Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL)

Moderators: MoneyTalks41890, HartfordWhalers, Texas Chuck, BullyKing, Andre Roberstan, loserX, Trader_Joe, Mamba4Goat, pacers33granger

BlazersBroncos
RealGM
Posts: 12,323
And1: 9,865
Joined: Oct 27, 2016

Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#1 » by BlazersBroncos » Tue Apr 29, 2025 5:02 pm

TRADE 1

Portland Trades
Anfernee Simons G
Kris Murray F
Duop Reath C

Orlando Trades
Cole Anthony G
Goga Bitadze C
#25

WHY FOR PORTLAND
They finally turn the keys over to Scoot and Sharpe. Cole is a meh backup but fills a role, Goga and Clingan would make a wrecking crew of a C rotation and they get a late FRP.

WHY FOR ORLANDO
They finally make the move for a scoring guard. Simons is a high volume 3PT shooter who can also create his own shot. His on and off ball play is ideal with Franz and Paolo playing initiator the majority of the time. They move off Goga, but he wasnt playing much in the PO's and they have Mo coming back as well as JI avaliable. They also manage to keep the higher FRP, potentially to be used in a second trade for another win-now piece (Using KCP and/or JI as salary ballast). They kick the tires on Murray and get the cheap floor stretching Duop to alleviate big man depth loss w/ Goga outgoing.

TRADE 2

Portland Trades
DeAndre Ayton C

Los Angeles Lakers Trade
Gabe Vincent G
Maxi Kleber FC
Dalton Knetch GF
Shake Milton G

WHY FOR PORTLAND
They move off Ayton and decide to roll with Donovan / Goga at C. They bring in a lot of expiring ballast here but the prize is Dalton who is a ideal fit off the bench for the shooting starved Blazers.

WHY FOR LAL
They would explore bigger needle-moving deals before using their expirings in this way - but the assumption here is that LAL doesnt find a big fish, while also wanting to improve their roster AND continue to ensure they are a big player in the 2026 FA market. Ayton is a huge expiring, but he also brings elite rebounding and can finish well above the rim in the PNR. The cost is relatively low and this type of fence sitting move (Improve while not taking on long-term salary) is the direction I strongly believe LAL takes (Barring a big fish pushing their way to LAL this offseason).


NBA DRAFT
#10 - Noa Essengue F - The type of high upside swing PDX really needs as their roster is too good to tank but lacking true deep playoff talent.
#25 - Nique Clifford GF - The opposite of Noa in he is a pretty well developed guy. Thybulle is a EC and Clifford can take that 1st guard off the bench role in time - or even if he exceeds expectations allow PDX to move off Sharpe and avoid paying him a huge deal.

G - Scoot Henderson / Cole Anthony / Gabe Vincent
G - Shadeon Sharpe / Matisse Thybulle / Nique Clifford
F - Toumani Camara / Dalton Knetch / Rayan Rupert
F - Deni Avdija / Jerami Grant / Noa Essengue
C - Donovan Clingan / Goga Bitadze / Maxi Kleber

IR - RWIII
Bought Out - Shake Milton
Godaddycurse
RealGM
Posts: 21,887
And1: 13,828
Joined: Nov 13, 2019
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#2 » by Godaddycurse » Tue Apr 29, 2025 5:05 pm

Dont think Orlando wants to hardcap itself at the 1st apron. They are already over the apron unless they drop a number of players. This adds too much salary for them/raises their tax bill quite a bit

Ditto for LAL, this hardcaps them and makes it impossible/illegal to fill out rest of their roster. they will be at 195M with 8 men and 1st apron is ~196M IIRC

Target makes sense but they need to send out alot more money
User avatar
Texas Chuck
Senior Mod - NBA TnT Forum
Senior Mod - NBA TnT Forum
Posts: 92,358
And1: 98,190
Joined: May 19, 2012
Location: Purgatory
   

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#3 » by Texas Chuck » Tue Apr 29, 2025 5:06 pm

I think both Orlando and LA look really hard for better options. So I don't see Orlando willing to do this in time to use a draft pick this year. But if you could replace that value reasonably I could see both teams doing this at the end of the off-season as well this is better than what we have and there is no long-term commitment so sure.

