KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns

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KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#1 » by jredsaz » Wed May 14, 2025 4:40 am

Heat receive Kevin Durant, #43 UTA
Heat get the vet they are looking for. Keep 2031 1st and Wiggins. Have plenty of cap space to re-sign Mitchell and add depth as a non-capped team.
Tax team

Top 8: Davion, Herro, Wiggins, Durant, Bam, Highsmith, Jovic, Anderson

Suns receive Lari Markkanan, Kel’el Ware, #53 UTA
Suns retool around Booker after stretching Beal and declining the option on Micic.
Over the cap team

Top 8: Booker, Allen, Dunn, Lauri, Ware, Royce, Martin, Oso

Jazz receive Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jacques Jr., #20 MIA, #29 PHX, 2029 MIA 1st (top 5 protected), 2029 PHX 1st (worst of multiple Swaps)
Jazz reset after losing out in the lottery. Get expirings, JJJ and more picks back to help trade up as they reportedly want to do.
Hard capped team

Top 8: George, Sexton, JJJ, Collins, Kessler, #5, Williams, Hendricks
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#2 » by SkyHook » Wed May 14, 2025 4:52 am

Rozier and Robinson are expiring filler, Jaquez was pretty much out of the Heat rotation at the end. Only one of four FRPs has any real upside and it's capped at pick #6... four years from now.

That's a quick no from Utah.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#3 » by wadenation305 » Wed May 14, 2025 4:55 am

We're not trading Ware for KD
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#4 » by jredsaz » Wed May 14, 2025 4:58 am

SkyHook wrote:Rozier and Robinson are expiring filler, Jaquez was pretty much out of the Heat rotation at the end. Only one of four FRPs has any real upside and it's capped at pick #6... four years from now.

That's a quick no from Utah.


What needs to be added to the package? This trade does essentially clear the Jazz cap for 2026. They would have upwards of $120M in space to facilitate trades for 2/3 of the league who will be pushing up against or over the apron.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#5 » by jredsaz » Wed May 14, 2025 4:59 am

wadenation305 wrote:We're not trading Ware for KD


Jovic could be swapped imo but I’ve seen Heat sources saying that he could be on the block in a KD trade
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#6 » by babyjax13 » Wed May 14, 2025 5:03 am

jredsaz wrote:
SkyHook wrote:Rozier and Robinson are expiring filler, Jaquez was pretty much out of the Heat rotation at the end. Only one of four FRPs has any real upside and it's capped at pick #6... four years from now.

That's a quick no from Utah.


What needs to be added to the package? This trade does essentially clear the Jazz cap for 2026. They would have upwards of $120M in space to facilitate trades for 2/3 of the league who will be pushing up against or over the apron.

It needs to an unprotected pick with some possible upside to consider. It is a bunch of pretty unappealing stuff and the only good asset is too protected and distant.

That aside, I would not be open to helping Phoenix now that we have their 2031 1st. I do hope for the sake of fans they dig their way out, but from our perspective the best case scenario is one in which Durant either isn't moved because Phoenix doesn't like any of the possible returns, or he is parted out for a bunch of roleplayers and Phoenix is left with no future picks and a narrow path to relevance post Durant.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#7 » by SkyHook » Wed May 14, 2025 5:10 am

jredsaz wrote:
SkyHook wrote:Rozier and Robinson are expiring filler, Jaquez was pretty much out of the Heat rotation at the end. Only one of four FRPs has any real upside and it's capped at pick #6... four years from now.

That's a quick no from Utah.


What needs to be added to the package? This trade does essentially clear the Jazz cap for 2026. They would have upwards of $120M in space to facilitate trades for 2/3 of the league who will be pushing up against or over the apron.


The Jazz already have over $104MM in practical cap space next summer before making this deal; any more is a diminished return at this point. I don't see Miami giving up more — I doubt they give up Ware in a Durant deal — and Phoenix doesn't have more to give. I think it's irredeemable, sorry.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#8 » by jredsaz » Wed May 14, 2025 5:20 am

babyjax13 wrote:
jredsaz wrote:
SkyHook wrote:Rozier and Robinson are expiring filler, Jaquez was pretty much out of the Heat rotation at the end. Only one of four FRPs has any real upside and it's capped at pick #6... four years from now.

