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Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1

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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1821 » by AirP. » Wed Jan 12, 2022 10:28 pm

Heat_Down_Under wrote:
AirP. wrote:
Spoiler:
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He needs to take Dedmons mins period

Not really, he still makes mistakes by not knowing all the plays or how to handle certain situations. Like I've mentioned before, Yurtseven is skilled but he doesn't know how to handle situations at the NBA level. Yurtseven could be ready later in the season and I'd completely expect he's the backup center starting next year in Miami. I guess I don't get why so many people are fine with having better vets get moved out for young players when you're trying to win a championship where a couple of extra wins could give the team home court advantage for more rounds.

PER36, TS%, ORTG, DRTG

Code: Select all

Yurtseven 13.6 pts, 15.5 rebs, 2.4 asts, 2.2 TO,   1 BLK,  .497 TS%, 105 ORTG, 102 DRTG
Dedmon    13.5 pts, 12.7 reb, 1.8 asts,  2 TO,    1.2 BLK, .664 TS%, 123 ORTG, 105 DRTG
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1822 » by rate_ » Wed Jan 12, 2022 11:02 pm

AirP. wrote:Not really, he still makes mistakes by not knowing all the plays or how to handle certain situations. Like I've mentioned before, Yurtseven is skilled but he doesn't know how to handle situations at the NBA level. Yurtseven could be ready later in the season and I'd completely expect he's the backup center starting next year in Miami. I guess I don't get why so many people are fine with having better vets get moved out for young players when you're trying to win a championship where a couple of extra wins could give the team home court advantage for more rounds.

PER36, TS%, ORTG, DRTG

Code: Select all

Yurtseven 13.6 pts, 15.5 rebs, 2.4 asts, 2.2 TO,   1 BLK,  .497 TS%, 105 ORTG, 102 DRTG
Dedmon    13.5 pts, 12.7 reb, 1.8 asts,  2 TO,    1.2 BLK, .664 TS%, 123 ORTG, 105 DRTG

Per possession, Yurt averages more points, rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks, with less personal fouls committed. Yurt also has a higher on/off at +6.56 to Dedmon's +5.72 (per 200 possessions). Yurt's individual DRTG is 105.9 to Dedmon's 109.0
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1823 » by AirP. » Wed Jan 12, 2022 11:36 pm

rate_ wrote:
AirP. wrote:Not really, he still makes mistakes by not knowing all the plays or how to handle certain situations. Like I've mentioned before, Yurtseven is skilled but he doesn't know how to handle situations at the NBA level. Yurtseven could be ready later in the season and I'd completely expect he's the backup center starting next year in Miami. I guess I don't get why so many people are fine with having better vets get moved out for young players when you're trying to win a championship where a couple of extra wins could give the team home court advantage for more rounds.

PER36, TS%, ORTG, DRTG

Code: Select all

Yurtseven 13.6 pts, 15.5 rebs, 2.4 asts, 2.2 TO,   1 BLK,  .497 TS%, 105 ORTG, 102 DRTG
Dedmon    13.5 pts, 12.7 reb, 1.8 asts,  2 TO,    1.2 BLK, .664 TS%, 123 ORTG, 105 DRTG

Per possession, Yurt averages more points, rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks, with less personal fouls committed. Yurt also has a higher on/off at +6.56 to Dedmon's +5.72 (per 200 possessions). Yurt's individual DRTG is 105.9 to Dedmon's 109.0


Sure and just barely Yurtseven edges Dedmon out but is FAR behind in efficiency which leads to the huge difference in their ORTG, I thought this was pretty apparent. I've not seen anyone use per200 possessions before, not sure why you'd go past 100.

To me, those stats don't lead me to think he should just leapfrog Dedmon when you're trying to win games for a better seating in the playoffs. We'll see what happens when teams get enough video on him to know what he can and can't do to know what to take away from him which they don't know right now.

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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1824 » by DayofMourning » Wed Jan 12, 2022 11:37 pm

All for Yurt starting with Ded backing him up. Feel like that's the best spot for them both. Young producer getting quality minutes while the old head plays hard in limited minutes.
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1825 » by goodboys lats » Thu Jan 13, 2022 4:56 am

Crazy to think this team is on pace for 52 wins. With all these home games coming up, you gotta hope they keep this up. Is winning 55 games unrealistic at this point? Bulls gotta slide at some point right?
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1826 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Thu Jan 13, 2022 7:02 am

We’re 2 games back from the 1st seed with 2 games left against the bulls and I believe 3 against the Nets
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1827 » by twix2500 » Thu Jan 13, 2022 2:10 pm

goodboys lats wrote:Crazy to think this team is on pace for 52 wins. With all these home games coming up, you gotta hope they keep this up. Is winning 55 games unrealistic at this point? Bulls gotta slide at some point right?
Its difficult to predict with injuries and COVID. We basically played 3 difficult rosters this season.