Value looks fair.
ThunderBolt wrote:I’m going to let some of you in on a little secret I learned on realgm. If you don’t like a thread, not only do you not have to comment but you don’t even have to open it and read it. You’re welcome.
Mavrelous
Forum Mod - Mavericks
Forum Mod - Mavericks
Posts: 19,348
And1: 17,143
Joined: Aug 20, 2020

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#4 » by Mavrelous » Tue Apr 29, 2025 5:16 pm

Like GDC said, hard to pull off a trade for Ayton to LA at his salary, best scenario is buy ouy and sign as FA.
Same with Simons, ORL don't have enough fillers.
Defense wins draft lotteries!
JRoy
RealGM
Posts: 16,518
And1: 13,877
Joined: Feb 27, 2019
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#5 » by JRoy » Tue Apr 29, 2025 5:57 pm

Trade 1 is ok.

Trade 2 just no. No, no, no.
Edrees wrote:
JRoy wrote:Monta Ellis have it all


I was hoping and expecting this to be one of the first replies. You did not disappoint. Jroy have it all.
Skybox
RealGM
Posts: 18,354
And1: 8,421
Joined: Jan 21, 2017
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#6 » by Skybox » Tue Apr 29, 2025 5:59 pm

Mavrelous wrote:Like GDC said, hard to pull off a trade for Ayton to LA at his salary, best scenario is buy ouy and sign as FA.
Same with Simons, ORL don't have enough fillers.


Maybe POR keep Murray and ORL add Jett Howard (to balance the salaries)

ORL sends: Goga, Cole (expiring TO), Jett Howard, #25
POR sends: Simons, Reath

I like the OP's thinking. Bringing in a C seems counterintuitive, but Ayton's gigantic deal is expiring (so movable or let it run). Goga is a really solid backup/borderline starter at the right salary...Counting on Time Lord is a tough one, but he is good enough to keep around and/or move to a contender at the TD. Clingan is clearly the present and future.

*If he's not - send him to ORL :D
Godaddycurse
RealGM
Posts: 21,887
And1: 13,828
Joined: Nov 13, 2019
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#7 » by Godaddycurse » Tue Apr 29, 2025 6:11 pm

Skybox wrote:
Mavrelous wrote:Like GDC said, hard to pull off a trade for Ayton to LA at his salary, best scenario is buy ouy and sign as FA.
Same with Simons, ORL don't have enough fillers.


Maybe POR keep Murray and ORL add Jett Howard (to balance the salaries)

ORL sends: Goga, Cole (expiring TO), Jett Howard, #25
POR sends: Simons, Reath

I like the OP's thinking. Bringing in a C seems counterintuitive, but Ayton's gigantic deal is expiring (so movable or let it run). Goga is a really solid backup/borderline starter at the right salary...Counting on Time Lord is a tough one, but he is good enough to keep around and/or move to a contender at the TD. Clingan is clearly the present and future.

*If he's not - send him to ORL :D


Simons alone make more than those 3 combined
BlazersBroncos
RealGM
Posts: 12,323
And1: 9,865
Joined: Oct 27, 2016

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#8 » by BlazersBroncos » Tue Apr 29, 2025 6:47 pm

Godaddycurse wrote:
Skybox wrote:
Mavrelous wrote:Like GDC said, hard to pull off a trade for Ayton to LA at his salary, best scenario is buy ouy and sign as FA.
Same with Simons, ORL don't have enough fillers.


Maybe POR keep Murray and ORL add Jett Howard (to balance the salaries)

ORL sends: Goga, Cole (expiring TO), Jett Howard, #25
POR sends: Simons, Reath

I like the OP's thinking. Bringing in a C seems counterintuitive, but Ayton's gigantic deal is expiring (so movable or let it run). Goga is a really solid backup/borderline starter at the right salary...Counting on Time Lord is a tough one, but he is good enough to keep around and/or move to a contender at the TD. Clingan is clearly the present and future.

