but a better defender and maybe a better fit in their starting lineup. I don't think Denver needs a third star with Jokic as the 1st option and Porter Jr. as the 2nd option. VV & Boucher give them more depth and versatility.

Vanvleet
Barton
Porter Jr.
Gordon - Boucher
Jokic


Denver should take that offer and run after the ACL injury. I see no way Toronto makes that offer though

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 8:10 pm
by jimmy keys
vxmike wrote:
jimmy keys wrote:
Godaddycurse wrote:
Right but he is out all of next year, so he is due 130M for 3 years of production, which is about what a supermax pays


My trade offer of Vanvleet + Boucher + 2023 FRP for Murray is still on the table. I think the Raptors might be the one team aside from Denver that would be willing to wait it out for a year and take the risk. Hometown (area) kid with star potential to pair with Anunoby, Trent & Siakam. Re-sign Lowry as a stop gap, take the best player available in the draft.

Lowry (Murray)
Trent Jr. (2021 FRP)
Anunoby
Siakam
Birch


For Denver I like the fit of Vanvleet & Boucher. Vanvleet isn't as talented as Murray, but a better defender and maybe a better fit in their starting lineup. I don't think Denver needs a third star with Jokic as the 1st option and Porter Jr. as the 2nd option. VV & Boucher give them more depth and versatility.

Vanvleet
Barton
Porter Jr.
Gordon - Boucher
Jokic


Denver should take that offer and run after the ACL injury. I see no way Toronto makes that offer though


Maybe take the pick out then?

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 8:19 pm
by Godaddycurse
MoneyTalks41890 wrote:Sorry, we're talking an ACL here right? He'll be fine. I think some of the posts in this thread are not remembering what recovery looks like now from these injuries. They probably aren't trading him.


It's not a death sentence anymore, but its far from 100% that he will come back the same player. I agree he wouldn't be traded.

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 8:23 pm
by Wolveswin
Beasley + Rubio + Culver + Future Protected 1st*

Can NBA protect picks like nfl in which based on players achievements or health?

Wolves should take the gamble. They are very deep at guard.

Towns
McDaniels
Edwards
Murray | Okogie | Nowell
Russell

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 9:04 pm
by Devilanche
Godaddycurse wrote:
Devilanche wrote:
Godaddycurse wrote:
There are very few players that can still be positive value while being paid equivalent of a supermax extension. Murray isn't one of them before his injury, and definitely isn't one after tearing his ACL.

Isn’t a supermax for those on their second extension ? Those wall/Westbrook/lillard type of contract extension . Murray’s extension was just a rookie scale max contract extension ?


Right but he is out all of next year, so he is due 130M for 3 years of production, which is about what a supermax pays

Yea but while it is like a supermax contract once you apportioned it into 3 years the condition aren’t exactly similar . He will still be in his prime once he finish the 3 years instead of in his mid 30s

Re: Jamal Murray's Trade Value

Posted: Tue May 4, 2021 11:36 pm
by Dn4sty
I could see OKC making a move for him even if he had to set out for all of next year.

It would allow them to possibly continue the tank and then make a push with a healthy Murray/SGA the following season.