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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1828 » by AirP. » Thu Jan 13, 2022 2:14 pm

Up to date season ORTG-DRTG from BBRef. A lot of bench guys playing above expectations.

Code: Select all

Player            ORtg DRtg ORtg-DRtg
------            ---- ---- ---------
Haywood Highsmith 153  113         40
Chris Silva       135  109         26
Dewayne Dedmon    124  104         20
Jimmy Butler      126  106         20
Kyle Guy          127  109         18
P.J. Tucker       125  108         17
Nik Stauskas      128  114         14
Max Strus         122  111         11
Udonis Haslem     114  105          9
Caleb Martin      116  107          9
Bam Adebayo       111  105          6
Omer Yurtseven    106  101          5
KZ Okpala         113  109          4
Kyle Lowry        113  109          4
Gabe Vincent      110  109          1
Duncan Robinson   111  110          1
Markieff Morris   105  112         -7
Tyler Herro       103  110         -7
Marcus Garrett    89   107        -18
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1829 » by rate_ » Thu Jan 13, 2022 2:45 pm

AirP. wrote:Up to date season ORTG-DRTG from BBRef. A lot of bench guys playing above expectations.

Spoiler:

Code: Select all

Player            ORtg DRtg ORtg-DRtg
------            ---- ---- ---------
Haywood Highsmith 153  113         40
Chris Silva       135  109         26
Dewayne Dedmon    124  104         20
Jimmy Butler      126  106         20
Kyle Guy          127  109         18
P.J. Tucker       125  108         17
Nik Stauskas      128  114         14
Max Strus         122  111         11
Udonis Haslem     114  105          9
Caleb Martin      116  107          9
Bam Adebayo       111  105          6
Omer Yurtseven    106  101          5
KZ Okpala         113  109          4
Kyle Lowry        113  109          4
Gabe Vincent      110  109          1
Duncan Robinson   111  110          1
Markieff Morris   105  112         -7
Tyler Herro       103  110         -7
Marcus Garrett    89   107        -18

NBA.com has individual ORTG/DRTG, which isn't influenced by box score metrics.
Image
https://www.nba.com/stats/players/advanced/?sort=NET_RATING&dir=-1&Season=2021-22&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&TeamID=1610612748
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1830 » by AirP. » Thu Jan 13, 2022 3:27 pm

rate_ wrote:
AirP. wrote:Up to date season ORTG-DRTG from BBRef. A lot of bench guys playing above expectations.

Spoiler:

Code: Select all

Player            ORtg DRtg ORtg-DRtg
------            ---- ---- ---------
Haywood Highsmith 153  113         40
Chris Silva       135  109         26
Dewayne Dedmon    124  104         20
Jimmy Butler      126  106         20
Kyle Guy          127  109         18
P.J. Tucker       125  108         17
Nik Stauskas      128  114         14
Max Strus         122  111         11
Udonis Haslem     114  105          9
Caleb Martin      116  107          9
Bam Adebayo       111  105          6
Omer Yurtseven    106  101          5
KZ Okpala         113  109          4
Kyle Lowry        113  109          4
Gabe Vincent      110  109          1
Duncan Robinson   111  110          1
Markieff Morris   105  112         -7
Tyler Herro       103  110         -7
Marcus Garrett    89   107        -18

NBA.com has individual ORTG/DRTG, which isn't influenced by box score metrics.
Spoiler:
Image

https://www.nba.com/stats/players/advanced/?sort=NET_RATING&dir=-1&Season=2021-22&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&TeamID=1610612748


BBRefs actually takes what an individual does plus what the team does on the floor to try to figure out/calculate out their impact on either side of the court, it's not perfect but year after year it seems to be pretty accurate. You do have to keep in mind the player's roles because some roleplayers can have very good numbers but are limited how they're used.

So with NBA.com, if a player who is bad ends up playing the same exact time when LeBron plays both will have the exact same ORTG and DRTG and with that, you don't really learn anything from those players on who is contributing and who isn't. Here's an example from this year to really show the numbers...

NBA.COM
L. James 112.8 ORTG, 112.2 DRTG (+.6 overall)
R.Westbrook 106.2 ORTG, 108.1 DRTG (-1.9 overall)
or
BBREF
L.James 119 ORTG, 108 DRTG (+9 overall)
R.Westbrook 100 ORTG, 110 DRTG (-10 overall)

I think the BBRef ORTG an DRTG numbers offer a much better representation of what a player is doing/contributing vs NBA.COMs this is what the team does with this person on the floor and you have no idea of that player's impact.