*If he's not - send him to ORL :D


Simons alone make more than those 3 combined



Cole 13.1M
Goga 8.3M
Howard 5.5M
TOTAL - 26.9M

Simons 27.6M
Reath 2.2M
TOTAL - 29.8M

Its 3M difference - is that really such a big issue for ORL? Declining the TO on Harris + Houstan + Joseph would save 13.2M. Assume they draft #16 (~4M) and the net would be -13.2M +7M more or less. They really wouldnt have to sign anyone after this as the roster seems full -

G - Anfernee Simons / Anthony Black / Nolan Traore (16)
G - Jalen Suggs / Kentavious Caldwell-Pope / Anthony Black
F - Franz Wagner / Tristan da Silva / Kobe Brea (46)
F - Paolo Banchero / Jonathan Isaac / Trevon Brazile (57)
C - Wendell Carter JR / Mo Wagner / Duop Reath
Skybox
RealGM
Posts: 18,354
And1: 8,421
Joined: Jan 21, 2017
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#9 » by Skybox » Tue Apr 29, 2025 7:02 pm

Godaddycurse wrote:
Skybox wrote:
Mavrelous wrote:Like GDC said, hard to pull off a trade for Ayton to LA at his salary, best scenario is buy ouy and sign as FA.
Same with Simons, ORL don't have enough fillers.


Maybe POR keep Murray and ORL add Jett Howard (to balance the salaries)

ORL sends: Goga, Cole (expiring TO), Jett Howard, #25
POR sends: Simons, Reath

I like the OP's thinking. Bringing in a C seems counterintuitive, but Ayton's gigantic deal is expiring (so movable or let it run). Goga is a really solid backup/borderline starter at the right salary...Counting on Time Lord is a tough one, but he is good enough to keep around and/or move to a contender at the TD. Clingan is clearly the present and future.

*If he's not - send him to ORL :D


Simons alone make more than those 3 combined


They come out to $27m collectively...Simons is $27.6 -am I seeing it wrong?
Godaddycurse
RealGM
Posts: 21,887
And1: 13,828
Joined: Nov 13, 2019
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#10 » by Godaddycurse » Tue Apr 29, 2025 7:08 pm

Skybox wrote:
Godaddycurse wrote:
Skybox wrote:
Maybe POR keep Murray and ORL add Jett Howard (to balance the salaries)

ORL sends: Goga, Cole (expiring TO), Jett Howard, #25
POR sends: Simons, Reath

I like the OP's thinking. Bringing in a C seems counterintuitive, but Ayton's gigantic deal is expiring (so movable or let it run). Goga is a really solid backup/borderline starter at the right salary...Counting on Time Lord is a tough one, but he is good enough to keep around and/or move to a contender at the TD. Clingan is clearly the present and future.

*If he's not - send him to ORL :D


Simons alone make more than those 3 combined


They come out to $27m collectively...Simons is $27.6 -am I seeing it wrong?


this would hardcap you at the 1st apron... which might make it tricky to fill out the roster
Godaddycurse
RealGM
Posts: 21,887
And1: 13,828
Joined: Nov 13, 2019
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#11 » by Godaddycurse » Tue Apr 29, 2025 7:10 pm

BlazersBroncos wrote:

Cole 13.1M
Goga 8.3M
Howard 5.5M
TOTAL - 26.9M

Simons 27.6M
Reath 2.2M
TOTAL - 29.8M

Its 3M difference - is that really such a big issue for ORL? Declining the TO on Harris + Houstan + Joseph would save 13.2M. Assume they draft #16 (~4M) and the net would be -13.2M +7M more or less. They really wouldnt have to sign anyone after this as the roster seems full -

G - Anfernee Simons / Anthony Black / Nolan Traore (16)
G - Jalen Suggs / Kentavious Caldwell-Pope / Anthony Black
F - Franz Wagner / Tristan da Silva / Kobe Brea (46)
F - Paolo Banchero / Jonathan Isaac / Trevon Brazile (57)
C - Wendell Carter JR / Mo Wagner / Duop Reath


They are at 199M right now.

decline TO on Harris, Joseph and Houston would save 9M after accounting for roster holds. add 4M for FRP = 194M.
your trade brings them over the first apron when they are hardcapped.
Skybox
RealGM
Posts: 18,354
And1: 8,421
Joined: Jan 21, 2017
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#12 » by Skybox » Tue Apr 29, 2025 7:14 pm

Godaddycurse wrote:
BlazersBroncos wrote:

