Official HEAT 2015-16 Regular Season Thread - Vol. II

RexBoyWonder · Post #1261 » by **RexBoyWonder** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 10:56 am

Pistons game is huge.

Win it and we've got HCA, that all we need. We could rest against Celtics the final game.

HIF · Post #1262 » by **HIF** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 10:57 am

Pistons will be a difficult game.

3ballbomber · Post #1263 » by **3ballbomber** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 11:21 am

miula wrote:
3ballbomber wrote:
Bishop45 wrote:

For the first time, I agreed with 3ballbomber...

somehow this feels so strange

LF91 · Post #1264 » by **LF91** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 11:34 am

orphicwhip wrote:

This doesn't make sense to me, can someone explain?

Assuming we win @Det, lose @Bos, and Atlanta and Charlotte win which is what I think will happen..

We will end up in a tie with Boston and Charlotte for 4-5-6, here is the record of all these teams against each other assuming we lose @BOS:

BOS-5-1
CHA-3-4
MIA-2-5

That would mean 3.ATL 4.BOS 5.CHA 6.MIA. No?

Tony15 · Post #1265 » by **Tony15** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 11:43 am

Chalm Down wrote:
Tony15 wrote:We did this to ourselves anyway....

MIN
NYK
BKN
WSH
@LAL
@ORL
DET
MIL
@MIL

These are all games we had no business losing this year. It's the difference now between 47-33 and 56-24. Astonishing difference if you ask me.

Every team drops some stinkers. Miami has also won some games they weren't favored in.

Every good team drops some stinkers, yes. But man I feel like we've dropped way too many.

HIF · Post #1266 » by **HIF** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 12:09 pm

Tony15 wrote:
Chalm Down wrote:
Tony15 wrote:We did this to ourselves anyway....

MIN
NYK
BKN
WSH
@LAL
@ORL
DET
MIL
@MIL

These are all games we had no business losing this year. It's the difference now between 47-33 and 56-24. Astonishing difference if you ask me.

Every team drops some stinkers. Miami has also won some games they weren't favored in.

Every good team drops some stinkers, yes. But man I feel like we've dropped way too many.

That's who we are.

We've a lot of young players who are going to go through their ups and downs and we've got vets who don't always put 100% in.

The vets will bring it every game in the playoffs so If the young players can perform we'll do well.

Post #1267 » by **QUIZ** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 2:28 pm

RexBoyWonder wrote:Pistons game is huge.

Win it and we've got HCA, that all we need. We could rest against Celtics the final game.

You couldn't ask for a better opportunity. We control our own destiny. Win 1 game and we get home court, win 2 games and we get 3rd seed.

Let's get it.

Post #1268 » by **QUIZ** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 2:34 pm

Tony15 wrote:We did this to ourselves anyway....

MIN
NYK
BKN
WSH
@LAL
@ORL
DET
MIL
@MIL

These are all games we had no business losing this year. It's the difference now between 47-33 and 56-24. Astonishing difference if you ask me.

How many games did you predict we'd win before the season started?

I predicted that we'd win 52 games and as things stand we have a good shot at 48 wins, 49 if we win out.

If I had told you before the season that Bosh would go down once again with blood clots I think people would've been shocked to get 49 wins.

When Bosh went down again people were telling me that we were gonna miss the playoffs and be 10th seed again.

We're 1 win away from being the 4th seed and 2 away from being the 3rd. As bad as those dropped games might feel we aren't alone in them. The Hawks and Celtics have lost just as many games as us. I'm willing to bet that you'd find a lot of stinkers in their schedule too.

Post #1269 » by **QUIZ** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 2:40 pm

QUIZ wrote:
Tony15 wrote:We did this to ourselves anyway....

MIN
NYK
BKN
WSH
@LAL
@ORL
DET
MIL
@MIL

These are all games we had no business losing this year. It's the difference now between 47-33 and 56-24. Astonishing difference if you ask me.

How many games did you predict we'd win before the season started?

I predicted that we'd win 52 games and as things stand we have a good shot at 48 wins, 49 if we win out.

If I had told you before the season that Bosh would go down once again with blood clots I think people would've been shocked to get 49 wins.

When Bosh went down again people were telling me that we were gonna miss the playoffs and be 10th seed again.

We're 1 win away from being the 4th seed and 2 away from being the 3rd. As bad as those dropped games might feel we aren't alone in them. The Hawks and Celtics have lost just as many games as us. I'm willing to bet that you'd find a lot of stinkers in their schedule too.

I just quickly went though their scheduled:

Some of Bostons bad losses:

Nets
Magic
Pistons
Lakers
Nets
Pistons
Bulls
Knicks
Magic
Bucks
T Wolves
Hornets

It happens to everyone.

dancing2thabeet · Post #1270 » by **dancing2thabeet** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 2:44 pm

LF91 wrote:
orphicwhip wrote:

This doesn't make sense to me, can someone explain?

Assuming we win @Det, lose @Bos, and Atlanta and Charlotte win which is what I think will happen..

We will end up in a tie with Boston and Charlotte for 4-5-6, here is the record of all these teams against each other assuming we lose @BOS:

BOS-5-1
CHA-3-4
MIA-2-5

That would mean 3.ATL 4.BOS 5.CHA 6.MIA. No?

I think the division winner gets a higher seed in 3-way ties. Somebody correct me if I'm wrong.

Prince Ali · Post #1271 » by **Prince Ali** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 2:53 pm

nevermind

LF91 · Post #1272 » by **LF91** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 3:12 pm

dancing2thabeet wrote:
LF91 wrote:
orphicwhip wrote:

This doesn't make sense to me, can someone explain?

