Offseason Grades - New York Knicks

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Offseason Grades - New York Knicks 

Post#1 » by bondom34 » Wed Sep 1, 2021 3:51 am

Continuing in the Atlantic Division, with the Nets and Raptors up this week still, and with a 3rd "regular" reviewer and a guest, the Knicks. Not sure on order for the final 2 teams but might even put another one up later today.


Clyde Frazier's Grade:

Offseason Thoughts

Draft
Going into the draft, the Knicks were expected to package picks 19 & 21 to move up. They were mainly tied to Chris Duarte, the 24 year old SG out of Oregon. Given his age he was mocked in the late teens/early 20s, but quickly shot up draft boards in the final days and was selected 13th by the Pacers. With a glut of similar prospects in the 20-30 range, the Knicks opted to trade back in the draft for future assets, still making 4 picks on draft night. This shrewd use of assets can be attributed to Leon Rose hire Brock Aller, who negotiated similar moves in the 2020 draft.

Overall I was happy with the Knicks’ draft. My main gripe was the protection on the first rounder they got back from Charlotte for 19. It should eventually convey as a 1st, but I thought they could’ve done better there. I also have a gut feeling Jalen Johnson is gonna hit, and he was still on the board. All that said, Grimes, McBride and Sims all showed out in summer league. Grimes projects to fill a similar 3&D role to Duarte, McBride looks like he could be a steal and Sims should spend the year in the G League. Jokubaitis is a draft and stash who will need some time if he does eventually come over.

Free Agency
The Knicks’ offseason is a lesson in waiting until contract details come out for all signings. When the deals for Rose, Noel and Burks were first announced, it looked like NY was just running it back and made sure of it with substantial 3 year deals. They were all solid contributors last year, so I was ok with having them back. The contracts became more palatable, though when we learned each contract had a team option in year 3. These are now deals with added flexibility that can be used to match salary in a future trade for a disgruntled star. Gibson can still contribute and is the ultimate locker room guy. Happy to have him back.

The Fournier deal (4 years $73 mil with 4th year TO) is right at market value for a great shooter who can create a little bit for himself and others. Bogdan Bogdanovic is the same age and on a similar 4 year deal with a PO in year 4. Some people are critical of Fournier’s playoff resume, but he wasn’t on great teams. Bogdan didn’t have a world beater playoff performance this year and I imagine the Hawks are still satisfied with what he gave them. Fournier is a clear upgrade over Bullock for NY as they desperately needed more shot creation in the playoffs. The Knicks also snagged two future 2nd round picks in the deal for cash which was a nice added bonus.

The last addition was the Kemba buyout which totally came out of left field. It took the “well this is fine” offseason to “ok now this is interesting!” Even though he only managed to appear in 43 games last season, his numbers were better than I expected: 19.3 PPG, 4 RPG, 4.9 APG, 1.1 SPG on 55.9% TS, +2.5 Net Rtg. He also hoisted up 8.2 3s per game at a 36% clip, which percentage wise was down from 19-20, but still encouraging to spread the floor. With Kemba being a NYer and his history of theatrics at The Garden in his UCONN days, it’s going to be fun just to see him don a Knick uni.

I’m hoping Kemba can transition into a lesser role alongside Randle and RJ, at least somewhat increasing the chances of him staying healthy. He’s a monumental upgrade over Payton and again brings extra playmaking sorely needed. Kemba’s arrival also ensures Rose continues to come off the bench where he thrived last season. While Kemba and Rose are sure to miss games, this is where I see McBride having an opportunity to carve out a role. He’s a dynamic guard on both ends of the floor who looks ready to contribute.

And last but certainly not least, Randle agreeing to the somewhat surprising extension was huge. If he waited a year and bet on himself, he could have secured a $200 mil contract. Can you attribute some of that to him hedging after a poor playoff debut? Possibly, but it became clear this season Randle loves playing here and wants to be part of the team’s progression. The discount he took really opens things up for their ability to bring in other players down the line.

Critics point to expected shooting regression from Randle next year, but even if he does, A) don’t expect it to be drastic and B) that still ignores the other improvements he made to his game. His excellent decision making and mentality were a sharp contrast to his first season in NY, and there’s no doubt in my mind he’ll welcome the help the new additions will provide. Securing Randle with this extension made the offseason a true success.

