Stannis wrote:vlietinho wrote:M-C-G wrote:
I have a lot invested in cannabis, and at one point was riding high (pun intended). CGC dropping Linton was a major mistake for the entire industry, because Canopy was kind of the barometer for all the rest. That said, I have averaged down on CGC and when I saw Aurora trading for .80 I bought a lot of shares. Sure they are going to carry negative EPS for a while, but my goodness, that was such a low entry point for such a big (future) industry. Actually sold off some other investments to load up. I suppose the risk is they don't have the assets to weather this storm, but when I read articles about people loading up on weed for quarentine, it leads me to believe this could be a stellar quarter despite the weirdness of the world. Even if it rebounds to 5, there is a ton of money to be made, strange times!
There's defenately money to be made in cannabis. I averaged down as well on weed (and apha), but sold all my aurora a while ago. Was just reading they annoucend a reverse 1:12 split today (
https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/aurora-cannabis-provides-update-on-initiatives-to-strengthen-liquidity-business-transformation-plan-and-covid-19-operational-response-802353764.html)
You guys have some good names for the cannabis stocks? Most of the names I see like Canopy and ACB seem like hype stocks.
Also, not sure how I feel about this industry. Why do people think this will boom? I see it being like the alcohol and tobacco industries. Sure, there's a lot of demand for those products, and even if you make it past the political barriers, it will still be a highly competitive industry like tobacco and alcohol.
I have some invested in Truelieve as they are on of the few profitable cannabis companies.
I was thinking about Canopy Growth long. They are the largest last time I checked. Or ACB short because they are so cheap right now. I see them getting hyped again. But I always screw up when I think short...
To summarize Canopy Growth, under Linton, they were not only tackling the weed, but CBD and THC in beverage, edibles (like everyone) but then had taken a lead in the industry for medical use for both humans and pets. Bruce believed by using weed as an ingredient in other products it would protect the company immensely because as the market expanded, the cost of the ingredient would come down.
Now, the Constellation group didn't agree with his strategy to lose tons of money in the short to be ready for the long. They got too impatient and when they fired him it destroyed the market. I'm not sure what the term is, but Canopy kind of sets the tone for the market, they are in good position because Constellation entered a 4B dollar deal with them, so they have the money to ride any of this out and also have the ability to a.) buy up cheap assets from those that can't b.) Their offshoot Canopy Rivers has cash to finance other weed companies, which in itself should be highly profitable
So I am a fan. Also good to hear, from a sales perspective, people were loading up on products over the Quarantine. If that holds for Aurora and Canopy there should hopefully be a bounce back. My Aurora position will probably not be long, just an opportunity to buy in so low and sell on good news, or at least think about it.
I used to be all over this day to day, but my original CGC position was to wait at least 5 years. So while the value dropping hurt, I more just tuned it out and instead of daily, have been checking in monthly.
One thing about this industry so far, it is very atypical from the usual stocks. Because of the complexities and concerns over an emerging industry it just has not operated in a manner that, well, makes much sense. I think the heavy investment by Shorts really reeked havoc, I've been surprised by how much shorts appear to be able to influence a price. Couple that with uncertainty, government policy, regulations and having the premier CEO in the industry fired (and I think a few more since then), I guess I am not surprised it is sitting where it is sitting today.