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***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season***

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***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#1 » by RexBoyWonder » Mon Nov 23, 2020 3:58 pm

It's that time of the year again, time to get our hopes up before they are crushed by Iggie's jinxing.

looking at las't years thread, As a collective, we undersold the team last season...they won a lot more games then we predicted (compared to the average prediction) - both in the regular season and in the playoffs.

Also nobody saw those trades coming, or saw Iggie being so powerful to actually move NBA basketball into a Bubble.

So What season do you expect us to have?
Can we repeat last season's success?
Can bam make another jump?
Can KZ Or Precious have a big impact?

Last years Prediction thread :
viewtopic.php?f=20&t=1878570

How wisdom of the crowd effect works :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisdom_of_the_crowd


So without further ado, let's get after it - All answers should address the Regular Season :


1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2020-2021 season? (notice it's a 72 games season)

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new to the rotation)?

5) Who will be our best overall young player (age limit set to 25)?

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?


16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end?
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#2 » by IggieCC » Mon Nov 23, 2020 4:07 pm

49 Wins

3rd seed


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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#3 » by RexBoyWonder » Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:29 pm

IggieCC wrote:52 Wins

3rd seed

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That's basically a 60 win rate in a regular 82 game season.


I guess you can't do worse then your last year's prediction when you were disqualified.
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#4 » by IggieCC » Mon Nov 23, 2020 8:12 pm

RexBoyWonder wrote:
IggieCC wrote:52 Wins

3rd seed


That's basically a 60 win rate in a regular 82 game season.


I guess you can't do worse then your last year's prediction when you were disqualified.

I figured two of the Bucks, Celtics, Nets, Raptors will have better records than us OP

With that said, I don't see three 60ish win teams in the East due to the fact that there will be more better teams in the NBA this season (Atl Hacks, Nets, Wizards, GS, Pelicans, Suns, Blazers, Wolves, Grizzlies should get better to varying degrees via trades, health, youth development, draft and so forth... even Bulls, Knicks, who knows) than last years tank fest.

Can I change my prediction to 49 games?
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#5 » by iamoti » Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:43 pm

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2020-2021 season? (notice it's a 72 games season)
47 wins

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?
3rd seed after the Bucks and the Celtics

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?
Jimmy Butler 21ppg
Tyler Herro 19ppg
Bam Adebayo 18ppg
Goran Dragic 16ppg


4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new to the rotation)?
Moe Harkless

5) Who will be our best overall young player (age limit set to 25)?
Tyler Herro

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?
Tyler Herro

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?
Avery Bradley

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?
Nunn + Olynyk for a big

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)
Leonard actually being good enough to be a rotation player again

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?
GOAT

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.
Jimmy shooting more 3s and making then at 37%

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.
DJJ dunking on Leonard

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.
No clue

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?
Success reaching the Finals again
Failure not making the Conference Finals


15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?
Health

16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end?
We get to the finals and lose to the Lakers again
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#6 » by dolphinatik » Tue Nov 24, 2020 12:55 am

*** Disclaimer **** I need to see if we pull of a major trade before this season starts before I approve these answers.

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2020-2021 season? (notice it's a 72 games season) 45

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be? yes, 4

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?Jimmy 22 Goran 18 Herro 18 Bam 16

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new to the rotation)? Harkless

5) Who will be our best overall young player (age limit set to 25)? Herro

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year? Olynyk

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment? Meyers Leonard

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)? Leonard for 2nd round pick

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)We will play a big lineup

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over? He should have played Precious more

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player. 2 point percentage will go up while 3pt percentage/attempts decline

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season. Dragic/Bam miss game leading to Olynyk Bradley start.

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s. Rapaz flips to Hawks supporter now

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year? development of at least 1 young prospect out of Nunn Okpala or Precious will be success/failure indicator

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year? Injuries


16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end? 2nd round playoff exit
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#7 » by contract » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:56 am

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2020-2021 season? (notice it's a 72 games season) 45 wins .625 winning percentage

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be? Yes ... 3rd seed

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be? Jimmy 18 ppg, Bam 16 ppg, Dragic 15 ppg, Herro 15 ppg

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new to the rotation)? Precious :dontknow:

5) Who will be our best overall young player (age limit set to 25)? Bam duh!

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year? Herro

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment? Still Winslow. But seriously probably Iggy because of his age. I'm not sure he can contribute anymore.

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)? Lebron in a multi-team trade. :lol:

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both) Not making a major trade.

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over? He's washed, stupid, can't coach ...

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player. We lead the NBA in 3pt percentage.

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season. UD scores 10 points in our last home game.

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s. Same as every other year. I will lose my damn mind.

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year? Success = returning to the Eastern Conference Finals. Failure = failing to return to the Eastern Conference Finals.

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year? Injuries.


16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end? Eastern Conference Finals losing in 7 games.

All answers subject to change.
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#8 » by contract » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:58 am

IggieCC wrote:Can I change my prediction to 49 games?

Of course you can. The season hasn't started.
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#9 » by HeatFanLifer » Tue Nov 24, 2020 4:10 am

contract wrote:
IggieCC wrote:Can I change my prediction to 49 games?

Of course you can. The season hasn't started.


RexBoyWonder wrote:
IggieCC wrote:55 WINS
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New predictions are not allowed.
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#10 » by RexBoyWonder » Tue Nov 24, 2020 10:23 am

IggieCC wrote:
RexBoyWonder wrote:
IggieCC wrote:52 Wins

3rd seed


That's basically a 60 win rate in a regular 82 game season.