Grade
A-

Prediction
46-36. I’m more confident in record than seeding as the East clearly got better, but I’ll go cautiously optimistic with 5.

Offseason in GIF form
Image


K_Chile22's Grade:
New York Knicks transactions
Front office
Extended GM Scott Perry for 2 years.

Draft
Drafted Quentin Grimes at pick #25 (acquired from LAC).
Drafted Rokas Jokubaitis at pick #34 (acquired from OKC).
Drafted Miles McBride at pick #36 (acquired from OKC).
Drafted Jericho Sims at pick #58.

Trades
Traded pick #19 for lotto-protected future 1st rounder from CHA.
Traded pick #21 for pick #25 and future 2nd rounder.
Traded pick #32 for picks #34 and #36.
Traded cash for Evan Fournier S&T, 4/$73M and two future 2nds.

Free agency
Waived Norvel Pelle.
Picked up team option on Mitch Robinson, 1/$1.8M.
Extended Julius Randle, 4/$117M, last year PO.
Re-signed Derrick Rose, 3/$44M, last year TO.
Re-signed Nerlens Noel, 3/$28M, last year TO.
Re-signed Alec Burks, 3/$30M, last year TO.
Re-signed Taj Gibson, 2/$10M.
Signed Kemba Walker, 2/$18M.
Acquired Evan Fournier in an S&T, as above.
Signed Dwayne Bacon, 1/min.

Offseason Thoughts:

Huh. I'll start with the draft. I don't hate Grimes at 25, gut think it was a tiny bit high. Not too familiar with Rokas and like Miles. Think they did ok. The draft day trades are a bit more complicated. Not crazy about the #19 trade, but it could very well work out for them, so not knocking them much for that one, #21 trade I don't like but not a big deal. #32 for #34 and #36 was excellent.

Free agency for them was weird. I guess the plan is to give up on cap space and hope to trade for a star? I guess it's not a terrible idea since stars are extending left and right and not hitting free agency, but still, not a ton of fluidity here. Kinda just locked into this group for a couple years, which can bite them if they don't overperform expectations again.
My biggest gripe is this: If your plan is to use up all your capspace for next season now.... Why pickup Robinson's option instead of making him an RFA and locking him up?? That made little sense to me unless they just are fine with him walking away and do not want to pay him. Pretty much all the contracts in a vacuum are fine, except probably the Fournier one, but the direction here is just.. really hard to be positive about. Maybe the knicks look great next year and stars want to go there and I have Crow to eat, but I'm not sure they'll be significantly better than they were last year, while the east got quite a bit better around them.


Grade:
C. Not to be taken negatively, this is just a giant 'meh'.

2022 Prediction:

Bottom of the east playoff picture, probably in the play-in

Offseason in gif form
Image

Mamba4Goat's Grade:

New York Knicks transactions

Front office
Extended GM Scott Perry for 2 years.

Draft
Drafted Quentin Grimes at pick #25 (acquired from LAC).
Drafted Rokas Jokubaitis at pick #34 (acquired from OKC).
Drafted Miles McBride at pick #36 (acquired from OKC).
Drafted Jericho Sims at pick #58.

Trades
Traded pick #19 for lotto-protected future 1st rounder from CHA.
Traded pick #21 for pick #25 and future 2nd rounder.
Traded pick #32 for picks #34 and #36.
Traded cash for Evan Fournier S&T, 4/$73M and two future 2nds.

Free agency
Waived Norvel Pelle.
Picked up team option on Mitch Robinson, 1/$1.8M.
Extended Julius Randle, 4/$117M, last year PO.
Re-signed Derrick Rose, 3/$44M, last year TO.
Re-signed Nerlens Noel, 3/$28M, last year TO.
Re-signed Alec Burks, 3/$30M, last year TO.
Re-signed Taj Gibson, 2/$10M.
Signed Kemba Walker, 2/$18M.
Acquired Evan Fournier in an S&T, as above.
Signed Dwayne Bacon, 1/min.

