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Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT

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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#541 » by HeatIn5 » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:05 pm

SoFlaKingReal wrote:
Read on Twitter


Everyone in PHX is being fed the same info...




Hmmm

Maybe the 3-5 team trade is something to the extent of

Phx- Durant
Indiana - Ayton
Nets - Turner, Hield, Johnson, Bridges, picks



I like our chances to end up with Mitchell if the Knicks aren't willing to part with RJ.

Herro jumps to the best player available for them .
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#542 » by HeatIn5 » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:07 pm

Nets should jump all over that deal if available to them

Kyrie/Mills
Curry/Hield
Bridges
Johnson/Harris
Turner/Claxton

plus recouping some of their picks.
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#543 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:09 pm

SoFlaKingReal wrote:From Randy Embry's Bio on Heat website:

"Prior to his coaching career, Embry played four seasons of college basketball and baseball at the University of Kentucky (1961-65). On the basketball court, he played under the tutelage of legendary coach Adolph Rupp and was a teammate of HEAT President Pat Riley."


Pat takes care of his own man....plus maybe this guy really does have info straight from Pat.


Played baseball at UK too. Was the leading high school scorer in KY history until they added a 3 point line. He’s a super nice guy from what I hear. Him and Pat definitely talk a ton.
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#544 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:11 pm

Read on Twitter
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#545 » by MettaWorldPanda » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:12 pm

Read on Twitter
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#546 » by DayofMourning » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:12 pm

Every time I see a tweet from NBA Central I gag a little bit.
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#547 » by SoFlaKingReal » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:17 pm

IDK guys....that seems to be the most likely scenario with Ayton holding off so far.

Lets hope Im wrong, but I don't buy this "deal is close to done" stuff
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#548 » by AirP. » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:19 pm

BenoUdrihFTL wrote:
AirP. wrote:
BenoUdrihFTL wrote:
Ok but I was comparing Herro to Barrett and you come in with an example of poor shot selection from Herro

Again, Barrett posted a 51% TS on 41/34/71 shooting splits. If we're talking shot selection then most of Barrett's FGAs were poor shot selection based on his horrendous efficiency


Right, one is a 2 way player that doesn't take crazy ass shots, the other could be a big scorer who takes some highly questionable shots, I easily take RJ before Herro and to me it's not a hard decision.


How do you know Barrett doesn't take bad shots? He took more shots than Herro despite being SIGNIFICANTLY less efficient. A 51% TS player taking over 17 shots/game is by definition taking bad shots

And how are you sure he's a 2 way player? Knicks were 5.6 points per 100 possessions WORSE defensively with Barrett on the floor. Even your beloved individual DRTG says Herro is the better defender. I don't agree with that, individual ORTG/DRTG are pretty close to worthless stats, and I think Barrett is the better defender or at least has the potential to be, but the question is whether the gap in defense is so great as to overcome Barrett's offense-killing combo of high volume and brutal inefficiency

I've watched some Knicks games? Not as many as Miami games but a decent amount.

Yes statistically RJ had a worse year as a starter then Herro did coming off the bench. Something that most seem to ignore is that RJ is starting and going against starters more often then a backup does. I don't really care that Herro had starter minutes, he comes into games in the first quarter as starters are going out of the games to rest, same thing happens in the 2nd half. Does he play against more starters then normal backups... yes but not nearly the amount a starter does.

On the ORTG and DRTGs I use, I break up the players in to roleplayers and non roleplayers, also the stats aren't 1:1 portable to other team's numbers since each team plays differently, it's why I point out the differences against other teammates. I hope to have the ability in the future to actually see how often a player plays against a starter or a high level defender but that's a project that's going to take a while to get done since I don't code all that much outside of work anymore although I'm trying to get back into doing that again.
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#549 » by MettaWorldPanda » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:20 pm

Riley pushing the Ol Reliable package and it’s clearly going to get beat.
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#550 » by MettaWorldPanda » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:23 pm

Mitchell is exactly what Brooklyn wants. Young NY guy to build around and sell to it’s fan base. Mitchell’s dad works for the Mets.
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#551 » by marson » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:24 pm

Everyone has multiple sauces now cans confirmed :lol: keep em coming.
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#552 » by insfo » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:24 pm

AirP. wrote:
BenoUdrihFTL wrote:
AirP. wrote:
Right, one is a 2 way player that doesn't take crazy ass shots, the other could be a big scorer who takes some highly questionable shots, I easily take RJ before Herro and to me it's not a hard decision.


How do you know Barrett doesn't take bad shots? He took more shots than Herro despite being SIGNIFICANTLY less efficient. A 51% TS player taking over 17 shots/game is by definition taking bad shots

And how are you sure he's a 2 way player? Knicks were 5.6 points per 100 possessions WORSE defensively with Barrett on the floor. Even your beloved individual DRTG says Herro is the better defender. I don't agree with that, individual ORTG/DRTG are pretty close to worthless stats, and I think Barrett is the better defender or at least has the potential to be, but the question is whether the gap in defense is so great as to overcome Barrett's offense-killing combo of high volume and brutal inefficiency

I've watched some Knicks games? Not as many as Miami games but a decent amount.

Yes statistically RJ had a worse year as a starter then Herro did coming off the bench. Something that most seem to ignore is that RJ is starting and going against starters more often then a backup does. I don't really care that Herro had starter minutes, he comes into games in the first quarter as starters are going out of the games to rest, same thing happens in the 2nd half. Does he play against more starters then normal backups... yes but not nearly the amount a starter does.

