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MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 5:33 pm
by esvl
Jaden McDaniels
2nd 2025 (via Utah) [removed]
for
Marcus Smart
Vince Williams
Minnesota would add some solid playmaking skillset and two elite defenders in exchange for one. Vince looks like a good POA/PG next to Dillingham and Edwards long-term-wise. Smart can help right.
Memphis would leverage the rise of Wells and exchange their two elite POA/PGs for an elite young forward on a reasonable contract whose size allows to defend big wings.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 5:37 pm
by winforlose
esvl wrote:Jaden McDaniels
2nd 2025 (via Utah)
for
Marcus Smart
Vince Williams
Minnesota would add some solid playmaking skillset and two elite defenders in exchange for one. Vince looks like a good POA/PG next to Dillingham and Edwards long-term-wise. Smart can help right.
Memphis would leverage the rise of Wells and exchange their two elite POA/PGs for an elite young forward on a reasonable contract whose size allows to defend big wings.
This trade is so bad it is in lock it territory. 1.5 years of 30 year old Smart who struggles to stay healthy and the 47th pick from last years draft in Williams who isn’t even rotation worthy, for a 24 year old all NBA defense McDaniels under 5 years of team control. Oh and the Wolves give up a top 5 second round pick for the privilege. Not even close to being worth countering.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 5:43 pm
by Texas Chuck
winforlose wrote:This trade is so bad it is in lock it territory.
Do not backseat moderate.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 5:45 pm
by Texas Chuck
As to the trade, I don't know that Memphis can afford to pay a guy as limited as McDaniels that much money. Maybe they owe a bit of value here, but probably not much. But I don't think they should invest the money in that specific player. For all the hype, his offense has never grown. And you can find limited offense defenders making much less money annually.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 5:47 pm
by psman2
Jaden has turned a corner it looks like and would require quite a bit more value. Smart has lost most of his value and VWill is going to be undervalued since he hasn't played this season or played well for a winning team yet. Minny would need to really believe in a bounceback for both Smart and VWill and get more value here.
edit: Drop the 2nd and add Memphis 2025. That is likely closer here.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 5:48 pm
by winforlose
Texas Chuck wrote:As to the trade, I don't know that Memphis can afford to pay a guy as limited as McDaniels that much money. Maybe they owe a bit of value here, but probably not much. But I don't think they should invest the money in that specific player. For all the hype, his offense has never grown. And you can find limited offense defenders making much less money annually.
LOL, okay keep telling yourself that. Just like his rebounding has never grown. Or his playoff performances were not essential last year. If the point of the trade board is to make realistic suggestions then you have to ask yourself why the Wolves pay a high 2nd to dump a player they haven’t taken out of the starting lineup? A 24 year old at that who the head coach has said is vital to the team, is the X factor for how far they go in any given playoff run, and is playing his best basketball of his career. Dude this bias you have against MCD is just painful at this point. Every Wolves fan who sees this says NO!!!!!
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 5:53 pm
by esvl
psman2 wrote:Jaden has turned a corner it looks like and would require quite a bit more value. Smart has lost most of his value and VWill is going to be undervalued since he hasn't played this season or played well for a winning team yet. Minny would need to really believe in a bounceback for both Smart and VWill and get more value here.
edit: Drop the 2nd and add Memphis 2025. That is likely closer here.
I am removing SRP from the MIN package
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 6:05 pm
by psman2
esvl wrote:psman2 wrote:Jaden has turned a corner it looks like and would require quite a bit more value. Smart has lost most of his value and VWill is going to be undervalued since he hasn't played this season or played well for a winning team yet. Minny would need to really believe in a bounceback for both Smart and VWill and get more value here.
edit: Drop the 2nd and add Memphis 2025. That is likely closer here.
I am removing SRP from the MIN package
Minny fans are going to not love it, they have placed a lot of faith in Jaden being much better than he has shown and really need to have him fulfil some of potential soon for them to have a chance going forward. Objectively VWill run last year as a starter was as impressive as anything Jaden has done so far in his career, but it was done on tanking team so he is going to be discredited/devalued until he shows it again while helping us win. And while VWill is a very good defender, he just doesn't have the size of Jaden to guard the bigger wings.
