cinematographer wrote:That's a pretty low standard for 5+ draft slot.
I mean, DeRozan's a volume guy whose saving grace has been increased defensive intensity and a surprising ability to create off the dribble, and neither of the other two are exactly paragons of efficiency.
To borrow from Baseball Prospectus, what do you think Smart's 70th percentile is? Which is to say, what do you think is a realistic expectation of his prime? Do you think his dreadful jumper can be made average? Do you think, at a level where his athleticism won't be elite and where his strength won't be the positive it is now, he can still get to the rim at the rate he does? Against defenses that will sag off him, without fear of his outside shot?
A lot has to break perfectly for Smart.
A lot really doesn't have to go perfectly to be a good player in the league. A ton has gone wrong for nearly all three of those players compared to him and they're still solid contributors in the NBA. The fact that you can spew some nonsense that no NBA should want him is ludicrous. In 5 years could he prove to be a solid player but not worth a top 10 pick, sure, but the draft could play out where he could just as easily be a top 10 player. A guy like DeRozan isn't a great player, but he looks like a top 10 player in his draft. Hell, a guy like Stuckey could even be considered a top 10-15 player in that draft. Thinking he isn't going to be Allen Iverson isn't a low standard for a 5+ pick in an extremely top heavy draft, it's being realistic. I don't think he has a shot at being a guy who leads you to a championship, but I don't think any of the other 5+ players in the draft do either, just like basically any draft.
As for the "70th percentile" stuff, I wouldn't be surprised if he at the least he was a semi/average efficiency 15-18 PPG type player with around 4-5 assists a game with 5+ free throws a game. That's a solid contributor in the league. Might not be a guy you love, but he has a pretty clear role in the league, certainly not a guy every team in the league would scoff at drafting. That line of thinking is absolutely ridiculous.
I've seen you post stuff like "we could sign him in 4 years to be Tony Allen". Tony Allen with any offensive game, especially an offensive game like Stuckey or Evans, would be a very valuable player to a ton of teams.