On the ORTG and DRTGs I use, I break up the players in to roleplayers and non roleplayers, also the stats aren't 1:1 portable to other team's numbers since each team plays differently, it's why I point out the differences against other teammates. I hope to have the ability in the future to actually see how often a player plays against a starter or a high level defender but that's a project that's going to take a while to get done since I don't code all that much outside of work anymore although I'm trying to get back into doing that again.


FWIW, I took a quick look at the Knicks board, and a lot of their fans seem as skeptical about Barrett as you are about Herro. It's all about narratives as this point, as the Knicks seem to be pumping out news stories non-stop on how they won't trade RJB, and there by artificially making it seem like he's some franchise cornerstone.
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#553 » by AirP. » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:26 pm

insfo wrote:
AirP. wrote:
BenoUdrihFTL wrote:
How do you know Barrett doesn't take bad shots? He took more shots than Herro despite being SIGNIFICANTLY less efficient. A 51% TS player taking over 17 shots/game is by definition taking bad shots

And how are you sure he's a 2 way player? Knicks were 5.6 points per 100 possessions WORSE defensively with Barrett on the floor. Even your beloved individual DRTG says Herro is the better defender. I don't agree with that, individual ORTG/DRTG are pretty close to worthless stats, and I think Barrett is the better defender or at least has the potential to be, but the question is whether the gap in defense is so great as to overcome Barrett's offense-killing combo of high volume and brutal inefficiency

I've watched some Knicks games? Not as many as Miami games but a decent amount.

Yes statistically RJ had a worse year as a starter then Herro did coming off the bench. Something that most seem to ignore is that RJ is starting and going against starters more often then a backup does. I don't really care that Herro had starter minutes, he comes into games in the first quarter as starters are going out of the games to rest, same thing happens in the 2nd half. Does he play against more starters then normal backups... yes but not nearly the amount a starter does.

On the ORTG and DRTGs I use, I break up the players in to roleplayers and non roleplayers, also the stats aren't 1:1 portable to other team's numbers since each team plays differently, it's why I point out the differences against other teammates. I hope to have the ability in the future to actually see how often a player plays against a starter or a high level defender but that's a project that's going to take a while to get done since I don't code all that much outside of work anymore although I'm trying to get back into doing that again.


FWIW, I took a quick look at the Knicks board, and a lot of their fans seem as skeptical about Barrett as you are about Herro. It's all about narratives as this point, as the Knicks seem to be pumping out news stories non-stop on how they won't trade RJB, and there by artificially making it seem like he's some franchise cornerstone.

Oh he's no cornerstone. You expect to get a much better player with the 3rd overall pick, to me it's fine to say he's a disappointment from where he was picked at. I'd move him in a package for Mitchell.
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#554 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:29 pm

DayofMourning wrote:Every time I see a tweet from NBA Central I gag a little bit.


I legit think the person who runs that also runs the HeatNation account that’s posted here quite a bit. Any time they post Heat news the other follows with the same exact post instantly
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#555 » by eddieheatfan » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:33 pm

marson wrote:Everyone has multiple sauces now cans confirmed :lol: keep em coming.
this whole thing is becoming a clownshow
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#556 » by HeatingUp3 » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:33 pm

So Mitchell being available on the market gonna ruin our chances at KD .
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#557 » by MettaWorldPanda » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:38 pm

I suspect we are falling by the wayside on all these deals. When offering Herro(extension needed 25-30), Duncan 4 years 75 million left on contract, Lowry(aging vet PG with close to 60 million left on deal that needs to be sent to a contender or risk him throwing a fit) We are also behind on picks compared to some of these other teams with a treasure trove. My opinion is Riley is getting strung along and as sad is it may sound is looking like a desperate old man knowing the end is near and is chasing one last chip. I hope i’m proven wrong but when i look at our trade packages without Bam it just seems like we are on the outside looking in when you take off the rose colored goggles.
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#558 » by fishfuego. » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:43 pm

carnageta wrote:RJ Barrett - same age as Herro, averaged slightly less points on worse efficiency. Also has a lower assist/turnover ratio.

I'm not buying this whole 'Barrett is a substantially better asset than Herro' narrative. It's bs, and it's being spurred around just because it's the Knicks. If the roles were reversed and Tyler was in NY and RJ was in Miami, they'd be saying how Barret isn't as good of an asset as Herro.

"But Herro struggled in the playoffs so he's not as good!" - ANDDD Barrett has never once played a single ounce of meaningful basketball in his career, outside of the 1st round of series against the Hawks last season, when the Knicks lost in 5 and RJ averaged a whopping 14ppg on 38% shooting.

One player has been to the finals and the ECF in his first three seasons, and the other hasn't made it out of the first round (and lost in devastating fashion the sole time he made it there).

The whole narrative is bs. Put Herro on a bottom feeder like the Knicks and he probably averages 23-25ppg lol.

This^
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#559 » by heater4life » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:47 pm

MettaWorldPanda wrote:
Read on Twitter


Add Miami to that trade.

Remove Ben Simmons.
Send Mitchell to Miami.
Send a ton of picks to Brooklyn/Utah
Send Herro to Utah, Lowry/Robinson to whom ever.

5 team trade. Do it Pat!
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Re: Offseason Thread VOL 5 - I WILL BRING LIGHT 

Post#560 » by Wiltside » Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:51 pm

I wake up. Nothing.

This sucks.
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