RealGM

So....It's that time again. Time for hopes and dreams to get slapped by reality, time for 3ammy3uck3ts to serenade Bam, for DOM to dream about Cameron Boozer or some other 16YO nobody knows, and for us all to hate on Terry.

Last year we were pretty...Optimistic let's say - our Average predicted wins umber was 47.875. We ended up with 37, quite a stiff dose of reality it was.

So far we added a promising rookie PG, we'll have no Jimmy drama (and no Jimmy), lost Duncan but added our Italian whale in Simone Fontecchio.

The all East seems to be in turmoil - so how good do you think we are? What do you actually want to see this year?

Last season Prediction thread :
viewtopic.php?t=2408932

How wisdom of the crowd effect works :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisdom_of_the_crowd


So let's get after it - All answers should address the Regular Season :


1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2025-2026 season?

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be?

3) Who will be our top 5 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new to the regular rotation)?

5) Who will be our best overall young/inexperienced player?

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?

16) What are your picks for Eastern champions, Western champions - and finally NBA Champions?

17) If you had to sum up your vision for the team going forward (next 3-5 years) in a couple of sentences - what would it be?

18) Bonus playoffpost mortem question - How far will we get in the playoffs and/OR how will our season end?

Most of the board chickened out of making prediction last season. I can't imagine that many are going to start making predictions this early.

As for the poll question ... most of the east is either tanking or in shambles. All we have to do is try to win our games and we'll make the playoffs again.

not making any predictions until the roster is fully finalized. its possible that we end up with a limping lillard that nobody wants right now but knowing riley they may take a gamble since they took it with greg oden and others as crazy as it sounds, they could try to pair him with derozan ...who knows but the ducan departure is far from over. imagine cabron coming back along with the derozan and a limping dame? it will be called the geriatric 3 lol

i wont answer til i see the summer squad

eddieheatfan wrote:not making any predictions until the roster is fully finalized. its possible that we end up with a limping lillard that nobody wants right now but knowing riley they may take a gamble since they took it with greg oden and others as crazy as it sounds, they could try to pair him with derozan ...who knows but the ducan departure is far from over. imagine cabron coming back along with the derozan and a limping dame? it will be called the geriatric 3 lol

That's cool, My bet is we're done making meaningful moves.

But the thread will open until first game of the season, so watching summer league before answering makes some sense, at least when it comes to evaluating the young players.

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2025-2026 season? 48

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be? Yes. 5 seed

3) Who will be our top 5 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be?
Herro – 26
Wiggs – 22.5
Bam – 20
Jovic – 17
Ware – 12
4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new to the regular rotation)?
DRU SMITH?
5) Who will be our best overall young/inexperienced player?
Jovic
6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year?
Ware with his added size and another year of conditioning does for his overall game.
7) Who will be the biggest disappointment?
Terry Roizer. That neck is cooked.

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)?
There’s no one who looks to be available that I think really moves the needle for us. The two trades I think we end up doing is moving off Terry and netting a decent player at the trade deadline. Teams will be heavy sellers at the deadline this year with all the CBA stuff going on. See HH getting moved given his age and place in the team and cap implications moving forward.

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? (positive or negative or both)
DMitchell averaging 8+ assists a game. I think he’s gonna see a nice production increase with another season in our offense and if he can continue to hit that 3 ball at 35%+ his game opens up immensely.

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over?
Early Season – Extreme hate against the rotation
Mid Season – a period of hope
End Season – WE GOT THIS

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player.
Herro has a great shot of breaking the Heat’s 3p attempts this season with D. Rob gone and the offense free flowing.

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season.
KP being good at a high ends up in Davion Mitchell getting benched.

13) ) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s.
The trend of haterade will lull as well demand a full on rebuild. Until Jesus Shuttleworth, the one who was promised returns, we will be united in FO distrust

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year?
Playoffs with MEANINGFUL improvement to our offense because it’s been multiple seasons bad.

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year?
If we can turn Terry’s contract into positive impact player.

16) What are your picks for Eastern champions, Western champions - and finally NBA Champions?
West – OKC
East – Cavs

17) If you had to sum up your vision for the team going forward (next 3-5 years) in a couple of sentences - what would it be?
Plan to blow it up in 2028 unless Jovic or Ware make a real jump

18) Bonus playoff post mortem question - How far will we get in the playoffs and/OR how will our season end?
 1st Round Exit unless a major trade happens.

39 wins...herro 25ppg...bam 18ppg...ware17ppg...jovic 15ppg
playin ...no Play off

45 wins…

I think we’ll be better than expected with the Norm addition. Give Wiggins a chance to have a full offseason with the team and get healthy and his mind right I think he’ll be okay. The weak east we can beat virtually any team apart from the Cavs and maybe Orlando/Bucks

1. 40 wins
2. 9th seed playing to first round
3. Irrelevant cuz this team aint gonna be relevant
4. see point 3.

1) How many wins will the Heat have in the 2025-2026 season? 43 wins

2) Will we make the playoffs this year? If yes - what seed will we be? Yes ... 7th seed

3) Who will be our top 5 leading scorers, and what will their PPG be? Herro 25 ppg, Powell 20 ppg, Adebayo 17 ppg, Wiggins 16 ppg, Rozier 15 ppg

4) Who will be our best overall new addition (new to the regular rotation)? Powell

5) Who will be our best overall young/inexperienced player? Jovic by default

6) Which player will make the biggest improvement from last year? Rozier ... because wtf was last year?

7) Who will be the biggest disappointment? Me for still giving a crap.

8) What trades will we end up doing during the year (or even before the season starts)? I don't know. Probably something stupid.

9) What will be the biggest surprise of the season? Rapaz will trade himself to the Raptors board because the Heat board failed to get him enough help.

10) What will our board posters write about Spo once this season is over? Same as always. He's washed, stupid, can't coach ...

11) Predict a nice/interesting statistical nugget you can see happening with the team or a player. Tyler will take every single shot in at least one game. Or at least it will feel that way.

12) Predict the weirdest moment of the season. The Heat unveil Lebron's statue ... and it looks exactly like Wade's.

13) Predict a RealGM Heat-board development you expect to see with a long time poster/s. I will once again lose my **** at some point during our disappointing season. I'm already there.

14) What will you consider a success/failure this year? Same as every other year. Success = reaching the ECF. Failure = not reaching the ECF.

15) What will be the biggest factor to impact our success or failure this year? Nick Arison apparently.

16) What are your picks for Eastern champions, Western champions - and finally NBA Champions? Knicks & Thunder ... Thunder win.

17) If you had to sum up your vision for the team going forward (next 3-5 years) in a couple of sentences - what would it be? No fair adding new questions! My vision for the Heat going forward is Tyler Herro leading the team in shot attempts for another 10 years and signing three more extensions.

18) Bonus playoffpost mortem question - How far will we get in the playoffs and/OR how will our season end? First round