Offseason Thoughts
The Thibs era Knicks apparently like to get positional players in bulk. Year 1 they cornered the PF market and this year they drafted 3 guards, signed Rose, Burks, Kemba, and Fournier (he's more of a wing though), and still have Quickley, The rookies likely won't see a ton of year 1 playing time and the odds of Kemba and Rose being healthy at the same time is unfortunately rather small at this point in their careers so the depth makes sense but it's still a funny observation.

They had a pretty good offseason though. Acquiring/keeping a few of the mid-tier FA's in Fournier, Noel, and Rose is pretty significant and landing the best buyout player in Kemba (who can be a big x-factor to their season if he can be healthy and get to ~90% of who he used to be). Overall I have it as one of their better ones in recent history.

Grade
B+
As I said, this is one of the better offseasons they've had in recent memory. The only thing I would've changed is trying to sell high on Obi Toppin and probably not bringing back Rose but, you know, Thibs.

2022 Prediction
Lower end playoff team (5-8 seed)
A lot of their success depends on how they utilize all of their new guards, what that changes for Randle, Barrett, and the guards themselves, and how much those changes hurt/improve each player. IQ deserves minutes too.
Offseason in gif form
Image




Bondom34's Grade:

New York Knicks transactions

Front office
Extended GM Scott Perry for 2 years.

Draft
Drafted Quentin Grimes at pick #25 (acquired from LAC).
Drafted Rokas Jokubaitis at pick #34 (acquired from OKC).
Drafted Miles McBride at pick #36 (acquired from OKC).
Drafted Jericho Sims at pick #58.

Trades
Traded pick #19 for lotto-protected future 1st rounder from CHA.
Traded pick #21 for pick #25 and future 2nd rounder.
Traded pick #32 for picks #34 and #36.
Traded cash for Evan Fournier S&T, 4/$73M and two future 2nds.

Free agency
Waived Norvel Pelle.
Picked up team option on Mitch Robinson, 1/$1.8M.
Extended Julius Randle, 4/$117M, last year PO.
Re-signed Derrick Rose, 3/$44M, last year TO.
Re-signed Nerlens Noel, 3/$28M, last year TO.
Re-signed Alec Burks, 3/$30M, last year TO.
Re-signed Taj Gibson, 2/$10M.
Signed Kemba Walker, 2/$18M.
Acquired Evan Fournier in an S&T, as above.
Signed Dwayne Bacon, 1/min.

Offseason Thoughts
I've heard it said a few times that this was a team who's offseason seemed to not make a ton of sense at first but that when we saw how it came together after the first day it was a lot better looking and I tend to agree. Overall I ended this time pretty impressed with what the Knicks did.

Starting at the draft they had some really nice asset plays in both trading 19 for a future pick, trading back a few spots and grabbing a 2nd and (the best value wise) 32 for 34/36. Ended up with a few solid point guard prospects to add to their group, but overall just smart value plays. Nothing mind blowing but just overall some smart moving around the board and picking up minor assets to work with. Oh and I also need to mention its another minor thing but I like Jericho Sims and think that was a good get at 58.

On to free agency it seems a prime example of waiting until all the reports come out to judge a team. Fournier I suppose I'm a little higher on than some, it's fine value for a decent starter and getting team options on all these contracts makes them fine as either bringing back the guys from a successful season or having short term contracts that are movable via trade. I have no idea if Randle keeps up the same production but after the season he had extending him under the max feels like it was a bit of a meeting in the middle for both sides that I can't complain about either. And finally getting Walker for what can only be called under market value seems a great move.

The only quibble I may have is declining the option on Robinson though recent reports seem to indicate they're willing to still extend him. I do think I'd prefer to have him as a RFA next season though overall running last year's team back with an upgrade at point guard and an extra shooter seems like it mostly just works to build up the Knicks toward a better reputation and its an offseason I'll say I was overall a fan of. I don't think they're a contender but I do think they have a shot to be a playoff team again and they did it without either moving significant assets or significantly overpaying anyone, and while keeping their younger core intact.

