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2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2024 4:59 am
by NYG
I have a few questions, both generally and some per team...

Generally...

1. What player options, cap holds, etc. roster info am I missing?
2. Who are you keeping that I don't have their cap hold or guaranteed contract?
3. Who are you letting go of that I have on the roster?

Hawks
Trae Young $43,031,940
Dejounte Murray $25,499,599
Clint Capela $22,265,280
De'Andre Hunter $21,696,429
Bogdan Bogdanovic $17,260,000
Onyeka Onkongwu $14,000,000
Jalen Johnson $4,510,905
Kobe Bufkin $4,299,000
A.J. Griffin $3,889,920
Mouhamed Gueye $1,891,857
10th Overall Pick $5,523,960
19th Overall Pick $3,499,800

Total Salary $167,368,690
Cap Space -$25,368,690
Tax Space $5,231,310
1st Apron Space $12,231,310
2nd Apron Space $22,731,310
Cap Holds $0


Hawks Questions
1. Will they try to keep Bey or let him go in free agency

Hornets
LaMelo Ball $35,250,000
Grant Williams $13,025,250
Brandon Miller $11,424,600
Cody Martin $8,120,000
Vasilije Micic $7,723,000
Nick Richards $5,000,000
Tre Mann $4,908,373
Mark Williams $4,094,280
Seth Curry $4,000,000
Nick Smith Jr. $2,587,200
Bryce McGowens $2,019,699
JT Thor $1,988,598
Miles Bridges Cap Hold $15,050,470
Davis Bertans (Wavied/G'teed) $5,250,000
4th Overall Pick $9,196,560

Total Salary $129,638,030
Cap Space $12,361,970
Tax Space $42,961,970
1st Apron Space $49,961,970
2nd Apron Space $60,461,970
Cap Holds $0


Hornets Questions
1. What will Miles Bridges sign for in the off-season?
2. What will Charlotte pursue via draft/free agency?

Heat
Jimmy Butler $34,848,340
Bam Adebayo $29,000,000
Tyler Herro $24,924,126
Terry Rozier $24,924,126
Duncan Robinson $19,406,000
Caleb Martin $7,126,900
Kevin Love $4,027,525
Jaime Jaquez Jr. $3,685,800
Josh Richardson $3,051,153
Thomas Bryant $2,845,342
Nikola Jovic $2,464,200
Orlando Robinson $2,120,693
Dru Smith $2,120,693
Haywood Highsmith Cap Hold $2,377,671
15th Overall Pick $4,274,280

Total Salary $167,196,849
Cap Space -$25,196,849
Tax Space $5,403,151
1st Apron Space $12,403,151
2nd Apron Space $22,903,151
Cap Holds $0


Heat Questions
1. Will they stay below the tax?
2. What salary will they include in a trade for a star?

Magic
Jonathan Isaac $17,400,000
Cole Anthony $12,900,000
Paolo Banchero $12,160,800
Wendell Carter Jr. $11,950,000
Jalen Suggs $9,188,385
Moritz Wagner $8,000,000
Anthony Black $7,607,760
Franz Wagner $7,007,092
Jett Howard $5,278,320
16th Overall $4,060,800

Total Salary $95,553,157
Cap Space $44,109,195
Tax Space $77,046,843
1st Apron Space $84,046,843
2nd Apron Space $94,546,843
Cap Holds $2,337,648


Magic Questions
1. What does Orlando do with all the cap space?

Wizards
Jordan Poole $29,651,786
Kyle Kuzma $23,522,727
Deni Avdija $15,625,000
Richaun Holmes $12,876,780
Marvin Bagley III $12,500,000
Bilal Coulibaly $6,945,240
Corey Kispert $5,705,888
Johnny Davis $5,291,160
Patrick Baldwin Jr. $2,448,840
Ryan Rollins Dead Cap $600,000
Tyus Jones Cap Hold $21,000,000
2nd Overall Pick $11,358,720

Total Salary $147,526,141
Cap Space -$6,694,965
Tax Space $25,073,859
1st Apron Space $32,073,859
2nd Apron Space $42,573,859
Roster Spots Filled 11
Cap Holds $1,168,824


Wizards Questions
1. How much Tyus Jones sign for?

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2024 4:35 pm
by NYG
Does everything look good for the Southeast?

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2024 8:28 pm
by Ball4life32
How much do people think Bey is worth? I’d take him back but not overpay. I like him coming off the bench as a scorer but he’s too poor defensively to be a starter.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2024 9:34 pm
by NYG
Ball4life32 wrote:How much do people think Bey is worth? I’d take him back but not overpay. I like him coming off the bench as a scorer but he’s too poor defensively to be a starter.


Non-Tax MLE?

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 12:41 am
by Clav
For ATL.... Bey is not the greatest target imo to re-sign, but at MLE level I think he's appropriate for them. Otherwise, let him walk, he's not good enough defensively. Hawks should be trying to get creative in the trade market because that team has a lot of attractive players, and focusing around JJ/Young/OO is probably better than Hunter and Capela, and Bogdanovic to some extent, though I do like Bogdan as a bench shooter for the Hawks. Murray's status for the team is still up in the air, he could be traded too.

