twix2500 wrote:greg4012 wrote:twix2500 wrote:Nevermind I am stepping back. I will let you argue with the teams scouts, and tell them he is as good of a prospect as Luka, Harden, Ricky Rubio, Lonzo Ball, Lamelo Ball etc and he should be top five lotto pick.
I am moving on
Projection, deflection and distraction. You hit the big 3 in 2 sentences!
https://www.tankathon.com/players/compare?players=ben-saraf--ricky-rubio
So where YOU have Saraf ranked in this draft. I dont care about your critique of my critique. Put up or hush up. Give me YOUR critique of Saraf. Where do you have him ranked in this draft and WHY?
I have him right around 15-20th best prospect in this draft in a tier with the likes of Jase Richardson and Rasheer Fleming
Cedric Coward, and Adou Thiero.
What I like:
- Plus positional size (PG game with a 6'5+ frame and reported 6'8 wingspan)
- Functional athleticism and body control (great deceleration and speed manipulation onball)
- Paint penetration (3rd best self-created rim frequency among guards in this class while arguably playing toughest comp)
- Floor game/vision
- Transition game
- Scoring upside
- Offball defense (always producing steals at a plus rate)
- Spot-up shooting - high release; good track record shooting C&S 3s (got less of them this year as lead guard at Ulm)
What I question:
- Left-hand dominant - need to see continued progression with right hand finishing and passing
- Questionable shooting profile - he's mostly shot onball pull-up 3s this season and has not produced. I have hope in development here bc hes over 40% in pull-up 2s and is hovering 40% on C&S 3s.
- Explosiveness--does he have the burst to regularly gain advantage and foot speed to defend PGs?
- Rim finishing
There isn't one standalone prospect that I'm banging the table for in Miami's likely range. They all have plenty of warts. Some have safer floors with limited avenues to upside. Some of them have shaky floors with more interesting upside cases. Saraf is somewhere in the middle of that spectrum for me.
If his 3ball never comes around, then its hard to see how he warrants adding value as a ballhandling guard (maybe TJ McConnell/Ricky Rubio floor game?). I understand that is where your reservations primarily reside. Wish I had an answer as to how it will definitively play out. Stylistically, he looks a bit like Dragic in playstyle (more size, maybe less burst). Dragic's 3 ball was crucial to opening up his game. Dragic's shooting profile at this stage was clearly worse. But, can't just expect every bad shooting profile to convert to a good NBA shooter. That's the struggle with drafting 20th.
But, I'm also more encouraged by the potential for things like:
(1) his positional defense as a big PG that should be able to bump with SGs and some wings);
(2) his offball scoring flashes (less showcased as the lone go-to ballhandler/playmaker for his team)
(3) creation via paint penetration
Overall, Saraf has one of the better creator profiles in this draft and is probably the best creator prospect likely to be in Miami's range. Now, is reaching for a prospect bc his upside case fits a need always the right play? IDK--you can easily waste a pick like that. But, more likely than not, the 20th pick isn't someone that you end up relying on unfortunately.