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ATL - Bane to Orlando for 4 FRP+

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Re: ATL - Conference Finals 

Post#1321 » by MickeyDavis » Sun Jun 1, 2025 4:50 pm

MickeyDavis wrote:OKC is -835 and Indy +550. I think OKC wins but that's steep. Over 5.5 games is +125, under is -165. And a bunch of other prop bets.

It's been bet down to -715, +500. The early money is on Indy. Game 1 is OKC -9.5
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Re: ATL - Conference Finals 

Post#1322 » by MickeyDavis » Sun Jun 1, 2025 5:01 pm

In theory, the Thunder's defense is ideally suited to stop Haliburton, with Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams and Alex Caruso all bringing different defensive strengths to the fore against elite guards.

It has played out that way against Haliburton. In four meetings between these teams over the past two seasons, Haliburton has averaged just 12 points per game, his lowest average against any opponent during that span.

Haliburton has been largely passive against the Thunder's fleet of perimeter stoppers. His 10.2 field goal attempts per game are his second fewest against any opponent in that stretch; and his 0.5 free throw attempts -- he has drawn just one shooting foul in four games -- are his fewest. The Thunder have largely limited his playmaking too, as Haliburton's 8.5 assists per game against the Thunder are tied for his fourth fewest against any opponent over the past two campaigns.

Remarkably, Haliburton scored just eight points on 10 shot attempts in 122 matchups when he was guarded by Dort, per GeniusIQ tracking. That is Haliburton's lowest shot rate against any individual defender with a minimum of 50 matchups in that span. (Haliburton's highest shot rate, conversely, came when he was matched up against Jalen Brunson, but the Thunder's stout defense doesn't offer any similar targets whom Haliburton can attack like he did in the conference finals.)

Suffice it to say, the Pacers point guard must play much better -- and much more aggressively -- for his team to have a chance at a Finals upset.
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Re: ATL - Conference Finals 

Post#1323 » by Frank Nova » Sun Jun 1, 2025 5:11 pm

OKC in 5
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Re: ATL - Conference Finals 

Post#1324 » by BUCKnation » Sun Jun 1, 2025 7:59 pm

They are a better matchup than NY but I think OKC also matches up extremely well with Indy. OKC will be able to play 5 out and also be fine with the pace that gets Indy a bunch of cheap buckets. Id probably put money on 5
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Re: ATL - Conference Finals 

Post#1325 » by soboMP3 » Sun Jun 1, 2025 9:09 pm

paulpressey25 wrote:Katie George cast the deciding MVP vote for Pascal

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?s=46

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Re: ATL - Conference Finals 

Post#1326 » by HKPackFan » Mon Jun 2, 2025 12:01 am

soboMP3 wrote:
paulpressey25 wrote:Katie George cast the deciding MVP vote for Pascal

Read on Twitter
?s=46

This really put me at ease.



I didn't realize this video was 30 minutes long, but I enjoyed it.
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Re: ATL - Conference Finals 

Post#1327 » by buckboy » Mon Jun 2, 2025 12:25 am

ReasonablySober wrote:OKC is gonna have a rude awakening.


Not sure what you mean here.

OKC is going to kick the **** out of Indiana. Imo.
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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1328 » by humanrefutation » Mon Jun 2, 2025 5:18 am

The 30 for 30 on Zion Williamson is going to be interesting.
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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1329 » by chonestown » Mon Jun 2, 2025 2:39 pm

Read on Twitter


OTOH, dude is probably qualified.

OTOH, Nepo Baby Alert! Failson status in the future...stay tuned.

OTOOH, dude is rocking the Chris Peterson "Get a Life" fit and jawline.

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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1330 » by Matches Malone » Mon Jun 2, 2025 4:05 pm

Bryant was one of the younger coaches I've liked for a minute. Good on him for getting a finalist spot this coaching cycle.

Matches Malone wrote:I like Johnnie Bryant from CLE too, but doubt owners will hire another 1st time head coach with Giannis still on the roster.


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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1331 » by emunney » Mon Jun 2, 2025 4:06 pm

chonestown wrote:
Read on Twitter


OTOH, dude is probably qualified.