Cole 13.1M
Goga 8.3M
Howard 5.5M
TOTAL - 26.9M

Simons 27.6M
Reath 2.2M
TOTAL - 29.8M

Its 3M difference - is that really such a big issue for ORL? Declining the TO on Harris + Houstan + Joseph would save 13.2M. Assume they draft #16 (~4M) and the net would be -13.2M +7M more or less. They really wouldnt have to sign anyone after this as the roster seems full -

G - Anfernee Simons / Anthony Black / Nolan Traore (16)
G - Jalen Suggs / Kentavious Caldwell-Pope / Anthony Black
F - Franz Wagner / Tristan da Silva / Kobe Brea (46)
F - Paolo Banchero / Jonathan Isaac / Trevon Brazile (57)
C - Wendell Carter JR / Mo Wagner / Duop Reath


They are at 199M right now.

decline TO on Harris, Joseph and Houston would save 9M after accounting for roster holds. add 4M for FRP = 194M.
your trade brings them over the first apron when they are hardcapped.


I'd like to decline Moe Wagner's $11m TO and sign him to a 3 year, $8m per deal. I'd love to send out KCP and his $22m as Black is emerging as a similar player (and not a PG) and both are lesser versions of Suggs...I like KCP, his acquisition didn't make sense. I'd like to think ORL could make a little more breathing room and better look into it with Paolo's max on deck...but that's another thread :D
Godaddycurse
RealGM
Posts: 21,887
And1: 13,828
Joined: Nov 13, 2019
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#13 » by Godaddycurse » Tue Apr 29, 2025 7:18 pm

Skybox wrote:
Godaddycurse wrote:
BlazersBroncos wrote:

Cole 13.1M
Goga 8.3M
Howard 5.5M
TOTAL - 26.9M

Simons 27.6M
Reath 2.2M
TOTAL - 29.8M

Its 3M difference - is that really such a big issue for ORL? Declining the TO on Harris + Houstan + Joseph would save 13.2M. Assume they draft #16 (~4M) and the net would be -13.2M +7M more or less. They really wouldnt have to sign anyone after this as the roster seems full -

G - Anfernee Simons / Anthony Black / Nolan Traore (16)
G - Jalen Suggs / Kentavious Caldwell-Pope / Anthony Black
F - Franz Wagner / Tristan da Silva / Kobe Brea (46)
F - Paolo Banchero / Jonathan Isaac / Trevon Brazile (57)
C - Wendell Carter JR / Mo Wagner / Duop Reath


They are at 199M right now.

decline TO on Harris, Joseph and Houston would save 9M after accounting for roster holds. add 4M for FRP = 194M.
your trade brings them over the first apron when they are hardcapped.


I'd like to decline Moe Wagner's $11m TO and sign him to a 3 year, $8m per deal. I'd love to send out KCP and his $22m as Black is emerging as a similar player (and not a PG) and both are lesser versions of Suggs...I like KCP, his acquisition didn't make sense. I'd like to think ORL could make a little more breathing room and better look into it with Paolo's max on deck...but that's another thread :D


those all make sense. i'm just saying for flexibilities sake orlando shoudl send out more than 100% of incoming salary to not hardcap themselves
Skybox
RealGM
Posts: 18,354
And1: 8,421
Joined: Jan 21, 2017
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#14 » by Skybox » Tue Apr 29, 2025 7:23 pm

Godaddycurse wrote:
Skybox wrote:
Godaddycurse wrote:
They are at 199M right now.

decline TO on Harris, Joseph and Houston would save 9M after accounting for roster holds. add 4M for FRP = 194M.
your trade brings them over the first apron when they are hardcapped.