Grade
B+
2022 Prediction
7th or 8th in the East

Offseason in gif form

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Re: Offseason Grades - New York Knicks 

Post#2 » by HornetJail » Wed Sep 1, 2021 3:55 am

Kemba Walker at $8M a year is a ridiculously good pickup. I think the Knicks had a really solid offseason even though I don't like the Fournier signing at all, if you told me that the Knicks were getting Kemba and Fournier for a combined $26M, I'd consider that a win. B+
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Re: Offseason Grades - New York Knicks 

Post#3 » by Texas Chuck » Wed Sep 1, 2021 4:44 am

One of my least favorite off-seasons of the entire league. You are New York City coming off a shockingly good season that had you hosting a playoff series and tons of cap space and you just brought back the same team and added Kemba and Fournier.

All you achieved was getting more expensive without getting better or increasing your asset base. Would have been much better off just signing guys to one year deals and seeing if next off-season 2 stars wanted to team up together.

This is just going to be a play-in team going nowhere. Where is the upside? Barrett? IQ? Nah this is really disappointing. You have to aim higher than this with that market.
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Re: Offseason Grades - New York Knicks 

Post#4 » by loserX » Wed Sep 1, 2021 4:58 am

Yeah, I'm not sure I'm crazy about it either. As I said elsewhere, I totally get the notion of rewarding guys for an above-expectations season, and they certainly had that.

On the other hand, they went into the offseason with a ton of capspace and two first round picks and the best player they added was...Evan Fournier? To their credit there were a bunch of things the Knicks did right but it's hard to believe this was the best they could do.
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Re: Offseason Grades - New York Knicks 

Post#5 » by Prokorov » Wed Sep 1, 2021 2:11 pm

I didn't really understand the Knicks offseason. No singular moves were bad or awful value, but the timing, the direction, the content just seemed really off to me for a team in a huge market coming off a big year with money to spend.

Extending everyone 1 second in to free agency to me was really off. Locking those guys up paying them for performance to me is ok. but why so soon? Those were guys who were going to sign before the big fish signed. no real risk of losing them not instantly inking them. Could have spent more money and gone over the cap for those extensions, right? They didn't even FLIRT with any big names. All i can come up with is that wesley knew from the inside that those names already were headed elsewhere and would rather make news then be tied to free agents they ultimately wouldnt have signed? The one guy i thought they had to lock up but didnt who could drastically over play his current value is mitch robinson and they didnt go there.

The Kemba move is solid value, but screamed to me as a PR move. Placate some of the backlash to the extensions and lack of big additions with a hometown hero with "name" value. Walker doesnt fit the knicks or thibs. a guy breaking down who gets hunted on switches defensively just doesnt fit thibs running guys heavy minutes and demanding D from them.

Fournier. again, solid value, solid player. dont see the fit and the knicks are basically bringing in the 2 guys who couldnt get it done support a similar (better?) duo of Tatum/Brown.

Randle exentension could save them more money down the road.

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Re: Offseason Grades - New York Knicks 

Post#6 » by Dadouv47 » Wed Sep 1, 2021 2:21 pm

B+ or A- looks fine to me. They couldn't attract a star so they kept their core under fair/good contract. Not a big fan of Fournier but it's fine and value on Kemba is obviously really good. Also smart to trade one of their FRPs because they won't have enough playing time for all their young players.
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Re: Offseason Grades - New York Knicks 

Post#7 » by daoneandonly » Wed Sep 1, 2021 2:54 pm

Agree with K-Chile among the pack. Kemba and Fournier are not winning basketball players, so those being the 2 big gets in the offseason just isnt all that worthy of an A or B grade
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Re: Offseason Grades - New York Knicks 

Post#8 » by Clyde Frazier » Wed Sep 1, 2021 8:27 pm

Responding to some of the criticisms here:

- I could just as well have gone with a B+ for my grade, but I really don’t see going lower than that. They improved the team to compete with the East improving on the whole and didn’t hurt their flexibility going forward. There’s nothing wrong with incremental improvement if you aren’t a treadmill team. I feel like that’s being glossed over here. Turning this into a 50+ win team in 1 offseason isn’t realistic.

- And yes you’re looking for your own young players to take leaps next season. Quickley had a solid rookie year as a pull up threat from well beyond the 3PT line, great FT shooter and had nice chemistry with Rose. In summer league he ran the point so they’re trying to develop that part of his game. RJ’s improvement in year 2 was very encouraging. He has excellent work ethic so I expect him to take another jump this year. Obi also showed signs of improvement in the second half of last year. His minutes are still going to be limited behind randle, but I expect him to be more acclimated this year. I’d like to see them play together some but that’s probably wishful thinking under thibs.