This is also why I've been a Butler fan for basically his whole career who crossed over from a good roleplayer to good top option to a team.
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1831 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Thu Jan 13, 2022 3:50 pm

AirP. wrote:
rate_ wrote:
AirP. wrote:Up to date season ORTG-DRTG from BBRef. A lot of bench guys playing above expectations.

Spoiler:

Code: Select all

Player            ORtg DRtg ORtg-DRtg
------            ---- ---- ---------
Haywood Highsmith 153  113         40
Chris Silva       135  109         26
Dewayne Dedmon    124  104         20
Jimmy Butler      126  106         20
Kyle Guy          127  109         18
P.J. Tucker       125  108         17
Nik Stauskas      128  114         14
Max Strus         122  111         11
Udonis Haslem     114  105          9
Caleb Martin      116  107          9
Bam Adebayo       111  105          6
Omer Yurtseven    106  101          5
KZ Okpala         113  109          4
Kyle Lowry        113  109          4
Gabe Vincent      110  109          1
Duncan Robinson   111  110          1
Markieff Morris   105  112         -7
Tyler Herro       103  110         -7
Marcus Garrett    89   107        -18

NBA.com has individual ORTG/DRTG, which isn't influenced by box score metrics.
Spoiler:
Image

https://www.nba.com/stats/players/advanced/?sort=NET_RATING&dir=-1&Season=2021-22&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&TeamID=1610612748


BBRefs actually takes what an individual does plus what the team does on the floor to try to figure out/calculate out their impact on either side of the court, it's not perfect but year after year it seems to be pretty accurate. You do have to keep in mind the player's roles because some roleplayers can have very good numbers but are limited how they're used.

So with NBA.com, if a player who is bad ends up playing the same exact time when LeBron plays both will have the exact same ORTG and DRTG and with that, you don't really learn anything from those players on who is contributing and who isn't. Here's an example from this year to really show the numbers...

NBA.COM
L. James 112.8 ORTG, 112.2 DRTG (+.6 overall)
R.Westbrook 106.2 ORTG, 108.1 DRTG (-1.9 overall)
or
BBREF
L.James 119 ORTG, 108 DRTG (+9 overall)
R.Westbrook 100 ORTG, 110 DRTG (-10 overall)

I think the BBRef ORTG an DRTG numbers offer a much better representation of what a player is doing/contributing vs NBA.COMs this is what the team does with this person on the floor and you have no idea of that player's impact.


100% agreed
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1832 » by _GH0ST_ » Thu Jan 13, 2022 4:56 pm

Reddish went cheaper than expected. I wish we had bought it.
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1833 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Thu Jan 13, 2022 5:11 pm

_GH0ST_ wrote:Reddish went cheaper than expected. I wish we had bought it.


Yea man that’s an absolute steal, he’s going to be really good and his potential is super high. Idk why all 29 other teams weren’t trying to get in on that
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1834 » by insfo » Thu Jan 13, 2022 5:19 pm

Dang, I guess we really like KZ! Knox is gonna be out if this league soon, so has to be the pick then.

In more positive news, ex-Heat Bol Bol seems to be available again. Let’s do this Riles!!
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1835 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Thu Jan 13, 2022 5:23 pm

PJ Washington may be available they’re saying
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1836 » by AirP. » Thu Jan 13, 2022 5:31 pm

_GH0ST_ wrote:Reddish went cheaper than expected. I wish we had bought it.

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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1837 » by DayofMourning » Thu Jan 13, 2022 5:51 pm

3ammy3uck3ts wrote:PJ Washington may be available they’re saying


Link? This will get MWP excited.
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1838 » by greg4012 » Thu Jan 13, 2022 6:02 pm

3ammy3uck3ts wrote:PJ Washington may be available they’re saying


That's a nice longterm fit next to Bam that allows us to play switch-heavy small ball without being too small. He seems to have stagnated in Charlotte--but it's Charlotte. Some nice upside there.

According to basketball reference, PJ has played 86% of his minutes this season at center. That's not setting him up to succeed or play to his strengths.

I can get with a future frontcourt rotation of Bam, PJ, Yurt.
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1839 » by al bondiga » Thu Jan 13, 2022 6:51 pm

redish is a good player but I think he would clash

When is bam supposed to be back ? could he make it before all star game?
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Re: Miami Heat Regular Season Thread 21-22 Vol. 1 

Post#1840 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Thu Jan 13, 2022 7:24 pm

[tweet][/tweet]
DayofMourning wrote:
3ammy3uck3ts wrote:PJ Washington may be available they’re saying


Link? This will get MWP excited.


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