Miles Bridges 4/120M plus, or S/T somewhere could be attractive option
CHA should offer Maxey and maybe IQ and get those teams to match or offer more. Needs to eval and push development hard. Health of Lamelo would be ideal next season to help the team along.

Orlando needs a PG, not a lot of FA options in 2024, but maybe Murray or Tyus is available for an inter-division trade... But something like Giddey, Sexton, or Ivey ? Maybe one of these younger initiators/ PG-players are moved for the right price.

Miami... I am not sure what they will do. Rozier and Robinson are not great contracts but I'm also not sure what other team is accepting them back for a star level player. Do they make a play to get Klay on their team ?

Washington should attempt to trade everyone not named Avdija and Coulibaly and maybe Tyus Jones and get a second chance at a top level draft pick in 2025. It's development time and some players are just not it, like Poole. Tyus would be a great S/T target for championship level teams to bring in as PG2 and would get WAS a better return.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 3:06 am
by Hoops23
Miami will be a tax team next season. They will not trade for Terry if they didn't know that.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 4:47 am
by NYG
Hoops23 wrote:Miami will be a tax team next season. They will not trade for Terry if they didn't know that.


Re-signing Highsmith and using the Tax MLE gets you there... who would you use as outgoing salary in a bigger trade?

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 5:56 am
by Hoops23
NYG wrote:
Hoops23 wrote:Miami will be a tax team next season. They will not trade for Terry if they didn't know that.


Re-signing Highsmith and using the Tax MLE gets you there... who would you use as outgoing salary in a bigger trade?

Herro

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 10:26 am
by orlando_joe
missing houstan on magic 2+ mill guaranteed

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 1:08 pm
by Skybox
orlando_joe wrote:missing houstan on magic 2+ mill guaranteed



TRADE THIS PLAYER
Current Contract
Caleb Houstan signed a 4 year / $8,207,398 contract with the Orlando Magic, including $4,000,000 guaranteed, and an annual average salary of $2,051,850. In 2023-24, Houstan will earn a base salary of $2,000,000, while carrying a cap hit of $2,000,000 and a dead cap value of $2,000,000.

CONTRACT:4 yr(s) / $8,207,398 AVG. SALARY:$2,051,850 GTD AT SIGN:$4,000,000 SIGNED USING:Entry Level/MLE FREE AGENT:2026 / UFA
YEAR AGE STATUS BASE SALARY LIKELY INCENT. UNLIKELY INCENT. TRADE BONUS CAP HIT PCT OF LEAGUE CAP
2022-23 Contract details by year 20 $2,000,000 - - - $2,000,000 1.62%
2023-24 Contract details by year 21 $2,000,000 - - - $2,000,000 1.47%
2024-25 Contract details by year 22
NON-GTD
$2,019,699 - - - $2,019,699 1.43%
2025-26 Contract details by year 23
Club
$2,187,699 - - - $2,187,699 1.41%
2026 Free Agent Year 24
UFA

Contract Notes:
2024-25: non-guaranteed, fully guraanteed on 6/30/24
2025-25: Club Option/non-guaranteed, fully guaranteed on 6/30/25

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 3:24 pm
by tiderulz
Clav wrote:Orlando needs a PG, not a lot of FA options in 2024, but maybe Murray or Tyus is available for an inter-division trade... But something like Giddey, Sexton, or Ivey ? Maybe one of these younger initiators/ PG-players are moved for the right price.


Jones a FA, though im not sure how much better he can get. and I dont really consider Ivey a PG, he is more combo guard like Suggs. I would shake the tree on Murray and Sexton.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 3:42 pm
by LofJ
If I were Orlando I would make a move in the draft for a point guard. So do what you have to do to trade up for Topic, Sheppard, or Dillingham. A lightly protected future 1st and/or a decent prospect like Black should entice a lot of teams at the top of the draft. It's a better gamble than paying a fortune for Trae Young imo.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 3:45 pm
by nate33
Clav wrote:Washington should attempt to trade everyone not named Avdija and Coulibaly and maybe Tyus Jones and get a second chance at a top level draft pick in 2025. It's development time and some players are just not it, like Poole. Tyus would be a great S/T target for championship level teams to bring in as PG2 and would get WAS a better return.

That's basically what they are doing, only they can't trade Poole because he is the worst contract in the league and nobody wants him.

The trick is to try and trade guys when their value is highest. Kuzma, for example will probably increase in value as his contract descends relative to an increasing salary cap. Tyus was shopped but they only got SRP offers, so they declined those and will instead resign Tyus (probably to a descending deal) with the hope to trade him sometime in the future for a better return. He can help teach the youngsters in the meantime.