- The Randle extension isn’t being given enough credit. If he waited til next season for the extension and performed reasonably well, then you’re looking at treadmill territory paying him that much money ($200 mil as opposed to 117). He’s a very good player, but showed he’s probably best suited as a #2 or even a #3 on a championship team. If they ended up paying him that $200 mil, it really limits your ability to add others either on the margins or just a big FA signing.

- They had a good draft even if they didn’t take any big swings. If Jalen Johnson does end up hitting then yeah i’ll be disappointed they passed on him. There’s nothing wrong with bringing in players you think can contribute right away. Grimes and McBridge fit that bill, and McBride has decent upside especially for a second rounder. The Sims pick was a nice flier at 58. Usually guys with that much bulk can’t jump out of the gym like he can. A year in the G league and he could be a contributor down the line. I can’t argue with getting a future 1st and 2nd and still coming away with 3 viable players plus a draft & stash.

- Walker and Fournier are major upgrades over Payton and Bullock. I can’t stress this enough: the reason NY struggled so much in the playoffs against ATL was lack of shot creation outside of Randle and Rose. Rose was very effective in that 25 MPG range off the bench, but you don’t want him in a bigger role. Fournier was out with covid as soon as he got to Boston so he didn’t get it going til right before the playoffs started. I don’t think we got a relevant sample size of them together and that Celtics team in general wasn’t at full strength. The knicks also didn’t give anything up for Kemba, so if he really falls off then so be it, you move on. Low risk, high reward move.

- I know I don’t have to tell this board of all places, but times have changed with player movement. Clearing cap space isn’t *as* imperative when it comes to landing a star anymore. If a star wants out, they generally get what they want these days and matching salary on these huge contracts is a bigger factor than it once was. Rose/Burks/Noel/Taj/Fournier are all positive contributors whose contracts can be moved easily down the line, especially to match salary in a trade.

- Even if I’m basing my evaluation on this offseason relative to past Knicks offseasons, I still think they did a good job. Showing stability is important when trying to change public opinion, and they’re off to a good start with Leon Rose, Thibs and co. Another solid season with hopefully a better playoff showing would be a step in the right direction.
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Re: Offseason Grades - New York Knicks 

Post#9 » by bondom34 » Thu Sep 2, 2021 12:52 am

Clyde Frazier wrote:- I know I don’t have to tell this board of all places, but times have changed with player movement. Clearing cap space isn’t *as* imperative when it comes to landing a star anymore. If a star wants out, they generally get what they want these days and matching salary on these huge contracts is a bigger factor than it once was. Rose/Burks/Noel/Taj/Fournier are all positive contributors whose contracts can be moved easily down the line, especially to match salary in a trade.


You mention this but I don't know if we've ever rely fully talked about it a ton here or anywhere. I've heard it discussed on podcasts and similar but since new extension rules kicked in stars haven't moved as frequently as they once did via free agency and even the really big names have been via trade. Players end up getting moved after they sign, and to some extent having assets and short term not bad salary is useful. I'm not even saying that's absolutely going to happen in this case but with more recent history it's been the case where off-season cap space isn't a necessity in hoping for a star.
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Re: Offseason Grades - New York Knicks 

Post#10 » by cl2117 » Fri Sep 3, 2021 11:01 am

I'm gonna go with a B-

It felt like a very "Knicks" offseason. Spent a lot of money, not a ton of big name talent despite being a basketball "Mecca". I didn't think it was a bad off-season by any means, but it also wasn't that exciting in any respect. I probably have unfair expecations for them every year because they're in NYC, so I'll admit I might judge too harshly.

I felt like they really overachieved last year and so to go with an approach of maintaining and upgrading what you're already doing just doesn't seem all that positive to me. I think they'll likely end up in the same spot as last year with some regression from the guys who carried them offset by the nice additions of Fournier/Kemba etc.

I could be totally wrong and last year be the new normal as opposed to an aberration, but I'll need to see it again to believe it. Realistically I think they end up dropping down a couple spots in the standings, being a good regular season team, but with a ceiling that falls short of contention.
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