Post#508 » by MartyConlonJr » Wed Jul 17, 2019 6:54 pm
I looked at every roster to see if any other team would be interested in Paul and we are really competing against ourselves. I think all the options are:
- Trade CP3 for Wiggins: Can't imagine OKC taking on a 4th year though Wiggins could fit more with a youth movement in OKC rebuild. Minny gets someone to feed KAT and ends contract a year earlier.
- Knicks trade a few of those short term contracts for Paul to run the show, feed the young guys and train up DSJr and Ntikilina in the process. This seems not so different to OKC though in terms of where the team is at in their rebuild, but is for a bigger market where his name may sell tickets and jerseys. Knicks have preached patience in this rebuild though and this would seem in conflict with that
- OKC organises a buyout with Paul immediately e.g. 30 mill total off his contract (10 mill per season) and just eats 30 mill a year on their cap for the next 3 years so as not to have a malcontent there. Paul signs somewhere on a 2 or 3 year contract for MLE and gets most of it back. This lets OKC keep picks, earn good stead with Paul, his agent and perception in the league and allows young guys to develop. On the other hand, in a vacuum you are saying Miami's 2 picks (likely in the 20's) you would pay $60 million to have (or whatever the difference between the salaries Miami gave you back would be in an offer like Dragic, JJ and Dion). There are two versions of This option. One where you stretch, one where you don't. I assume no stretch as there is no immediate need for cap space now, but there will be later.
- Keep Paul till trade deadline and try to beef up his value, lessen overall length of contract organically and try to trade at that point. Risk is alienating young guys, having a grumpy Paul and risking injury making that contract even less movable.
- A combination of 2 of the above is you basically let him play out one full season (all the same problems as options above in stifling youth, grumpy Paul) then buyout/waive after season. If you wait until end August next year you can stretch only the final year. Absorbing full cap hit in 2nd year, with the last year stretched across 3. This means only a 14 mill or whatever cap hit which isnt as much a killer.
- As above option, wait 1 year then look to trade. Many repeated problems in stifling youth and grumpy paul but more favourable trade propositions
- Convince Paul to waive player option. Basically not happening. Can't see this one.
- Just play the whole contract out, mad Paul, stifled youth, full picks, draft a couple guys in the 20s to show for it from Miami picks
- Trade with Miami give back both picks (maybe give other things like 2nd rounders and cash as well IMO) for some poo-poo platter of 1 and 2 year contracts that are not in our future e.g. Dragic and 2 of Dion, JJ and Olynyk
It really sounds like the Miami offer (if it exists) is the necessary evil. Still from a Miami point of view, it makes me unsettled and tells me we should not do it