I don't think Jaden would fetch a lot more in trade than this if we were to add our 1st but Minny rather hold the course here still.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 6:20 pm
by esvl
psman2 wrote:esvl wrote:psman2 wrote:Jaden has turned a corner it looks like and would require quite a bit more value. Smart has lost most of his value and VWill is going to be undervalued since he hasn't played this season or played well for a winning team yet. Minny would need to really believe in a bounceback for both Smart and VWill and get more value here.
edit: Drop the 2nd and add Memphis 2025. That is likely closer here.
I am removing SRP from the MIN package
Minny fans are going to not love it, they have placed a lot of faith in Jaden being much better than he has shown and really need to have him fulfil some of potential soon for them to have a chance going forward. Objectively VWill run last year as a starter was as impressive as anything Jaden has done so far in his career, but it was done on tanking team so he is going to be discredited/devalued until he shows it again while helping us win. And while VWill is a very good defender, he just doesn't have the size of Jaden to guard the bigger wings.
I don't think Jaden would fetch a lot more in trade than this if we were to add our 1st but Minny rather hold the course here still.
I can see that. From MIN’s perspective, I thought about playmaking skills that both of our guys could bring. While Jaden M. is a better size defender and more established player (compare to Vince), the combined effect of Smart and Vince was intended to give MIN more on the top of what they have in Conley/DiVin - namely shot creation and ball handling. Smart would take a leadership role for 1,5 seasons to give Dillingham and Vince time for development. I genuinely believe that the MIN starting line with Smart would not be worse than the one with Jalen.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 6:30 pm
by wolves_89
This is an easy no for Minnesota. Jaden has been the Wolves 2nd best player over the last month mainly due to a change in his offensive role. He has become much more a drive and cut player instead of the stand in the corner role he had been stuck in. Since the change he has been really good in the mid range and at the rim. Factor in he's still an elite level defender and there is no way the Wolves move him for that package.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 6:33 pm
by psman2
esvl wrote:psman2 wrote:esvl wrote:
I am removing SRP from the MIN package
Minny fans are going to not love it, they have placed a lot of faith in Jaden being much better than he has shown and really need to have him fulfil some of potential soon for them to have a chance going forward. Objectively VWill run last year as a starter was as impressive as anything Jaden has done so far in his career, but it was done on tanking team so he is going to be discredited/devalued until he shows it again while helping us win. And while VWill is a very good defender, he just doesn't have the size of Jaden to guard the bigger wings.
I don't think Jaden would fetch a lot more in trade than this if we were to add our 1st but Minny rather hold the course here still.
I can see that. From MIN’s perspective, I thought about playmaking skills that both of our guys could bring. While Jaden M. is a better size defender and more established player (compare to Vince), the combined effect of Smart and Vince was intended to give MIN more on the top of what they have in Conley/DiVin - namely shot creation and ball handling. Smart would take a leadership role for 1,5 seasons to give Dillingham and Vince time for development. I genuinely believe that the MIN starting line with Smart would not be worse than the one with Jalen.
I can see if for Minny too if Smart rebounds and VWill plays up to those 33 starts then Minny is likely a better team going forward. Vwill as a starting combo guard next to Ant could be a really good pairing. But those two players are still a big question marks. If Smart or VWill don't pan out for us then we just move on from Smart and flip him as an expiring next year and let the next man pass up VWill like Wells.... but Minny doesn't have the assets or depth to to really recover as well if those guys don't pan out.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 7:38 pm
by esvl
psman2 wrote:esvl wrote:psman2 wrote:
Minny fans are going to not love it, they have placed a lot of faith in Jaden being much better than he has shown and really need to have him fulfil some of potential soon for them to have a chance going forward. Objectively VWill run last year as a starter was as impressive as anything Jaden has done so far in his career, but it was done on tanking team so he is going to be discredited/devalued until he shows it again while helping us win. And while VWill is a very good defender, he just doesn't have the size of Jaden to guard the bigger wings.
I don't think Jaden would fetch a lot more in trade than this if we were to add our 1st but Minny rather hold the course here still.
I can see that. From MIN’s perspective, I thought about playmaking skills that both of our guys could bring. While Jaden M. is a better size defender and more established player (compare to Vince), the combined effect of Smart and Vince was intended to give MIN more on the top of what they have in Conley/DiVin - namely shot creation and ball handling. Smart would take a leadership role for 1,5 seasons to give Dillingham and Vince time for development. I genuinely believe that the MIN starting line with Smart would not be worse than the one with Jalen.