I'd like to decline Moe Wagner's $11m TO and sign him to a 3 year, $8m per deal. I'd love to send out KCP and his $22m as Black is emerging as a similar player (and not a PG) and both are lesser versions of Suggs...I like KCP, his acquisition didn't make sense. I'd like to think ORL could make a little more breathing room and better look into it with Paolo's max on deck...but that's another thread :D


those all make sense. i'm just saying for flexibilities sake orlando shoudl send out more than 100% of incoming salary to not hardcap themselves


Would love to...hopefully, multiple deals to make up for the GM sitting on his thumb through the trade deadline - again. :banghead:
Case2012
Head Coach
Posts: 6,008
And1: 2,095
Joined: Jan 03, 2012
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#15 » by Case2012 » Thu May 1, 2025 8:31 am

Love the Orlando deal. Hate the LA one but I covet Knecht so i hold my nose and do it. Also, I don't like Essengue, I think he's 2 years away from 2 years away and Clifford is gone at 15 taken by OKC or at 16.. by Orlando.. Off topic slightly but trade down with 10 to OKC for 15 and 24 for Clifford and one of Yaxel/Wolf/WCJ. But that aside, good job.
Image
Instagram: @casetwelve
R-DAWG
RealGM
Posts: 19,930
And1: 5,998
Joined: Nov 07, 2003

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#16 » by R-DAWG » Thu May 1, 2025 10:39 am

I think the Lakers rolling the dice on Ayton on then cheap is interesting, but I don’t think Kenecht should be in the deal, rather Portland sending value to LA to eat the extra year on Ayton’s deal.

Secondly, I think the Lakers would look to use Jaxson Hayes early bird rights to team with Kleber/Vincent to make the math work to avoid a first apron hard cap. Could see see a world where BOTH Hayes and Milton sign early bird rights deals which creates $31mm in expiring contracts, saying other sign and trade pieces as cap filler.

But this all comes down to how much of a discount Lebron will take to build out the roster around him and Luka.
orlando_joe
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,878
And1: 1,907
Joined: Dec 27, 2015
     

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#17 » by orlando_joe » Thu May 1, 2025 11:07 am

change to kcp ,goga and denver first boston 2nd for simons..would add magic 2nd if needed...magic would need to send out kcp or really will not work
Myth
RealGM
Posts: 11,767
And1: 10,422
Joined: Oct 01, 2008
   

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#18 » by Myth » Thu May 1, 2025 12:10 pm

R-DAWG wrote:I think the Lakers rolling the dice on Ayton on then cheap is interesting, but I don’t think Kenecht should be in the deal, rather Portland sending value to LA to eat the extra year on Ayton’s deal.

What do you mean extra year? He’s expiring.
Case2012
Head Coach
Posts: 6,008
And1: 2,095
Joined: Jan 03, 2012
 

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#19 » by Case2012 » Thu May 1, 2025 12:54 pm

R-DAWG wrote:I think the Lakers rolling the dice on Ayton on then cheap is interesting, but I don’t think Kenecht should be in the deal, rather Portland sending value to LA to eat the extra year on Ayton’s deal.

Secondly, I think the Lakers would look to use Jaxson Hayes early bird rights to team with Kleber/Vincent to make the math work to avoid a first apron hard cap. Could see see a world where BOTH Hayes and Milton sign early bird rights deals which creates $31mm in expiring contracts, saying other sign and trade pieces as cap filler.

But this all comes down to how much of a discount Lebron will take to build out the roster around him and Luka.



RIGHT, pdx should probably add a few unprotected firsts to make it fair for LA.

Literally the only value coming to Portland is Knecht, TF we do it for a bunch of scrub bench players? Sorry Nico.
Image
Instagram: @casetwelve
User avatar
Pattycakes
General Manager
Posts: 8,569
And1: 2,172
Joined: Nov 01, 2005
Contact:
     

Re: Simple PDX Offseason (ORL / LAL) 

Post#20 » by Pattycakes » Thu May 1, 2025 1:25 pm

R-DAWG wrote:I think the Lakers rolling the dice on Ayton on then cheap is interesting, but I don’t think Kenecht should be in the deal, rather Portland sending value to LA to eat the extra year on Ayton’s deal.

Secondly, I think the Lakers would look to use Jaxson Hayes early bird rights to team with Kleber/Vincent to make the math work to avoid a first apron hard cap. Could see see a world where BOTH Hayes and Milton sign early bird rights deals which creates $31mm in expiring contracts, saying other sign and trade pieces as cap filler.

But this all comes down to how much of a discount Lebron will take to build out the roster around him and Luka.


Ayton is what he is, and he’s by far better than any center currently on the Lakers by about 17 million percent. Blazers say no to this. Knecht looks a little bust, and that’s the only asset here
Somewhere trying not to offend Texas Chuck.

Return to Trades and Transactions