Wiltside wrote:Looking at Miami's Draft Pick History over the past 5 years:
2019: Tyler Herro, SG, Freshman, Kentucky / KZ Okpala, SF/PF, Sophomore, Stanford
2018: Pick was traded
2017: Bam Adebayo, PF/C, Freshman, Kentucky
2016: Pick was traded
2015: Justise Winslow, SF, Freshman, Duke / Josh Richardson, SG, Senior, Tennessee
We typically like guys from big programs and we're happy to take who we perceive as BPA, not necessarily base it on fit. We also value positionless abilities, and guys who can play more than one or two positions.
Having said that, I feel like our biggest needs would be:
- Interior defense, rebounding with shooting range
- Backup guard
- 3&D wings that can play the 4
Interior defense is obvious, the hard part is the shooting range. Spo doesnt' seem to like playing Bam at the 4 with a non-shooting center, which means we often downsize our frontcourt for maximum defensive versatility. This helps spacing but gives up interior defense and rebounding. It would be good to have a legit shot blocking, 3pt shooting big on the roster. Neither Kelly nor Myles fit this brief given their lack of rim protection.
Additionally, it would be good to have a Gogi successor to groom. He's been terrific as a 6th man this year, embraced the role fully. We don't know what the offseason holds for him though, and whether he will play ball for team friendly contract flexibility, or take the cash and years offered elsewhere. It would be good to have someone in the wings ready to take over, whether it is this year or two years from now. To be fair though, that person could be Kendrick Nunn if he embraced his microwave scorer destiny.
Finally, you can never have too many 3&D wings, which would also become important if we were to be able to land Giannis in 2021. Presumably, he and Bam play the 4/5 interchangeably, but having wings who you can plug next to them when one is resting will be key also, particularly given Spo's penchant for going small. It remains important given Crowder and DJJ are both FA's who may need replacing.
I think Saddiq Bey is looking like my preferred draft pick if available. NBA ready frame at 6'8" and 216lbs, 2.5 treys on 45% per, 6'8" and can defend. I feel it is unlikely that he will be available though. Patrick Williams would be next on my list, but he too may not be available - expecting him to fly up draft boards closer to the Draft.
I'm not opposed to someone like Carey, but as someone said earlier, he doesn't strike me as someone who would fit the Spo type offense. Reminds me a bit of Greg Monroe for some reason. Perhaps it's the lefty stroke and being a bit of a banger on the inside. Moose was a solid player, but players like him are a dying breed. Crazy how quick he flamed out after that contract - dude is still only 30.
Part of me would love to see us have the balls to identify a target we really want in the mid-late lotto and go for it. Offer up Nunn and #20 to get in there and get our guy.
About the power forward position, I think Okpala is being groomed to fill that spot. Don't let the lack of use this year discourage you. He has been hitting the weights so by next season he should have really filled out.
Also I still think Heat are targeting Ibaka this offseason. Ibaka allows the Heat to be able to physically match against big teams like the Lakers while being able to play the same system offensively and defensively. Also Ibaka has shown he is willing to come off the bench or start. If not than it will be Gallinari. Meyers will be resigned I'm confident. I still wouldn't count out Kevin Love.
Targeting Ibaka allows Olynyk to be put on the trade market again. Just maybe the Heat could get Oladipo for Olynyk and the 20th pick. If not, then use Olynyk to move up in draft or get additional draft pick.
I definitely think Patrick Williams will be available, I think lately mock drafts have overrated him. Bey is definitely a better prospect that will go ahead of Williams. Looking at the draft today I put Kira Lewis as a player on the watch list. I don't think needed position is what the heat will look at. Players that fit Spo system and Riley culture will be requirements, not position. IMO Heat are taking inconsideration that they are looking to make a move via trade. So not knowing what position will lose depth, it's best to draft bpa on their chart. I would put Saddiq on the list indeed. Players with a dog in them that can fit with Butler, these three fits the mold.
Tryese Maxey
Kira Lewis
Saddiq Bey