HeatIn5 wrote:Last 3 games the Celtics got called for 20,24,24 fouls.
Tonight 9 the entire game
Posted this on the betting site prior to gm
Marc Davis: 5-6 Road team
David Guthrie: 6-4 Home team
Bill Kennedy: 6-4 Home team
= 17-14 Home team
Guthrie/Kennedy ref'd gm1 BOS/ATL. BOS won @home
Guthrie/Kennedy ref'd gm4 DEN/MIN. MIN won @home
Guthrie/Kennedy ref'd gm5 LAL/MEM. MEM won @home
Guthrie/Kennedy ref'd gm6 SAC/GSW. SAC won on road
Guthrie/Kennedy ref'd gm3 PHX/LAC. PHX won on road
Guthrie/Kennedy ref'd gm gm5 PHX/DEN. DEN won on road
Guthrie/Kennedy ref'd gm3 GSW/LAL. LAL won @home
= home 4 - road 3
= 7 of these games 5 were BLOW OUT wins
Everything seems to point to Boston winning this game & by blowout. Not a good sign for Miami here.
So after gm5 Add: Guthrie/Kennedy ref'd gm5 BOS/MIA. BOS won @
home by
BLOWOUTTake the stats for what they are but that's now 6
HOME wins &
6 BLOWOUTS when Guthrie & Kennedy ref together.
22PF's total for this game, the average foul count for the NBA is
48PF's p/game. As mentioned Just 9PF's for Boston tonight. 19-10FT's. 9FT disparity in a 13pt win.
Yes they shot lights out, yes we played terrible but it was made worse than what it really was. We shot 51.3% from the field, they shot 50.6%. We shot 39.1% frm 3, they shot 41%. Stats aren't too far off. We shot something like 70% in the 3Q yet we were still losing by double digits?!A lot of physicality towards our players that were uncalled all game as result we had 16TO's to their 9TO.
Guthrie/Kennedy's games have mostly been below the average fouls per game this PO's. This is by the their lowest foul count in the PO's - this is due to the fact Boston were shooting lights out & did not need to be called fouls for & so to even it out they also didn't call much on Heat either.....what they did tho was swallow whistles when we got fouled. The Guthrie/Kennedy tandem are the only refs that have worked together for over 3 games these PO's. 8 in a single playoff year is huge. Their specialty was in play.
Again take this w/ agrain of salt. This ain't my 1st rodeo. I've been making wagers during PO's based off ref stats and have hit 80%+. I've predicted few games in here. We may have still lost this game but it was made to look worse than it was. Even though both teams sat their starters it was still only a 13pt win in the end. It shld had been at the very least 20+