When a player has enough other high level traits and is so young, I can always give some benefit of doubt on the shooting coming around unless there is something distinctly fatal with the shooting.
It's at least encouraging that Collier was over 37% on the season on catch & shoot 3s. 40% in the midrange is encouraging, as well.
Notable athletic NBA PGs that struggled shooting in college:
- Derrick Rose - 33.7% from 3; 71% FT
- Kyle Lowry - 22.7% from 3; 63.5% FT (32% from 3 and 78% FT for college career)
- Deaaron Fox - 24.6% from 3; 73% FT
- Dejounte Murray - 28.8% from 3; 66% FT
- Jrue Holiday - 30% from 3; 72% FT
- Kemba Walker - 27% from 3; 71% FT (32% from 3 and 78% FT for college career)
- Victor Oladipo - 30% from 3; 61% FT (33.8% from 3 and 71% FT for college career)
- Russell Westbrook - 40% from 3 (0.6 attempts per game); 55% FT (35% from 3 and 68% FT for college career)
- Tyrese Maxey - 29% from 3; 85% FT
- Zach Lavine - 37.5% from 3; 69% FT
- Donovan Mitchell - 25% from 3; 75% FT (33% from 3 and 78% FT for college career)
- Marcus Smart - 29% from 3; 77% FT (30% from 3 and 75% FT for college career)
- Terry Rozier - 37% from 3; 71% FT (33% from 3 and 77% FT for college career)
- Mike Conley - 30% from 3; 69% FT
- John Wall - 32% from 3; 75% FT
Collier got looks in the paint at a higher rate than every player on the list above that I can find stats for (dating back to 2010).
I'm not expecting Collier to become a pull up sniper at any point in his career. But, I'm def willing to give the prospect the benefit of the doubt of developing his shooting to the point where he can play to his strengths and not get schemed off the floor due to being a non-shooter. And he brings real strengths to the table.
Heat's workout with Collier definitely important for gauging how to develop his shot. I really hope Collier falls to Miami.