Assuming we win @Det, lose @Bos, and Atlanta and Charlotte win which is what I think will happen..

We will end up in a tie with Boston and Charlotte for 4-5-6, here is the record of all these teams against each other assuming we lose @BOS:

BOS-5-1
CHA-3-4
MIA-2-5

That would mean 3.ATL 4.BOS 5.CHA 6.MIA. No?

I think the division winner gets a higher seed in 3-way ties. Somebody correct me if I'm wrong.

You're right but in this case, Atlanta would be the division winner and will have 1 more win than BOS,CHA and MIA so they're not included in the tie-breaker

-MK- · Post #1273 » by **-MK-** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 4:18 pm

LF91 wrote:
orphicwhip wrote:

This doesn't make sense to me, can someone explain?

Assuming we win @Det, lose @Bos, and Atlanta and Charlotte win which is what I think will happen..

We will end up in a tie with Boston and Charlotte for 4-5-6, here is the record of all these teams against each other assuming we lose @BOS:

BOS-5-1
CHA-3-4
MIA-2-5

That would mean 3.ATL 4.BOS 5.CHA 6.MIA. No?

2nd scenario is also incorrect - we'd be 5th.

Rapaz · Post #1274 » by **Rapaz** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 4:28 pm

-MK- wrote:
LF91 wrote:
orphicwhip wrote:[Spoiler][/Spoiler]

This doesn't make sense to me, can someone explain?

Assuming we win @Det, lose @Bos, and Atlanta and Charlotte win which is what I think will happen..

We will end up in a tie with Boston and Charlotte for 4-5-6, here is the record of all these teams against each other assuming we lose @BOS:

BOS-5-1
CHA-3-4
MIA-2-5

That would mean 3.ATL 4.BOS 5.CHA 6.MIA. No?
2nd scenario is also incorrect - we'd be 5th.

Total disastee

RexBoyWonder · Post #1275 » by **RexBoyWonder** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 4:45 pm

Let's just win k?

Great.

Prince Ali · Post #1276 » by **Prince Ali** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 5:03 pm

-MK- wrote:2nd scenario is also incorrect - we'd be 5th.

That's what I thought, we can't clinch home court tonight.

Tony15 · Post #1277 » by **Tony15** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 7:59 pm

QUIZ wrote:
Tony15 wrote:We did this to ourselves anyway....

MIN
NYK
BKN
WSH
@LAL
@ORL
DET
MIL
@MIL

These are all games we had no business losing this year. It's the difference now between 47-33 and 56-24. Astonishing difference if you ask me.

How many games did you predict we'd win before the season started?

I predicted that we'd win 52 games and as things stand we have a good shot at 48 wins, 49 if we win out.

If I had told you before the season that Bosh would go down once again with blood clots I think people would've been shocked to get 49 wins.

When Bosh went down again people were telling me that we were gonna miss the playoffs and be 10th seed again.

We're 1 win away from being the 4th seed and 2 away from being the 3rd. As bad as those dropped games might feel we aren't alone in them. The Hawks and Celtics have lost just as many games as us. I'm willing to bet that you'd find a lot of stinkers in their schedule too.

We're around what I thought we would be. Doesn't mean I can't expect better than dropping silly games to the Lakers and Magic. It's just astonishing how much those type losses accumulate and make a difference in the end.

Guess it's just lucky for me that I think the HEAT are in a good spot overall in a macro sense. We've bounced back so well after an underwhelming start to the season and that's with injuries to key guys. Once the playoffs hit, none of what we're talking about will matter. We'll either embrace the challenges, or we won't.

Sent from my iPhone using RealGM Forums

Heat3 · Post #1278 » by **Heat3** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 8:22 pm

Congrats to DWade for playing 72 games so far. Most since 2011. Didn't think he could do it, but glad to be wrong

eddieheatfan · Post #1279 » by **eddieheatfan** » Tue Apr 12, 2016 9:59 pm

Heat3 wrote:Congrats to DWade for playing 72 games so far. Most since 2011. Didn't think he could do it, but glad to be wrong

yeah he has been on the best of health in awhile.you are not alone i too expected him to lose a ton of games because of his knees.this is one of the chances when you like to be in the wrong.either way,lets win tonight 8-)

gom · Post #1280 » by **gom** » Wed Apr 13, 2016 5:10 am

Our beginning season estimates: (remember?)

http://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=20&t=1400748&start=40

Ranked in order:

Wade4life3: 61
Yungsin1: 57
shanedude: 55
JazKeyz: 55+ (used 55 for data analysis)
Bishop45: 54
IggieCC: 53
CanesHeatFins: 53
qjz123: 52
Rocky M5: 52
RexBoyWonder: 52
Zasterror: 51
quite shaqly: 51
Seabass777: 50
rio_grande: 50
dancing2thabeet: 50
KingDavid: 49
DWadeno3: 49
Slot Machine: 49
DefenseWins: 48
DaddyCool19: 48
Chalm Down: 47
caliban: 47
gom: 47
yoyoboy: (a lebron fan) 47
dolphinatik: 46
Fischella: (a Mavericks fan) 45
Pure_Basketball: 45
HIF: 44
eddieheatfan: 38-40 (39 used for data analysis)

Non realgm estimates:

YAHOO: 50 wins
538 (Nate Silver's CARMELO): 38
Ira Winderman: 44 games
Chris Perkins: 45-48 games, rounding to 47 (which is 46.5 rounded up).

We have 48 wins now.

KingDavid: 49
DWadeno3: 49
Slot Machine: 49
DefenseWins: 48
DaddyCool19: 48