That's a quick no from Utah.


What needs to be added to the package? This trade does essentially clear the Jazz cap for 2026. They would have upwards of $120M in space to facilitate trades for 2/3 of the league who will be pushing up against or over the apron.

It needs to an unprotected pick with some possible upside to consider. It is a bunch of pretty unappealing stuff and the only good asset is too protected and distant.

That aside, I would not be open to helping Phoenix now that we have their 2031 1st. I do hope for the sake of fans they dig their way out, but from our perspective the best case scenario is one in which Durant either isn't moved because Phoenix doesn't like any of the possible returns, or he is parted out for a bunch of roleplayers and Phoenix is left with no future picks and a narrow path to relevance post Durant.


This trade essentially empties out the Suns trade options outside of Grayson Allen. The 2031 pick is still very far away. If the Suns were to trade Allen and get another asset for the Jazz, what would you want and would that help your 2031 hesitancy?
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#9 » by jredsaz » Wed May 14, 2025 5:23 am

SkyHook wrote:
jredsaz wrote:
SkyHook wrote:Rozier and Robinson are expiring filler, Jaquez was pretty much out of the Heat rotation at the end. Only one of four FRPs has any real upside and it's capped at pick #6... four years from now.

That's a quick no from Utah.


What needs to be added to the package? This trade does essentially clear the Jazz cap for 2026. They would have upwards of $120M in space to facilitate trades for 2/3 of the league who will be pushing up against or over the apron.


The Jazz already have over $104MM in practical cap space next summer before making this deal; any more is a diminished return at this point. I don't see Miami giving up more — I doubt they give up Ware in a Durant deal — and Phoenix doesn't have more to give. I think it's irredeemable, sorry.


I mean fair but what else would you want? I put this trade up after seeing some Heat reports about their willingness to give Ware and multiple pics. I could absolutely be wrong, like everyone else here, but it’s not like this is so far out there it can be dismissed out of hand.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#10 » by SkyHook » Wed May 14, 2025 5:23 am

jredsaz wrote:
babyjax13 wrote:
jredsaz wrote:
What needs to be added to the package? This trade does essentially clear the Jazz cap for 2026. They would have upwards of $120M in space to facilitate trades for 2/3 of the league who will be pushing up against or over the apron.

It needs to an unprotected pick with some possible upside to consider. It is a bunch of pretty unappealing stuff and the only good asset is too protected and distant.

That aside, I would not be open to helping Phoenix now that we have their 2031 1st. I do hope for the sake of fans they dig their way out, but from our perspective the best case scenario is one in which Durant either isn't moved because Phoenix doesn't like any of the possible returns, or he is parted out for a bunch of roleplayers and Phoenix is left with no future picks and a narrow path to relevance post Durant.


This trade essentially empties out the Suns trade options outside of Grayson Allen. The 2031 pick is still very far away. If the Suns were to trade Allen and get another asset for the Jazz, what would you want and would that help your 2031 hesitancy?


To be blunt... no, I don't see a way for Phoenix to bridge the chasm.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#11 » by jredsaz » Wed May 14, 2025 5:28 am

SkyHook wrote:
jredsaz wrote:
babyjax13 wrote:It needs to an unprotected pick with some possible upside to consider. It is a bunch of pretty unappealing stuff and the only good asset is too protected and distant.

That aside, I would not be open to helping Phoenix now that we have their 2031 1st. I do hope for the sake of fans they dig their way out, but from our perspective the best case scenario is one in which Durant either isn't moved because Phoenix doesn't like any of the possible returns, or he is parted out for a bunch of roleplayers and Phoenix is left with no future picks and a narrow path to relevance post Durant.


This trade essentially empties out the Suns trade options outside of Grayson Allen. The 2031 pick is still very far away. If the Suns were to trade Allen and get another asset for the Jazz, what would you want and would that help your 2031 hesitancy?


To be blunt... no, I don't see a way for Phoenix to bridge the chasm.