I can see if for Minny too if Smart rebounds and VWill plays up to those 33 starts then Minny is likely a better team going forward. Vwill as a starting combo guard next to Ant could be a really good pairing. But those two players are still a big question marks. If Smart or VWill don't pan out for us then we just move on from Smart and flip him as an expiring next year and let the next man pass up VWill like Wells.... but Minny doesn't have the assets or depth to to really recover as well if those guys don't pan out.
I haven’t heard anything that implies that the injures of Smart and Vince go beyond ordinary ones to which all NBA players are exposed to, including Jaden McD, unless he is somehow immortal which I haven’t similarly heard of.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 8:09 pm
by timeaftertime
Not sure what the appeal would be for the Timberwolves. They give up one of the best on-ball and POA defenders in the league for an off-the-bench role player that can't stay healthy and a 24-year old development guy when they actually have a hard time getting minutes for their own development guys (Jaylen Clark and Terrance Shannon Jr, in particular, are both of the same ilk and younger).
They also have a pretty solid stable of guards, so I'm not sure how many minutes they even have for Smart between Conly, DiVincenzo, Dillingham, Ant, and NAW. I don't know that at this point in his career, Smart is a worthy addition to that rotation. Sure, he's almost certainly better than a guy like Dillingham at this point in his career, but Dillingham is a project that they're developing as a top ten prospect. He's better than Conley, but Conley is the team's emotional leader.
I could maybe see it if Smart was a better three point shooter, because the Wolves lack scoring, but Smart's shot is clearly behind all five rotation guards. This move also significantly hurts their defensive versatility. Smart can't guard bigger wings at this point in his career and if they have to slide Ant over that significantly hurts the Wolves for key playoff matchups like OKC.
McDaniels is also six years younger and the move doesn't represent any significant financial savings for the Wolves. The Wolves would save approximately $4 million this season and next. Then for the 26-27 season, they would be forced to either pay an aging Marcus Smart or have McDaniels, whose salary cap percentage will actually drop over the final three years of his deal due to the expected cap spike due to the new media deal. The final season of his deal, 2028-29 season, will see him playing for $30 million, but if we adjust that for "inflation" that's the equivalent of a $22 million deal this year, less than he's currently making.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 8:51 pm
by Ethomasp31
Texas Chuck wrote:As to the trade, I don't know that Memphis can afford to pay a guy as limited as McDaniels that much money. Maybe they owe a bit of value here, but probably not much. But I don't think they should invest the money in that specific player. For all the hype, his offense has never grown. And you can find limited offense defenders making much less money annually.
As a Wolves fan I think Winforlose overvalues Wolves players in trades often, but in this case I agree with him....there is no chance the Wolves trade McDaniels for that package. I don't think the Wolves will trade any core players unless they make a huge trade which would take a lot of maneuvering. Besides OKC, there isn't anyone in the West who I wouldn't like our chances against.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 9:05 pm
by Texas Chuck
Ethomasp31 wrote:Texas Chuck wrote:As to the trade, I don't know that Memphis can afford to pay a guy as limited as McDaniels that much money. Maybe they owe a bit of value here, but probably not much. But I don't think they should invest the money in that specific player. For all the hype, his offense has never grown. And you can find limited offense defenders making much less money annually.
As a Wolves fan I think Winforlose overvalues Wolves players in trades often, but in this case I agree with him....there is no chance the Wolves trade McDaniels for that package. I don't think the Wolves will trade any core players unless they make a huge trade which would take a lot of maneuvering. Besides OKC, there isn't anyone in the West who I wouldn't like our chances against.
Oh I already know Minny doesn't do the OP which I knew plenty of posters would cover. That's why I focused on Memphis here. I'm not sure that market is prepared to go into repeaters and money is about to get really tight. I'd rather spend more assets and pursue a lessor salary version.
I know he's a key starter they have no replacement for and Minny needs him to hit his ceiling to be the team they want to be. Moving Towns means more things have to go right because they no longer have 3 elite players to just carry them on talent. And we don't know how long Gobert will be a DPOY level guy.