I guess you can't do worse then your last year's prediction when you were disqualified.



Can I change my prediction to 49 games?


Sadly the rules demand that your attempt to change your prediction resulted in you getting disqualified for the second straight year.

Spoiler:
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Spoiler:
Ok we'll accept 49 but no more changes for you :x
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#11 » by HeatFanLifer » Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:33 pm

We must show Iggie no mercy.
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#12 » by IggieCC » Tue Nov 24, 2020 4:25 pm

Biggest disappointment: Chalm Down

I have a feeling that Avery Bradley will be a disappoint.
I also think that Precious will have very little impact due to the lack of opportunities.
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#13 » by RexBoyWonder » Fri Nov 27, 2020 11:31 am

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2020-2021 season? (notice it's a 72 games season)

46 wins

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?

Yes - 4th seed

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?

Jimmy - 17.5, Bam -17, Herro - 16, Duncan - 15

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new to the rotation)?

Precious

5) Who will be our best overall young player (age limit set to 25)?

Bam

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?

KZ and Herro

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?

Leonard

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?

I can see Nunn + Kelly + pick for Oladipo going down around trade deadline if Pacers and or us struggle.

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)

Negative - we'll struggle to get to 4th seed, positive - Rookies show high potential

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?

He went with the vets too much and didn't give the young guys enough of a leash

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.

Herro has a 40 point game, Precious has a string of double double games (3 at least).

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.

The Bobcats beat us by 30 one game, then we beat them by 40 the next meeting

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.

Harden traded to sixers, Bish becomes Sixers board mod

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?

Reaching ECF and going 7 games will be successful to me. failure will be not reaching the ECF.

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?

Health, 3 point shooting %, and the younglings producing more then expected.


16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end?[/quote]

Losing game 7 in ECF on the road.
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#14 » by Dr_Heat » Sun Nov 29, 2020 4:27 am

44 wins

Chalm down gets a 90 day ban
IggieCC gets his MOD title taken away from him
TrickyKid makes a comeback
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#15 » by Chalm Down » Sun Nov 29, 2020 1:08 pm

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2020-2021 season? (notice it's a 72 games season)
I'll be generous. 43 wins.

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?
Yes, 4th seed

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?
Yimmy - 21
Bam - 17
Goran - 15
Duncan - 14


4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new to the rotation)?
Bradley, if he stays healthy and gets minutes. Otherwise, Precious

5) Who will be our best overall young player (age limit set to 25)?
Bam

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?
Herro

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?
demon opie

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?
Nunn trade, I don't see how he fits going forward and early last season may have been a fluke

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)
Bam will shoot and make 3s

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?
hold onto the storm

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.
we will go winless against garrison mathews-led teams

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.
covid/covid exposure dnp's, unfortunately

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.
pelifan will join me as a beno truther

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?
Success - top 7 seed. Doesn't sound that impressive, but I think the top 7 teams in east are somewhat close in quality and home court will probably not exist in playoffs again this year anyways
Failure - miss the playoffs


15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?
For regular season, big man depth. Outside of Bam, we are questionable there, and we could lose games because of low energy rebounding in atl gt type games. It will be a good sign if Precious can help us


16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end?
2nd round exit
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#16 » by IggieCC » Sun Nov 29, 2020 4:07 pm

Chalm Down wrote:1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2020-2021 season? (notice it's a 72 games season)
I'll be generous. 43 wins.

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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#17 » by HeatFanLifer » Mon Nov 30, 2020 5:26 am

IggieCC wrote:
Chalm Down wrote:1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2020-2021 season? (notice it's a 72 games season)
I'll be generous. 43 wins.

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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#18 » by IggieCC » Mon Nov 30, 2020 5:44 am

IggieCC wrote:Biggest disappointment: Chalm Down

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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#19 » by gom » Mon Nov 30, 2020 8:15 am

I'm going full homer this season. IDC. IDC.

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2020-2021 season? (notice it's a 72 games season)
48-24 (66.7%) This is good for number 5 in the 2019-20 NBA.

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?
Oh please. We are 2nd place in the East, right behind the Bucks.

3) Who will be our top 4 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?
Butler (19)
Bam (17)
Herro (16)
Dragić (15)

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new to the rotation)?
Avery Bradley (good 4th quarter player)

5) Who will be our best overall young player (age limit set to 25)?
Bam Adebayo.

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?
Tyler Herro.

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?
Andre Iguodala.

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?
Miami Heat will sign Rudy Gay after he is waived by the Spurs.

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)
Two:
(1) Not sure if this is a surprise but KZ Okpala will be a contributor and play when we need a good defender on the court.
(2) Bam Adebayo will begin shooting 3 points of at least 37.5%, becoming a perimeter threat.

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?
Spo isn't playing our young players enough.

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.
Duncan Robinson will set the record for number of 3's in a game: 12 (the record is 10 but Duncan will beat it by 2)

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.
Goran Dragić will dunk the basketball (only once though).

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.
We will learn that everyone on the board besides you is the same person with multiple accounts.

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?
Success win finals.
Failure anything else.
Sorry that's how it works now.

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?
Injuries.

16) Bonus playoff question - How far will we get in the playoffs and how will our season end?
Miami Heat will win the Finals.
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Re: ***Our Annual - Predict The Heat 2020-2021 Regular Season*** 

Post#20 » by RexBoyWonder » Fri Dec 4, 2020 8:01 am

Deadline for predictions is before 1st pre-season game to keep it fair
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