What’s your Lauri return? :lol: This is a trade ideas place.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#12 » by babyjax13 » Wed May 14, 2025 5:32 am

jredsaz wrote:
SkyHook wrote:
jredsaz wrote:
This trade essentially empties out the Suns trade options outside of Grayson Allen. The 2031 pick is still very far away. If the Suns were to trade Allen and get another asset for the Jazz, what would you want and would that help your 2031 hesitancy?


To be blunt... no, I don't see a way for Phoenix to bridge the chasm.


What’s your Lauri return? :lol: This is a trade ideas place.

If Phoenix can get an unprotected team from a team like Sacramento and would be willing to route that to Utah, then I would be open to something, but the centerpiece of the deal has to be something appealing.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#13 » by SkyHook » Wed May 14, 2025 5:33 am

jredsaz wrote:
SkyHook wrote:
jredsaz wrote:
What needs to be added to the package? This trade does essentially clear the Jazz cap for 2026. They would have upwards of $120M in space to facilitate trades for 2/3 of the league who will be pushing up against or over the apron.


The Jazz already have over $104MM in practical cap space next summer before making this deal; any more is a diminished return at this point. I don't see Miami giving up more — I doubt they give up Ware in a Durant deal — and Phoenix doesn't have more to give. I think it's irredeemable, sorry.


I mean fair but what else would you want? I put this trade up after seeing some Heat reports about their willingness to give Ware and multiple pics. I could absolutely be wrong, like everyone else here, but it’s not like this is so far out there it can be dismissed out of hand.


The 2029 FRP is the only asset with any real upside and it's can't be a top-5 pick. What can you acquire thats better than that?

You could switch the destinations of Jaquez and Ware. That would at least be the start of a conversation.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#14 » by jredsaz » Wed May 14, 2025 5:34 am

babyjax13 wrote:
jredsaz wrote:
SkyHook wrote:
To be blunt... no, I don't see a way for Phoenix to bridge the chasm.


What’s your Lauri return? :lol: This is a trade ideas place.

If Phoenix can get an unprotected team from a team like Sacramento and would be willing to route that to Utah, then I would be open to something, but the centerpiece of the deal has to be something appealing.


If the Heat pic was unprotected in 2029 would that work?
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#15 » by babyjax13 » Wed May 14, 2025 5:49 am

jredsaz wrote:
babyjax13 wrote:
jredsaz wrote:
What’s your Lauri return? :lol: This is a trade ideas place.

If Phoenix can get an unprotected team from a team like Sacramento and would be willing to route that to Utah, then I would be open to something, but the centerpiece of the deal has to be something appealing.


If the Heat pic was unprotected in 2029 would that work?

If we couldn't get something sooner, yah, that is probably fair. I don't know that I'd do it because Miami has the same quality the Lakers do of just being able to reload through free agency, but then again, I think we have to trade Lauri given where we are as an organization.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#16 » by Saberestar » Wed May 14, 2025 5:52 am

I think the Jazz would say NO. They would need to receive better or more draft capital for Markannen.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#17 » by jredsaz » Wed May 14, 2025 5:57 am

Saberestar wrote:I think the Jazz would say NO. They would need to receive better or more draft capital for Markannen.


Can Allen/willing to be a capped team after stretching Beal, etc., get the suns the needed draft capital? Is that crazy?
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#18 » by tester551 » Wed May 14, 2025 6:02 am

jredsaz wrote:Heat receive Kevin Durant, #43 UTA
Heat get the vet they are looking for. Keep 2031 1st and Wiggins. Have plenty of cap space to re-sign Mitchell and add depth as a non-capped team.
Tax team

Top 8: Davion, Herro, Wiggins, Durant, Bam, Highsmith, Jovic, Anderson

Suns receive Lari Markkanan, Kel’el Ware, #53 UTA
Suns retool around Booker after stretching Beal and declining the option on Micic.
Over the cap team

