ShootingtheJ wrote:bdpecore wrote:ShootingtheJ wrote:
I think the Pelicans got pretty good draft pick offers for Ingram, but NOP only wanted players. Ingram has been an All Star, he's significantly better than Kuzma.
It is a lot of money though. He's not for everyone, but I still think we can flip him.
My main issue with trading for Ingram is the Bucks will be a habitual 2nd apron team the moment Ingram's extension kicks in next year as they will be paying 4 players over $192MM. Not sure you can build enough depth around them to be a serious contender. Especially when they need to load manage their top 3 players.
Likely, and a big part of why I'd like to flip Ingram. I think we get the best value for Brook from the Pelicans, and I think Horst will be more creative with trade offers for Ingram than the narrow minded Pelicans.
there's a reason why teams don't trade for star level players and immediately flip them. Its because the offer the made to acquire said player was the best one on the table. When you turnaround and trade said player for the 2nd best offer you lose value. Picks versus players is nothing more than a crapshoot as you can value a potential top 5 pick in next year's draft higher than Brook Lopez and draft say Alex Sarr who turns out to be Mo Bamba 2.0. Fans seem to value draft picks more then GMs as they see them for their potential not realistic value.
For reference, here's the list of players selected 5th from 2007-2022 (15 years). I didn't include the last two drafts because it typically takes players a couple years to establish themselves to the league.
Jeff Green, Kevin Love, DeMarcus Cousins, Jonas Valanciunas, Thomas Robinson, Alex Len, Dante Exum, Mario Hezonja, Kris Dunn, De'Aaron Fox, Trae Young, Darius Garland, Isaac Okoro, Jalen Suggs, Jaden Ivey.
There are maybe 5 players I would prefer over Brandon Ingram. This is why GMs don't value draft picks as much as fans do. The miss rate is significantly higher than the hit rate on all draft picks.