contract wrote:Ginobili was a part time player. He played 23 minutes or less per game once he turned 34.
Kobe was washed at 35 and declined before then.
Jordan's second coming was great, but his third coming was one too many.
Ginobili played limited minutes off the bench because that is how San Antonio decided to play and rotate their guys. Even Parker and Duncan averaged 27-28 mpg in years where they won the title or made the Finals.
Bryant averaged 27-28ppg at 33 and 34. He tore his achilles after that. One big difference between Kobe and Butler is that Kobe had already played 16-17 years by the time he was 34-35; Butler won't have anywhere close to that kind of wear and tear on his body at 34-35.
Jordan's 3rd coming was when he was 39-40; during the second 3-peat, Jordan was 33-36 or so.
contract wrote:Like I said ... who are the very good players over 33? Even guys with 3pt shots usually decline. Dragic was one of the better 33 and over players in the league this year. Six players over 33 average 16 points or more this season.
LeBron James 25.3
Kyle Lowry 19.4
L. Aldridge 18.9
Lou Williams 18.2
Chris Paul 17.6
Goran Dragic 16.2
That's it. 2 of those 6 guys played off the bench. And some of those 6 guys don't expend a lot of energy on defense every night. We can't just assume that our guy will be the one who defies father time. Blink twice and Jimmy won't be Jimmy anymore. He'll be old Wade.
This is our window. No panic moves, but we need to hustle.
Dragic plays off the bench because it fits Miami's rotation; he started in the playoffs and put 18-20 a game or so. Lou Williams has been a 6th man forever. Chris Paul and Lowry both had amazing seasons.
You'll notice that all of those guys, except Aldridge, played key roles on teams that made the playoffs and were competing for a title; Paul's team was seconds from knocking off the Rockets and Lowry one game from being our opponent in the ECF (and the starter on a title-winning team last year).
No one can expect Butler to be the same at 35 as he is at 30-31, but he can still be a very good player and play at an elite level. The idea is that by the time Butler is 35, Herro, Bam, or perhaps some other player we haven't acquired yet will be the #1 option or capable of being it in concert with Butler and Butler won't have to get 35-40.
I mean Butler "only" averaged 20 a game this year -- 22 in the playoffs -- and Miami did fine.