Top 8: Booker, Allen, Dunn, Lauri, Ware, Royce, Martin, Oso

Jazz receive Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jacques Jr., #20 MIA, #29 PHX, 2029 MIA 1st (top 5 protected), 2029 PHX 1st (worst of multiple Swaps)
Jazz reset after losing out in the lottery. Get expirings, JJJ and more picks back to help trade up as they reportedly want to do.
Hard capped team

Top 8: George, Sexton, JJJ, Collins, Kessler, #5, Williams, Hendricks

Suns would be better off just cutting the Jazz out of the deal
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#19 » by jredsaz » Wed May 14, 2025 6:46 am

tester551 wrote:
jredsaz wrote:Heat receive Kevin Durant, #43 UTA
Heat get the vet they are looking for. Keep 2031 1st and Wiggins. Have plenty of cap space to re-sign Mitchell and add depth as a non-capped team.
Tax team

Top 8: Davion, Herro, Wiggins, Durant, Bam, Highsmith, Jovic, Anderson

Suns receive Lari Markkanan, Kel’el Ware, #53 UTA
Suns retool around Booker after stretching Beal and declining the option on Micic.
Over the cap team

Top 8: Booker, Allen, Dunn, Lauri, Ware, Royce, Martin, Oso

Jazz receive Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jacques Jr., #20 MIA, #29 PHX, 2029 MIA 1st (top 5 protected), 2029 PHX 1st (worst of multiple Swaps)
Jazz reset after losing out in the lottery. Get expirings, JJJ and more picks back to help trade up as they reportedly want to do.
Hard capped team

Top 8: George, Sexton, JJJ, Collins, Kessler, #5, Williams, Hendricks

Suns would be better off just cutting the Jazz out of the deal


I like Markkanan. But I get it.
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Re: KD to Heat/Lauri to Suns 

Post#20 » by VaDe255 » Wed May 14, 2025 7:37 am

jredsaz wrote:Heat receive Kevin Durant, #43 UTA
Heat get the vet they are looking for. Keep 2031 1st and Wiggins. Have plenty of cap space to re-sign Mitchell and add depth as a non-capped team.
Tax team

Top 8: Davion, Herro, Wiggins, Durant, Bam, Highsmith, Jovic, Anderson

Suns receive Lari Markkanan, Kel’el Ware, #53 UTA
Suns retool around Booker after stretching Beal and declining the option on Micic.
Over the cap team

Top 8: Booker, Allen, Dunn, Lauri, Ware, Royce, Martin, Oso

Jazz receive Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jacques Jr., #20 MIA, #29 PHX, 2029 MIA 1st (top 5 protected), 2029 PHX 1st (worst of multiple Swaps)
Jazz reset after losing out in the lottery. Get expirings, JJJ and more picks back to help trade up as they reportedly want to do.
Hard capped team

Top 8: George, Sexton, JJJ, Collins, Kessler, #5, Williams, Hendricks


I know many still don't get it, so I try to explain it again, Heat payroll after this:

1 Kevin Durant $54,708,608
2 Bam Adebayo $37,096,620
3 Tyler Herro $31,000,000
4 Andrew Wiggins $28,223,215
5 Kyle Anderson $9,219,512
6 Haywood Highsmith $5,616,000
7 Nikola Jovic $4,887,720
8 Kevin Love $4,150,000

Total $177,403,700 (With Herro's extra incentives of 2.5m which count against the tax apron).
This is before they can resign Davion, now they have only ~10m under the luxury tax, which is at $187,897,000.
They can't resign Davion and have to fill out the roster with min. contract scrubs and they gave up almost all of their assets here too.

The only way this deal gets done and makes sense for them, is if it's Wiggins/Terry going out, they can keep Duncan so they can waive him (to give them additional 10m room to resign Davion).

Also I don't like giving up Ware/Jaquez + 2 FRP picks for Durant, frankly I think Jimmy <-> Durant straight up is what I valued Durant at.
I get if some value him higher, I just don't, the offer I consider feasable for the Heat is Wiggins/Terry + Jaquez or Jovic and a FRP + swap. It would not make the roster construction impossible and leave them in a place, where they can resign Davion and reasonably fill out the roster. I don't think Suns need to do this deal at all, but this is what the offer is from my point of view and it's a take it or leave it situation.

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