OTOH, Nepo Baby Alert! Failson status in the future...stay tuned.

OTOOH, dude is rocking the Chris Peterson "Get a Life" fit and jawline.

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Did Danny Ainge and Jon Horst have a child??

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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1332 » by chonestown » Mon Jun 2, 2025 4:12 pm

Matches Malone wrote:Bryant was one of the younger coaches I've liked for a minute. Good on him for getting a finalist spot this coaching cycle.

Matches Malone wrote:I like Johnnie Bryant from CLE too, but doubt owners will hire another 1st time head coach with Giannis still on the roster.


Read on Twitter


Me advocating for Johnnie Bryant as the HC hire: I think we should hire Jordan...Not!
Mat Ishiba: So we should hire Ott?
CT: Um, no.
Ishiba: That's just plain confusing, man. Please leave.

<fin>
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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1333 » by Matches Malone » Mon Jun 2, 2025 4:17 pm

chonestown wrote:
Matches Malone wrote:Bryant was one of the younger coaches I've liked for a minute. Good on him for getting a finalist spot this coaching cycle.

Matches Malone wrote:I like Johnnie Bryant from CLE too, but doubt owners will hire another 1st time head coach with Giannis still on the roster.


Read on Twitter


Me advocating for Johnnie Bryant as the HC hire: I think we should hire Jordan...Not!
Mat Ishiba: So we should hire Ott?
CT: Um, no.
Ishiba: That's just plain confusing, man. Please leave.

<fin>


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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1334 » by MickeyDavis » Mon Jun 2, 2025 4:22 pm

There's a split here over who's going to win. It's interesting because OKC is the largest finals favorite since Golden State over LeBron in LBJ's last year in Cleveland (GS swept).
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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1335 » by emunney » Tue Jun 3, 2025 4:03 am

It just occurred to me that Embiid's never making it past the 2nd round of the playoffs. I wonder how many MVPs can claim that. Crazy.
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Re: ATL - Conference Finals 

Post#1336 » by BucksFanSD » Tue Jun 3, 2025 4:47 am

MickeyDavis wrote:
MickeyDavis wrote:OKC is -835 and Indy +550. I think OKC wins but that's steep. Over 5.5 games is +125, under is -165. And a bunch of other prop bets.

It's been bet down to -715, +500. The early money is on Indy. Game 1 is OKC -9.5


That is steep for a very talented but young team. Indy doesn't get much love on the lines. At the open I put $10 on a Pacers sweep because why not, and hard to not count on Spicy P in the championship doing spicy things.
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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1337 » by emunney » Tue Jun 3, 2025 12:26 pm

Other than Embiid, two NBA MVPs never made it out of the 2nd round of the playoffs: Bob Pettit and Bob Cousy, the two MVPs who retired before the playoffs expanded to three rounds in the late 60s.
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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1338 » by MikeIsGood » Tue Jun 3, 2025 12:52 pm

emunney wrote:Other than Embiid, two NBA MVPs never made it out of the 2nd round of the playoffs: Bob Pettit and Bob Cousy, the two MVPs who retired before the playoffs expanded to three rounds in the late 60s.


This is good research, well GPT’d.
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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1339 » by chonestown » Tue Jun 3, 2025 1:18 pm

MikeIsGood wrote:
emunney wrote:Other than Embiid, two NBA MVPs never made it out of the 2nd round of the playoffs: Bob Pettit and Bob Cousy, the two MVPs who retired before the playoffs expanded to three rounds in the late 60s.


This is good research, well GPT’d.


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Re: ATL - The Finals 

Post#1340 » by emunney » Tue Jun 3, 2025 1:20 pm

MikeIsGood wrote:
emunney wrote:Other than Embiid, two NBA MVPs never made it out of the 2nd round of the playoffs: Bob Pettit and Bob Cousy, the two MVPs who retired before the playoffs expanded to three rounds in the late 60s.


This is good research, well GPT’d.


I had to see what GPT said after this. It said McAdoo, who won two rings with the Lakers in the 80s.
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