Wish we could have more conversations without accusations...
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Fri Jan 31, 2025 11:05 pm
by nykballa2k4
psman2 wrote:esvl wrote:psman2 wrote:Jaden has turned a corner it looks like and would require quite a bit more value. Smart has lost most of his value and VWill is going to be undervalued since he hasn't played this season or played well for a winning team yet. Minny would need to really believe in a bounceback for both Smart and VWill and get more value here.
edit: Drop the 2nd and add Memphis 2025. That is likely closer here.
I am removing SRP from the MIN package
Minny fans are going to not love it, they have placed a lot of faith in Jaden being much better than he has shown and really need to have him fulfil some of potential soon for them to have a chance going forward. Objectively VWill run last year as a starter was as impressive as anything Jaden has done so far in his career, but it was done on tanking team so he is going to be discredited/devalued until he shows it again while helping us win. And while VWill is a very good defender, he just doesn't have the size of Jaden to guard the bigger wings.
I don't think Jaden would fetch a lot more in trade than this if we were to add our 1st but Minny rather hold the course here still.
The feedback I got was Jaden, Ant, and Naz are the core. So basically, this offer is DOA.
Better odds of getting one of Oubre or Martin off of Philly
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Sat Feb 1, 2025 12:35 am
by psman2
timeaftertime wrote:Not sure what the appeal would be for the Timberwolves. They give up one of the best on-ball and POA defenders in the league for an off-the-bench role player that can't stay healthy and a 24-year old development guy when they actually have a hard time getting minutes for their own development guys (Jaylen Clark and Terrance Shannon Jr, in particular, are both of the same ilk and younger).
They also have a pretty solid stable of guards, so I'm not sure how many minutes they even have for Smart between Conly, DiVincenzo, Dillingham, Ant, and NAW. I don't know that at this point in his career, Smart is a worthy addition to that rotation. Sure, he's almost certainly better than a guy like Dillingham at this point in his career, but Dillingham is a project that they're developing as a top ten prospect. He's better than Conley, but Conley is the team's emotional leader.
I could maybe see it if Smart was a better three point shooter, because the Wolves lack scoring, but Smart's shot is clearly behind all five rotation guards. This move also significantly hurts their defensive versatility. Smart can't guard bigger wings at this point in his career and if they have to slide Ant over that significantly hurts the Wolves for key playoff matchups like OKC.
McDaniels is also six years younger and the move doesn't represent any significant financial savings for the Wolves. The Wolves would save approximately $4 million this season and next. Then for the 26-27 season, they would be forced to either pay an aging Marcus Smart or have McDaniels, whose salary cap percentage will actually drop over the final three years of his deal due to the expected cap spike due to the new media deal. The final season of his deal, 2028-29 season, will see him playing for $30 million, but if we adjust that for "inflation" that's the equivalent of a $22 million deal this year, less than he's currently making.
This is likely where the disconnect is. Vince is the prize here..... he was expected to start for us this season, or at least get starter minutes. He was not viewed as a development guy anymore from Memphis POV. However injuries so far this season has robbed him of that chance to prove what he did last year was legit.
Last year he graded out as one of the best POA defenders in the NBA. He started 33 games averaged 12.6 P/6.4 R/4.5 A with a .596% TS. I think OP wants Jaden as a bigger defender but if VWill comes back and plays close to what he was doing last year then I much rather just keep him on his dirt cheap contract.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Sat Feb 1, 2025 3:20 am
by shrink
I would add that Connelly sees Jaden as a core piece, he’s quite close with Ant, and he really wants to be in Minnesota on this team, which is pretty important here.
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Sat Feb 1, 2025 3:50 am
by zimpy27
shrink wrote:I would add that Connelly sees Jaden as a core piece, he’s quite close with Ant, and he really wants to be in Minnesota on this team, which is pretty important here.
Didn't we hear the same.things about KAT?
Re: MIN - MEM
Posted: Sat Feb 1, 2025 3:56 am
by winforlose
zimpy27 wrote:shrink wrote:I would add that Connelly sees Jaden as a core piece, he’s quite close with Ant, and he really wants to be in Minnesota on this team, which is pretty important here.
Didn't we hear the same.things about KAT?
Look how well that turned out. If the Wolves make another move it is likely with Randle, not Jaden.