Kispert is really the only guy worth debating about. Should they trade him or extend him? I could go either way. He is a useful role player, but already 25. It depends on the trade offers and the expected cost of his new contract.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 3:50 pm
by nate33
NYG wrote:Wizards Questions
1. How much Tyus Jones sign for?

With the possible exception of Orlando, I suspect the best offers for him this summer will be MLE offers. With that in mind, the Wizards should offer him just a little bit more, plus the promise of a starting job. That should be enough to convince him to stay.

A 3-year MLE contract with 5% raises pays him $12.8, $13.5 and $14.1M over the next 3 years respectively for a total of $40.4M. I figure the Wizards should offer him a 3-year $42M deal. Frontload the deal with 8% salary declines each year and it will look like this: $15.2M, $14.0M, $12.8M. In two years, that $12.8M salary will be just 80% of the MLE, which is equivalent to a $9.9M contract today. That should make him pretty tradeable.

Also, a 3-year deal has his contract expire alongside Poole's (and Kuzma's if he lasts that long) which will likely set the Wizards up for a max free agent in 2027 to add to their developing rookie contract squad.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 6:04 pm
by Skybox
tiderulz wrote:
Clav wrote:Orlando needs a PG, not a lot of FA options in 2024, but maybe Murray or Tyus is available for an inter-division trade... But something like Giddey, Sexton, or Ivey ? Maybe one of these younger initiators/ PG-players are moved for the right price.


Jones a FA, though im not sure how much better he can get. and I dont really consider Ivey a PG, he is more combo guard like Suggs. I would shake the tree on Murray and Sexton.


I'd be interested in exploring any of those guys...recent podcasts (good ones, not "from my Mom's basement" stuff) have commented on how Sexton is definitely not a PG and is flourishing now in his correct role. Just a take that kind of made sense...he was a terrible ball-pounder in CLE and he's actually getting more assists now, even largely in an off-ball role...that might be "enough" of a PG for ORL...which is why I always come back to Simons in the same vision.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 7:41 pm
by Magicman125
LofJ wrote:If I were Orlando I would make a move in the draft for a point guard. So do what you have to do to trade up for Topic, Sheppard, or Dillingham. A lightly protected future 1st and/or a decent prospect like Black should entice a lot of teams at the top of the draft. It's a better gamble than paying a fortune for Trae Young imo.


definitely not trading AB and a 1st for one of the PG prospects in this draft.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 7:50 pm
by gswhoops
NYG wrote:
Ball4life32 wrote:How much do people think Bey is worth? I’d take him back but not overpay. I like him coming off the bench as a scorer but he’s too poor defensively to be a starter.


Non-Tax MLE?

That seems about right...I'd take him on GS for the NTMLE depending on how the rest of our offseason plays out.

I could see him signing a 1+1 with a contender in need of shooting and hoping to parlay that into a longer term deal a la Donte DiVincenzo.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 8:36 pm
by tiderulz
LofJ wrote:If I were Orlando I would make a move in the draft for a point guard. So do what you have to do to trade up for Topic, Sheppard, or Dillingham. A lightly protected future 1st and/or a decent prospect like Black should entice a lot of teams at the top of the draft. It's a better gamble than paying a fortune for Trae Young imo.

they just drafted a PG last year. to me the object would be to get a better one for now while Black develops. Maybe Brogdon for his last year

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 9:29 pm
by aguiar95
HAWKS

Let Bey seek offers, if any is bigger than MLE, let him go (or get 2nds for S&T). Trade Capela, Hunter and Murray, try and get complementary pieces that fit Trae's timeline. Let Quinn run his offense with tons of 3nD players (would be interesting to see Trae with a 5-out offense), I'm thinking Jalen Smith (IND), Reid (MIN), Carter (ORL) or Stewart (DET). Some possible targets for their wing spot: Jones (NOP), Dort (OKC), Eason (HOU), Avdija (WAS), Williams (CHI), Okoro (CLE), Melton (PHI). Let Bufkin grow in a backup role (still a believer in him) spotting up here and there for 14mpg.

Re: 2024 Off-Season: Southeast Division

Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2024 9:49 pm
by Skybox
aguiar95 wrote:HAWKS

Let Bey seek offers, if any is bigger than MLE, let him go (or get 2nds for S&T). Trade Capela, Hunter and Murray, try and get complementary pieces that fit Trae's timeline. Let Quinn run his offense with tons of 3nD players (would be interesting to see Trae with a 5-out offense), I'm thinking Jalen Smith (IND), Reid (MIN), Carter (ORL) or Stewart (DET). Some possible targets for their wing spot: Jones (NOP), Dort (OKC), Eason (HOU), Avdija (WAS), Williams (CHI), Okoro (CLE), Melton (PHI). Let Bufkin grow in a backup role (still a believer in him) spotting up here and there for 14mpg.


I really like Wendell Carter for ATL...could be part of a DJM deal, IMO. He can do a lot more than he is (or should) in a frontcourt with Paolo & Franz. Great contract, still young, versatility is his thing above all else. He could also play next to Okongwu if he becomes more than an interesting prospect.