heat4life wrote:thinktellectual wrote:heat4life wrote: 
I guess you are having trouble understanding...YES the Heat are talented enough to be at .500 WHEN HEALTHY which they have not been all season. This team (before Dragic) had little room for error....But assume away!
Wait, wait, wait a minute.
What is this team's ceiling (in your opinion) when healthy ?
Are you telling me Wade, Bosh, Dragic, Deng, Whiteside + whatever else is there, if healthy, are only good enough for .500 ball ?
Or even just Wade, Bosh, Deng and Whiteside, WHEN HEALTHY, were only good enough for .500 ball in the weak ass Eastern Conference ?
Please give me this team's ceiling when healthy, before and after the Dragic trade.
In number of wins in an 82 games season.
Look, I really don't care to keep discussing this "is all Spo's fault" narrative. It's old and I should've known better. I will however give you the courtesy of a response to your question.
This is all based on what we know today about this team:
Before Whiteside, if a healthy Heat team (with McBob) was a 41-44 win team as many predicted. Our bench was either too young or inexperienced or crap and our PG rotation was horrendous. (This is what I was referring to in my other posts, the Pre-Whiteside era)
With Whiteside (contributing since mid-December), a healthy Heat team that included McRoberts could be 45-48 games. Why? Because our PG situation was still disastrous and there was little contributions from our back court besides Wade.
This new Heat team with Dragic, Bosh/McRoberts and Wade healthy plus more seasoned youngsters? I think they can win 55-58 games and contend with the top of the East.
But again, this is revisionist history now that we know who Cole and Chalmers are, what Deng, Wade and Bosh bring, who Whiteside is and the realities of Ennis, Napier and some of our other promising youngsters. I like what this team (current) could be - with the addition of another scoring swingman perhaps - over the team we started the season with. I'll admit, like most fans I bought into the hype of being able to compete with the big boys with the original roster but reality set in and we were nothing more than a .500 or slightly above team.
Thanks for the reply.
I consider your assessments of the team pre-Hassan, post-Hassan and post-Dragic-trade quite correct.
I didn't buy into the contender hype at the start of the season, so you can see I am not an irrational expectations/hopes type of guy. In fact, I tend to be quite pessimistic about stuff. I never get crazy about rookies, I never expected Pittman, Varnado or all those other guys to ever amount to anything - unlike many on this forum.
However, the team currently is at 7 wins below .500, and I don't think you can blame it all on the injuries.
In fact, with the amount of talent on this roster, even with the injuries, the team should be at .500 at least - considering the Heat play in the Eastern Conference.
The Bucks are a prime example of a team that had at least just as many injuries, has much less talent than the Heat (it's not even debatable, it's not even close), and yet they are 6 wins ahead of the Heat. Jason Kidd might be an **** and a terrible human being, but he's a pretty damn good coach. Just consider that last season the Bucks, with pretty much the same roster, gave the Sixers a good run for the worst team in the league.
Back to the Heat, my point is that if your coach costs you 5 to 7 wins per season (and probably a few wins in the playoffs, if you get there), how much more difficult is it for Riley to put together a roster that negates this disadvantage ?
Wouldn't it be a shame to have a championship roster that is derailed by it not being used correctly (which already happened in 2011, BTW) ?
I know that Riley won't fire Spoelstra, and right now I don't even know who he could replace him with, but we can at least acknowledge his shortcomings, can't we ?